FSLY
Signal
Bullish Setup3
Price
1
Move+17.72%Strong session
Volume
1
Volume1.6× avgHeavy volume
Technical
1
RSIRSI 64Momentum positive
PRICE
Prev Close
27.49
Open
29.11
Day Range29.00 – 32.77
29.00
32.77
52W Range5.63 – 34.82
5.63
34.82
92% of range
VOLUME & SIZE
Avg Volume
7.8M
FUNDAMENTALS
P/E Ratio
-39.0x
Not profitable
EPS (TTM)
Div Yield
No dividend
Beta
2.20
High vol
Performance
1D
+17.72%
5D
+22.62%
1M
+2.60%
3M
+306.53%
6M
+300.99%
YTD
+217.88%
1Y
+457.93%
Best: 1Y (+457.93%)
Quick Read
TrendInsufficient MA data
Momentum
BULLISH
revenue +15% YoY · 56% gross margin
Valuation
FAIR
P/E not available
Health
STRONG
CR 2.6 · FCF $0.41/sh
Strong Buy
Key MetricsTTM
Market Cap$5.06B
Revenue TTM$624.02M
Net Income TTM-$121.68M
Free Cash Flow$61.04M
Gross Margin56.3%
Net Margin-19.5%
Operating Margin-19.0%
Return on Equity-12.9%
Return on Assets-8.1%
Debt / Equity0.46
Current Ratio2.61
EPS TTM$-0.81
Alpha SignalsFull Analysis →
What Moves This Stock

Enterprise customer additions and net dollar retention rate (expansion within existing accounts)

Traffic growth metrics - total bandwidth delivered and requests processed, particularly from top 10 customers

Security product attach rates and Compute@Edge adoption driving higher revenue per customer

Gross margin trajectory and path to EBITDA profitability - operating leverage inflection point

Macro Sensitivity
Economic Cycle

moderate - CDN services are mission-critical infrastructure for digital businesses, providing downside protection during recessions. However, traffic growth correlates with e-commerce volumes, streaming consumption, and digital advertising spend. Enterprise IT budget cuts during downturns can delay new customer acquisitions and reduce expansion sales. Media and entertainment verticals (estimated 25-30% of revenue) are cyclically sensitive. B2B software and SaaS customers (estimated 40% of revenue) show more resilience.

Interest Rates

Rising rates create multiple headwinds: (1) Valuation compression for unprofitable growth stocks - Fastly trades at 4.2x sales versus historical range of 6-12x during zero-rate environment. (2) Higher cost of capital increases hurdle rates for infrastructure investments and M&A. (3) Enterprise customers face tighter budgets, extending sales cycles. (4) Fastly's $120M debt at variable rates increases interest expense. However, $260M cash position and positive operating cash flow ($100M TTM) provide buffer. Path to profitability becomes more critical in higher-rate environment as growth-at-any-cost strategies lose favor.

Key Risks

Hyperscaler commoditization threat - AWS CloudFront, Azure CDN, and Google Cloud CDN bundling with cloud services at aggressive pricing creates margin pressure and customer migration risk for workloads already on those platforms

Bandwidth cost deflation - declining per-GB pricing in CDN industry (estimated 10-15% annual decline) requires volume growth to offset, compressing revenue potential from existing traffic levels

Open-source and DIY alternatives - large enterprises increasingly building proprietary edge infrastructure using Kubernetes and service mesh technologies, reducing addressable market for premium CDN services

Investor Profile

growth - Investors are betting on edge computing secular tailwinds, path to profitability inflection, and potential acquisition target status. Recent 154% six-month return attracts momentum traders. High revenue growth (15%) combined with improving unit economics appeals to growth-at-reasonable-price (GARP) investors. Unprofitable profile and negative ROE (-13%) excludes value and income investors. Institutional ownership around 85% suggests professional growth managers dominate shareholder base.

Watch on Earnings
Enterprise customer count (>$100K ARR) and quarterly net additionsNet dollar retention rate (target: >110% indicating healthy expansion)Total bandwidth delivered (petabytes per month) and traffic growth ratesSecurity product revenue as percentage of total (higher margin, stickier)
Health Radar
2 strong1 watch3 concern
35/100
Liquidity
2.61Strong
Leverage
0.46Strong
Coverage
-9.3xConcern
ROE
-12.9%Concern
ROIC
-8.6%Concern
Cash
$181MWatch
ANALYST COVERAGE16 analysts
HOLD
-47.5%downside to target
L $13.00
Med $17.00consensus
H $32.00
Buy
531%
Hold
1063%
Sell
16%
5 Buy (31%)10 Hold (63%)1 Sell (6%)
Full report →
Stock Health
Composite Score
4 of 5 signals bullish
9/10
Technicals
RSI RangeRSI 64 — Bullish momentum
Volume
Volume FlowAccumulation — institutional buying
Fundamentals
Last EarningsBeat estimates
Analyst ConsensusHold
~
LiquidityCurrent Ratio 2.61 — healthy liquidity
Upcoming Events
EEarnings Report · Before OpenMay 7, 2026
Tomorrow
DEx-Dividend DateAug 4, 2026
In 90 days
PDividend PaymentSep 1, 2026
In 118 days
Technicals
Technical SetupBULLISH
Technicals →

Trend

UptrendGolden Cross · 50D leads 200D by 89.0%

+28.3% vs SMA 50 · +142.4% vs SMA 200

Momentum

RSI64.2
Positive momentum, not extended
MACD+0.87
Above zero — bullish momentum · expanding
Market Position
Price Levels
52W High
$34.82+7.6%
Current
$32.36
EMA 50
$24.21-25.2%
EMA 200
$15.48-52.2%
52W Low
$5.63-82.6%
52-Week RangeNear 52-week high
$5.6392th %ile$34.82
Squeeze SetupVolume-based
Moderate Squeeze Setup

Accumulation pattern present — more buying days than selling over the past 20 sessions. Volume conditions support gradual price improvement.

20-Day Money Flow
Acc days:1
Dist days:0
Edge:+1 acc
Volume Context
Avg Vol (50D)2.5M
Recent Vol (5D)
2.1M-17%

Based on volume distribution analysis. Direct short interest data (short float %, days to cover) is not available in current data sources.

Earnings & Analysts

ANALYST ESTIMATES

Consensus of 9 analysts
Analyst revisions:EPS↓ Revised DownRevenue↓ Revised Down

Analyst consensus estimates · Actuals replace estimates as reported

YearRevenue Est.Rev GthEPS Est.EPS GthRangeAnalysts
FY2024
$541.3M
$538.9M$544.4M
-$0.10
±20%
High9
FY2025
$612.8M
$612.3M$613.1M
+13.2%$0.05
±30%
High8
FY2026(current)
$707.4M
$704.3M$713.5M
+15.4%$0.27+407.3%
±4%
High8
Range confidence:Tight (high)ModerateWide (low)
🔥Beat 4 consecutive quarters
Earnings HistoryFSLY
Last 8Q
-5.9%avg beat
Beat 7 of 8 quartersMissed 1 Estimates rising
+29%
Q2'24
+12%
Q3'24
+133%
Q4'24
-400%
Q1'25
+17%
Q2'25
+40%
Q3'25
+22%
Q4'25
+100%
Q1'26
Beat
Miss
Estimate
Deeper color = bigger beat/miss
* Negative EPS shown at reduced height
Analyst Activity
All ratings →
Analysts turning cautious
30d01
90d11
Craig-HallumBuy → Hold
Apr 14
DOWNGRADE
William BlairMarket Perform → Outperform
Feb 12
UPGRADE
KeyBancSector Weight → Overweight
Dec 15
UPGRADE
Craig-HallumBuy
Aug 7
UPGRADE
Raymond JamesStrong Buy → Market Perform
Oct 1
DOWNGRADE
Piper SandlerOverweight → Neutral
Aug 8
DOWNGRADE
Piper SandlerNeutral → Overweight
Apr 8
UPGRADE
CitigroupNeutral
Jan 22
UPGRADE
RBC CapitalUnderperform → Sector Perform
Jan 8
UPGRADE
Morgan StanleyUnderweight → Buy
Feb 16
UPGRADE
Craig-HallumBuy
Feb 16
UPGRADE
BenchmarkBuy
Feb 13
UPGRADE
Insider Activity
SEC Filings →
0 Buys/6 SellsNet Selling
NET SELLERS$0 bought · $720K sold · 30d window
Compton Charles Lac…Dir
$276K
Apr 16
SELL
Compton Charles Lac…Dir
$271K
Apr 16
SELL
Compton Charles Lac…Dir
$163K
Apr 17
SELL
Compton Charles Lac…Dir
$10K
Apr 17
SELL
Lovett Scott R.President, Go …
$779K
Mar 17
SELL
Lovett Scott R.President, Go …
$159K
Mar 18
SELL
Financials

INSTITUTIONAL OWNERSHIP

1
Nuveen, LLC
1.9M
2
SG Americas Securities, LLC
685K
3
Relyea Zuckerberg Hanson LLC
260K
4
Mirae Asset Global Investments Co., Ltd.
111K
5
180 WEALTH ADVISORS, LLC
78K
6
Sigma Planning Corp
65K
7
Range Financial Group LLC
57K
8
Concurrent Investment Advisors, LLC
48K
News & Activity

FSLY News

20 articles · 4h ago

About

fastly helps the world’s most popular digital businesses keep pace with their customer expectations by delivering fast, secure, and scalable online experiences. businesses trust the fastly edge cloud platform to accelerate the pace of technical innovation, mitigate evolving threats, and scale on demand. founded in 2011, fastly powers online destinations including airbnb, github, alaska airlines, pinterest, vimeo, the guardian, the new york times and ticketmaster. learn more at fastly.com and follow us on twitter @fastly. our global working community spans from san francisco to denver, new york, london, and tokyo. we have raised $130m to date from investors including august capital, iconiq capital, battery ventures, oatv, and amplify partners. we provide challenging work, opportunities to learn, high-quality teammates, and, most importantly, we have a lot of fun doing what we love. our san francisco headquarters is located in the heart of soma, close to muni, bart, and caltrain. we’re b

Industry
Data Processing, Hosting, and Related Services
CEO
Joshua Bixby
Hossein LotfiSenior Vice President of Engineering
Nicholas RockwellExecutive Vice President of Strategy & Operations
Scott R. LovettPresident of Go to Market
PeersTechnology(7 companies)
Screen sector →
SymbolPriceDay %Mkt CapP/ERev GrwMarginELO
FSLY
$32.36+17.72%$5.1B+1477.8%-1949.9%1500
$196.50-1.00%$4.8T39.8+6547.4%5560.3%1494
$284.18+2.66%$4.2T34.1+642.6%2691.5%1491
$411.38-0.54%$3.1T24.4+1493.2%3614.6%1477
$427.36+2.61%$2.0T81.1+2387.4%3619.8%1504
$640.20+11.06%$722.0B29.9+4885.1%2284.5%1536
$355.26+4.02%$579.2B115.7+3433.8%1251.5%1517
Sector avg+5.22%54.2+2981.0%2438.9%1503