GCT
Earnings in 2 days · May 7, 2026 · Before open
Signal
Bearish Setup2
Price
1
Move-2.97%Negative session
Volume
1
Volume1.3× avgNormal activity
Technical
1
RSIRSI 48Momentum negative
PRICE
Prev Close
45.10
Open
45.39
Day Range43.45 – 46.01
43.45
46.01
52W Range12.88 – 51.86
12.88
51.86
79% of range
VOLUME & SIZE
Avg Volume
671.0K
FUNDAMENTALS
P/E Ratio
12.2x
Value territory
EPS (TTM)
Div Yield
No dividend
Performance
1D
-2.97%
5D
+3.72%
1M
-3.91%
3M
+12.44%
6M
+64.64%
YTD
+11.41%
1Y
+231.52%
Best: 1Y (+231.52%)Worst: 1M (-3.91%)
Quick Read
TrendInsufficient MA data
Momentum
BULLISH
revenue +11% YoY
Valuation
CHEAP
P/E 12x vs ~20x sector
Health
STRONG
CR 2.0 · FCF $4.79/sh
Strong Buy
Key MetricsTTM
Market Cap$1.67B
Revenue TTM$1.29B
Net Income TTM$137.37M
Free Cash Flow$182.79M
Gross Margin23.3%
Net Margin10.6%
Operating Margin11.2%
Return on Equity30.7%
Return on Assets11.4%
Debt / Equity0.97
Current Ratio2.02
EPS TTM$3.60
Alpha SignalsFull Analysis →
What Moves This Stock

Gross Merchandise Value (GMV) growth rates and take rate trends - core indicator of platform adoption

Active buyer and seller counts - network effect strength and market penetration

Logistics margin expansion - ability to improve fulfillment economics as scale increases

Geographic expansion progress - particularly European market penetration and new warehouse openings

Macro Sensitivity
Economic Cycle

high - The business is highly exposed to consumer discretionary spending on furniture and home goods, which correlates strongly with housing activity, consumer confidence, and disposable income. During economic downturns, both retailer demand (buyers) and manufacturer production (sellers) contract. The 65% revenue growth reflects strong post-pandemic home goods demand, but this category is cyclically sensitive. Industrial production and retail sales trends directly impact platform GMV.

Interest Rates

Rising interest rates negatively impact the business through multiple channels: (1) reduced consumer spending on big-ticket home goods items as financing costs increase, (2) lower housing turnover reducing furniture demand, (3) higher inventory financing costs for both manufacturers and resellers using the platform, and (4) valuation multiple compression for high-growth technology stocks. The company's 1.01 debt/equity ratio suggests moderate direct financing cost exposure.

Key Risks

Amazon and other major e-commerce platforms expanding into large parcel B2B categories with superior capital resources and existing buyer relationships

Disintermediation risk as manufacturers build direct-to-retailer capabilities or buyers consolidate purchasing power

Regulatory risks in cross-border trade including tariffs, customs regulations, and data localization requirements affecting China-US-Europe flows

Investor Profile

growth - The 65% revenue growth, 70.9% one-year return, and 1.0x P/S ratio (low for high-growth tech) attract growth investors seeking early-stage platform businesses with network effects. The 30.4% ROE and improving profitability appeal to GARP (growth at reasonable price) investors. High volatility and limited operating history deter value and income investors. Momentum traders attracted by strong recent performance.

Watch on Earnings
US housing starts and existing home sales (HOUST) - primary driver of furniture demandRetail sales excluding autos (RSXFS) - consumer spending on home goodsUSD/CNY exchange rate (DEXCHUS) - impacts cross-border transaction economics and manufacturer marginsConsumer sentiment (UMCSENT) - leading indicator for discretionary spending
Health Radar
5 strong1 watch
80/100
Liquidity
2.02Strong
Leverage
0.97Strong
Coverage
320.7xStrong
ROE
30.7%Strong
ROIC
12.9%Watch
Cash
$380MStrong
ANALYST COVERAGE3 analysts
BUY
-25.7%downside to target
L $15.00
Med $32.50consensus
H $50.00
Buy
267%
Hold
133%
2 Buy (67%)1 Hold (33%)0 Sell (0%)
Full report →
Stock Health
Composite Score
4 of 5 signals bullish
8/10
Technicals
RSI RangeRSI 48 — Bearish momentum
Volume
Volume FlowAccumulation — institutional buying
Fundamentals
Last EarningsBeat estimates
Analyst ConsensusBuy
LiquidityCurrent Ratio 2.02 — healthy liquidity
Upcoming Events
EEarnings Report · After CloseMay 6, 2026
Tomorrow
DEx-Dividend DateAug 3, 2026
In 90 days
PDividend PaymentSep 1, 2026
In 119 days
Technicals
Technical SetupBULLISH
Technicals →

Trend

UptrendGolden Cross · 50D leads 200D by 23.6%

+1.1% vs SMA 50 · +25.0% vs SMA 200

Momentum

RSI48.0
Neutral territory
MACD+0.87
Above zero — bullish momentum · expanding
Market Position
Price Levels
52W High
$51.86+18.5%
Current
$43.76
EMA 50
$40.66-7.1%
EMA 200
$31.49-28.0%
52W Low
$12.88-70.6%
52-Week RangeNear 52-week high
$12.8879th %ile$51.86
Squeeze SetupVolume-based
Moderate Squeeze Setup

Accumulation pattern present — more buying days than selling over the past 20 sessions. Volume conditions support gradual price improvement.

20-Day Money Flow
Acc days:5
Dist days:1
Edge:+4 acc
Volume Context
Avg Vol (50D)734K
Recent Vol (5D)
659K-10%

Based on volume distribution analysis. Direct short interest data (short float %, days to cover) is not available in current data sources.

Earnings & Analysts

ANALYST ESTIMATES

Consensus of 2 analysts
Analyst revisions:EPS↑ Revised UpRevenue↑ Revised Up

Analyst consensus estimates · Actuals replace estimates as reported

YearRevenue Est.Rev GthEPS Est.EPS GthRangeAnalysts
FY2023
$984.8M
$968.5M$999.2M
$2.79
±2%
Low1
FY2024
$1.2B
$1.1B$1.2B
+17.1%$3.10+11.4%
±3%
Low2
FY2025
$1.3B
$1.2B$1.3B
+9.2%$3.13+0.9%
±2%
Low2
Range confidence:Tight (high)ModerateWide (low)
🔥Beat 4 consecutive quarters
Earnings HistoryGCT
Last 8Q
+39.2%avg beat
Beat 6 of 8 quartersMissed 2 Estimates falling
+33%
Q2'24
-8%
Q3'24
+46%
Q4'24
-16%
Q1'25
+48%
Q2'25
+98%
Q3'25
+52%
Q4'25
+60%
Q1'26
Beat
Miss
Estimate
Deeper color = bigger beat/miss
Insider Activity
SEC Filings →
0 Buys/6 SellsNet Selling
Wu LeiCEO
$687K
Mar 19
SELL
Wu LeiCEO
$448K
Mar 19
SELL
Wu LeiCEO
$106K
Mar 20
SELL
Wu LeiCEO
$1.0M
Mar 20
SELL
Wu LeiCEO
$180K
Mar 20
SELL
Wu LeiCEO
$1.3M
Mar 16
SELL
Financials

INSTITUTIONAL OWNERSHIP

1
Nuveen, LLC
579K
2
TRUIST FINANCIAL CORP
158K
3
ProShare Advisors LLC
83K
4
CWA Asset Management Group, LLC
61K
5
RITHOLTZ WEALTH MANAGEMENT
58K
6
Y-Intercept (Hong Kong) Ltd
53K
7
PRINCIPAL FINANCIAL GROUP INC
47K
8
ENVESTNET ASSET MANAGEMENT INC
44K
News & Activity

GCT News

20 articles · 4h ago

About

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PeersConsumer Cyclical(7 companies)
Screen sector →
SymbolPriceDay %Mkt CapP/ERev GrwMarginELO
GCT
$43.76-2.97%$1.7B12.2+1109.8%1065.0%1500
$272.05+1.41%$2.9T32.2+1237.8%1083.4%1515
$392.51+0.45%$1.5T327.5-293.1%400.1%1490
$312.42-3.54%$311.2B21.9+324.0%859.6%1485
$284.10-0.89%$201.9B23.7+372.3%3185.0%1488
$154.64-1.40%$171.7B31.7+711.9%910.0%1510
$165.58-2.39%$128.3B21.3+1338.7%2007.7%1489
Sector avg-1.33%67.2+685.9%1358.7%1497