GHC
Next earnings: Jul 29, 2026 · Before open
Signal
Bearish Setup2
Price
1
Move-1.28%Negative session
Volume
1
Volume0.6× avgNormal activity
Technical
1
RSIRSI 49Momentum negative
PRICE
Prev Close
1,134.42
Open
1,126.74
Day Range1,118.90 – 1,148.21
1,118.90
1,148.21
52W Range882.21 – 1,224.76
882.21
1,224.76
69% of range
VOLUME & SIZE
Avg Volume
19.9K
FUNDAMENTALS
P/E Ratio
16.6x
EPS (TTM)
Div Yield
0.01%
Beta
0.68
Low vol
Performance
1D
+1.06%
5D
-2.51%
1M
+5.73%
3M
-2.22%
6M
+9.80%
YTD
+3.26%
1Y
+20.49%
Best: 1Y (+20.49%)Worst: 5D (-2.51%)
Quick Read
TrendInsufficient MA data
Momentum
BULLISH
revenue +4% YoY
Valuation
FAIR
P/E 17x vs ~20x sector
Health
STRONG
CR 1.8 · FCF $65.96/sh
Bullish
Key MetricsTTM
Market Cap$4.85B
Revenue TTM$4.98B
Net Income TTM$297.50M
Free Cash Flow$285.69M
Gross Margin28.5%
Net Margin6.0%
Operating Margin5.7%
Return on Equity6.5%
Return on Assets3.6%
Debt / Equity0.26
Current Ratio1.79
EPS TTM$68.69
Alpha SignalsFull Analysis →
What Moves This Stock

Kaplan International student enrollment volumes, particularly from China and Middle East markets where visa policies and currency fluctuations drive demand

Political advertising revenue in even-numbered years (2026 midterm cycle currently underway), which can add $30-50M incremental revenue to TV segment

Capital allocation announcements including share buybacks (company has repurchased ~15% of shares over past 5 years) and acquisition activity

Foreign exchange headwinds/tailwinds given 40%+ international revenue exposure, particularly GBP and AUD movements

Macro Sensitivity
Economic Cycle

moderate - Education revenue shows counter-cyclical characteristics (enrollment rises during weak job markets as workers seek retraining) but international student flows are pro-cyclical (dependent on emerging market wealth). TV advertising is moderately cyclical, declining 10-15% in recessions. Manufacturing/automotive segments are highly cyclical. Net effect is moderate sensitivity with education providing partial hedge.

Interest Rates

Rising rates have modest negative impact through higher financing costs for acquisitions and working capital, though minimal given low 0.26x debt/equity ratio. Higher rates reduce valuation multiples for conglomerate structures. Positive impact on $1.2B+ cash balance earning higher yields. Student loan availability at higher rates may marginally reduce education demand, though most Kaplan programs are shorter-duration professional training less dependent on federal loans.

Key Risks

Secular decline in traditional test preparation (SAT/ACT) as universities adopt test-optional policies, reducing Kaplan's legacy revenue base

Shift to online education and free alternatives (Khan Academy, Coursera) pressuring pricing power for standardized test prep and professional training

Cord-cutting and streaming migration reducing linear TV viewership and advertising effectiveness, threatening broadcast station valuations

Investor Profile

value - Attracts deep value investors seeking conglomerate discount opportunities, family-controlled stability (Graham family retains voting control), and disciplined capital allocation. The 1.0x P/B and 4.0x EV/EBITDA multiples appeal to investors willing to look through operational complexity for asset value. Strong FCF generation (6.9% yield) and buyback history attract value-oriented funds. Low institutional ownership (~60%) reflects complexity and small float.

Watch on Earnings
Kaplan International student visa approval rates and enrollment from China (30%+ of international students)US political advertising spending forecasts for 2026 midterm elections (currently tracking $10B+ total market)USD/GBP and USD/AUD exchange rates given UK and Australia education operationsBroadcast retransmission consent fee per subscriber trends (industry average $2-3/month and rising)
Health Radar
2 strong1 watch3 concern
41/100
Liquidity
1.79Watch
Leverage
0.26Strong
Coverage
5.3xStrong
ROE
6.5%Concern
ROIC
2.7%Concern
Cash
$267MConcern
Analyst Coverage

No analyst coverage available for this stock.

Stock Health
Composite Score
2 of 4 signals bullish
4/10
Technicals
RSI RangeRSI 49 — Bearish momentum
Volume
Volume FlowLean Distribution — selling pressure
Fundamentals
Last EarningsBeat estimates
LiquidityCurrent Ratio 1.79 — healthy liquidity

1 signal unavailable — limited data for this stock

Upcoming Events
EEarnings Report · After CloseMay 5, 2026
Tomorrow
DEx-Dividend DateAug 2, 2026
In 90 days
Technicals
Technical SetupBULLISH
Technicals →

Trend

UptrendGolden Cross · 50D leads 200D by 0.8%

+2.8% vs SMA 50 · +3.6% vs SMA 200

Momentum

RSI49.5
Neutral territory
MACD+16.76
Above zero — bullish momentum · compressing
Market Position
Price Levels
52W High
$1,225+9.4%
Current
$1,120
EMA 50
$1,110-0.9%
EMA 200
$1,065-4.9%
52W Low
$882.2-21.2%
52-Week RangeMid-range
$882.269th %ile$1,225
Squeeze SetupVolume-based
No Clear Setup

Volume distribution is neutral or leaning toward distribution. No compelling squeeze setup based on current money flow data.

20-Day Money Flow
Acc days:3
Dist days:6
Edge:+3 dist
Volume Context
Avg Vol (50D)43K
Recent Vol (5D)
29K-34%

Based on volume distribution analysis. Direct short interest data (short float %, days to cover) is not available in current data sources.

Earnings & Analysts

ANALYST ESTIMATES

Consensus of 1 analyst
Analyst revisions:EPS↑ Revised UpRevenue↑ Revised Up

Analyst consensus estimates · Actuals replace estimates as reported

YearRevenue Est.Rev GthEPS Est.EPS GthRangeAnalysts
FY2023
$4.4B
$4.4B$4.4B
$43.00
Low1
FY2024
$4.8B
$4.8B$4.8B
+9.0%$62.50+45.3%
Low1
FY2025
$5.0B
$5.0B$5.0B
+3.1%$51.29-17.9%
Low1
Range confidence:Tight (high)ModerateWide (low)
Earnings HistoryGHC
Last 8Q
+11.1%avg beat
Beat 6 of 8 quartersMissed 1 Estimates falling
+45%
Q3'24
+13%
Q4'24
+2%
Q1'25
+3%
Q2'25
+16%
Q3'25
Q4'25
-19%
Q1'26
+28%
Q2'26
Beat
Miss
Estimate
Deeper color = bigger beat/miss
Insider Activity
SEC Filings →
1 Buy/3 SellsNet Selling
Allen TonyDir
$7K
Jul 30
SELL
Snyman Marcel A.VP-Chief Accou…
$140K
Jan 6
SELL
Weymouth KatharineDir
$359K
Nov 13
SELL
Gayner Thomas Sinni…Dir
$74K
Sep 12
BUY
Financials
Dividends0.66% yield
+5.2% avg annual growth
Annual Yield0.66%
Quarterly Div.$1.8800
Est. Annual / Share$7.52
FrequencyQuarterly
Q3'24
Q4'24
Q1'25
Q2'25
Q3'25
Q4'25
Q1'26
Q2'26

Dividend per payment — last 8 periods

INSTITUTIONAL OWNERSHIP

1
State of Alaska, Department of Revenue
16K
2
Bronte Capital Management Pty Ltd.
13K
3
LEE DANNER & BASS INC
9K
4
HENNESSY ADVISORS INC
9K
5
Nuveen, LLC
7K
6
CBOE Vest Financial, LLC
7K
7
MARKEL GROUP INC.
5K
8
Lafayette Investments, Inc.
4K
News & Activity

GHC News

20 articles · 4h ago

About

graham holdings company (nyse: ghc) is a diversified education and media company whose principal operations include educational services, television broadcasting, cable systems and online, print and local tv news. the company owns kaplan, a leading global provider of educational services; graham media group (wdiv–detroit, kprc–houston, wkmg–orlando, ksat–san antonio, wjxt–jacksonville); cable one, serving small-city subscribers in 19 midwestern, western and southern states; the slate group (slate, slate v, theroot); and foreign policy. the company also owns trove, a digital team focused on innovation and experimentation with emerging technologies; socialcode, a leading social marketing solutions company; celtic healthcare; forney corporation; joyce/dayton corp.; and residential healthcare group.

CEO
Timothy O'Shaughnessy
Nicole Marie MaddreySenior Vice President, General Counsel & Secretary
Marcel A. SnymanVice President & Chief Accounting Officer
Matthew R. GreislerVice President & Treasurer
PeersConsumer Cyclical(7 companies)
Screen sector →
SymbolPriceDay %Mkt CapP/ERev GrwMarginELO
GHC
$1119.88+1.06%$4.9B16.5+251.9%595.1%1500
$272.05+1.27%$2.9T31.8+1237.8%1083.4%1515
$392.51+2.41%$1.5T326.1-293.1%400.1%1490
$312.42-1.50%$322.6B22.7+324.0%859.6%1485
$284.10-2.37%$203.8B23.9+372.3%3185.0%1488
$154.64+0.05%$174.2B32.1+711.9%910.0%1510
$165.58+0.75%$131.4B21.8+1338.7%2007.7%1489
Sector avg+0.24%67.8+563.4%1291.6%1497