GRBK
Next earnings: Jul 29, 2026 · After close
Signal
Mixed11
Price
1
Move+1.48%Positive session
Volume
1
Volume0.6× avgNormal activity
Technical
1
RSIRSI 41Momentum negative
PRICE
Prev Close
64.70
Open
65.38
Day Range64.87 – 66.49
64.87
66.49
52W Range56.85 – 80.97
56.85
80.97
37% of range
VOLUME & SIZE
Avg Volume
175.7K
FUNDAMENTALS
P/E Ratio
9.3x
Value territory
EPS (TTM)
Div Yield
No dividend
Beta
1.48
Market-like
Performance
1D
+1.48%
5D
-2.19%
1M
-0.91%
3M
-12.38%
6M
+4.09%
YTD
+4.79%
1Y
+10.28%
Best: 1Y (+10.28%)Worst: 3M (-12.38%)
Quick Read
TrendInsufficient MA data
Momentum
NEUTRAL
rev -4% · 30% gross margin
Valuation
CHEAP
P/E 9x vs ~20x sector
Health
STRONG
CR 8.5 · FCF $3.23/sh
Bullish
Key MetricsTTM
Market Cap$2.83B
Revenue TTM$2.06B
Net Income TTM$299.11M
Free Cash Flow$140.41M
Gross Margin29.9%
Net Margin14.5%
Operating Margin21.4%
Return on Equity16.9%
Return on Assets11.8%
Debt / Equity0.18
Current Ratio8.47
EPS TTM$6.89
Alpha SignalsFull Analysis →
What Moves This Stock

Monthly absorption rates and net order trends in Dallas-Fort Worth and Atlanta markets, which signal demand strength

Gross margin trajectory driven by pricing power versus lumber, labor, and land costs

Community count expansion and lot pipeline growth, particularly new community openings in high-growth Texas submarkets

Mortgage rate movements affecting buyer affordability and traffic conversion rates

Macro Sensitivity
Economic Cycle

high - Homebuilding is highly cyclical and directly tied to employment growth, wage trends, household formation, and consumer confidence. Texas markets benefit from strong population migration and job growth, but a recession would materially impact demand. The entry-level focus provides some defensiveness versus luxury segments, as first-time buyers are less discretionary, but overall sensitivity to GDP and employment remains elevated.

Interest Rates

Mortgage rates are the single most important variable affecting affordability and buyer qualification. Rising rates from current levels would compress the buyer pool, slow absorption rates, and pressure margins as incentives increase. The company's focus on affordable price points provides some buffer, but a 100bp rate increase materially impacts monthly payments and demand. Conversely, rate declines would unlock significant pent-up demand and accelerate order growth. Corporate debt levels are minimal (0.19 D/E), so direct financing cost impact is negligible.

Key Risks

Texas market concentration risk (estimated 60-70% of revenue) exposes the company to regional economic shocks, oil price volatility affecting Houston employment, or state-specific regulatory changes

Labor availability constraints in construction trades, particularly skilled framers and finishers, could extend cycle times and increase costs in tight labor markets

Climate risk from increasing severity of storms and flooding in Texas and Florida markets, potentially raising insurance costs and affecting buyer demand in vulnerable areas

Investor Profile

growth - The 37.3% EPS growth, 19.8% ROE, and strong revenue momentum attract growth investors seeking cyclical exposure to housing recovery and Texas demographic tailwinds. The land-light model and capital efficiency appeal to quality-focused growth managers. Recent 32% one-year return and 28.5% three-month performance indicate momentum factor participation. Limited dividend (implied by metrics) means income investors are not the primary base.

Watch on Earnings
30-year fixed mortgage rate (MORTGAGE30US) as primary affordability driverHousing starts and building permits in Texas and Georgia (HOUST, PERMIT) indicating competitive supplyLumber futures prices (LBUSD) as key input cost affecting gross marginsDallas-Fort Worth and Atlanta MSA employment growth and population migration trends
Health Radar
3 strong1 watch2 concern
54/100
Liquidity
8.47Strong
Leverage
0.18Strong
Coverage
0.0xConcern
ROE
16.9%Strong
ROIC
15.0%Watch
Cash
$191MConcern
ANALYST COVERAGE11 analysts
HOLD
Buy
327%
Hold
873%
3 Buy (27%)8 Hold (73%)0 Sell (0%)
Full report →
Stock Health
Composite Score
2 of 5 signals bullish
4/10
Technicals
RSI RangeRSI 41 — Bearish momentum
Volume
Volume FlowDistribution — institutional selling
Fundamentals
Last EarningsBeat estimates
Analyst ConsensusHold
~
LiquidityCurrent Ratio 8.47 — healthy liquidity
Upcoming Events
EEarnings Report · Before OpenMay 7, 2026
Tomorrow
DEx-Dividend DateAug 4, 2026
In 90 days
PDividend PaymentAug 10, 2026
In 96 days
Technicals
Technical SetupBEARISH
Technicals →

Trend

DowntrendDeath Cross · 50D trails 200D by 1.1%

-2.9% vs SMA 50 · -3.9% vs SMA 200

Momentum

RSI40.6
Momentum fading
MACD-0.09
Below zero — bearish pulse · compressing
Market Position
Price Levels
52W High
$80.97+23.3%
EMA 50
$68.20+3.9%
EMA 200
$67.18+2.3%
Current
$65.66
52W Low
$56.85-13.4%
52-Week RangeMid-range
$56.8537th %ile$80.97
Squeeze SetupVolume-based
Distribution Pressure

Distribution pattern detected. More selling days than accumulation over the past 20 sessions. Not a conducive environment for a squeeze.

20-Day Money Flow
Acc days:7
Dist days:2
Edge:+5 acc
Volume Context
Avg Vol (50D)249K
Recent Vol (5D)
237K-5%

Based on volume distribution analysis. Direct short interest data (short float %, days to cover) is not available in current data sources.

Earnings & Analysts

ANALYST ESTIMATES

Consensus of 2 analysts
Analyst revisions:Revenue↑ Revised Up

Analyst consensus estimates · Actuals replace estimates as reported

YearRevenue Est.Rev GthEPS Est.EPS GthRangeAnalysts
FY2023
$1.8B
$1.7B$1.8B
$6.66
±3%
Low1
FY2024
$2.1B
$2.1B$2.1B
+17.8%$8.13+22.1%
±2%
Low2
FY2025
$2.0B
$2.0B$2.0B
-3.3%$6.94-14.6%
±2%
Low2
Range confidence:Tight (high)ModerateWide (low)
🔥Beat 4 consecutive quarters
Earnings HistoryGRBK
Last 8Q
+11.5%avg beat
Beat 6 of 8 quartersMissed 2 Estimates falling
+31%
Q3'24
-4%
Q4'24
+12%
Q1'25
-5%
Q2'25
+13%
Q3'25
+24%
Q4'25
+10%
Q1'26
+12%
Q2'26
Beat
Miss
Estimate
Deeper color = bigger beat/miss
Analyst Activity
All ratings →
No recent activity
Zacks Investment Re…Buy
Apr 26
UPGRADE
Insider Activity
SEC Filings →
0 Buys/6 SellsNet Selling
Press Richard SDir
$180K
Mar 2
SELL
Press Richard SDir
$209K
Aug 18
SELL
Press Richard SDir
$211K
Aug 19
SELL
Dolson JedPresident and…
$1.3M
Aug 12
SELL
Dolson JedPresident and…
$1.0M
Aug 13
SELL
Suit Neal JGeneral Counse…
$166K
Mar 3
SELL
Financials

INSTITUTIONAL OWNERSHIP

1
SALEM INVESTMENT COUNSELORS INC
642K
2
Annex Advisory Services, LLC
550K
3
Bank of New York Mellon Corp
201K
4
PRINCIPAL FINANCIAL GROUP INC
164K
5
UBS Group AG
102K
6
Security National Bank
93K
7
North Star Investment Management Corp.
68K
8
Nuveen, LLC
66K
News & Activity

GRBK News

20 articles · 4h ago

About

green brick partners, inc. is a publicly traded company listed on the nasdaq capital market under the ticker symbol "grbk"​. green brick partners, inc. invests in a wide range of real estate investments. we develop neighborhoods for our builders and for many of the most well-known, largest, public and private builders in the nation under our green brick communities brand. our mission is to provide expertise and capital to build neighborhoods with timeless, classic architecture interwoven with the latest technological advancements, and in turn provide a superior long term return for our investors, residents, and cities we build in. because we are actively involved in every step of the land entitlement, land development and home construction process with our building partners (the providence group, normandy homes, cb jeni homes, southgate homes, centre living homes) – we are uniquely experienced to optimally master plan and develop complex higher density residential communities.

CEO
James Brickman
Bill HandlerPresident of GHO Homes
Jed DolsonPresident & Chief Operating Officer
Steve SchermerhornPresident of CB JENI Lifestyle, Normandy & Southgate Homes
PeersConsumer Cyclical(7 companies)
Screen sector →
SymbolPriceDay %Mkt CapP/ERev GrwMarginELO
GRBK
$65.66+1.48%$2.8B9.5-2.2%1492.6%1500
$273.55+0.55%$2.9T32.4+1237.8%1083.4%1517
$389.37-0.80%$1.5T324.9-293.1%400.1%1491
$315.42+0.96%$314.2B22.1+324.0%859.6%1485
$285.17+0.38%$202.7B23.8+372.3%3185.0%1488
$154.96+0.21%$171.5B31.7+711.9%910.0%1511
$167.63+1.24%$129.9B21.5+1338.7%2007.7%1489
Sector avg+0.57%66.6+527.1%1419.8%1497