LINC
Earnings in 6 days · May 11, 2026 · Before open
Signal
Leaning Bullish1
Price
1
Move+0.32%Quiet session
Volume
1
Volume0.6× avgNormal activity
Technical
1
RSIRSI 56Momentum positive
PRICE
Prev Close
40.93
Open
40.57
Day Range40.00 – 41.39
40.00
41.39
52W Range17.29 – 42.85
17.29
42.85
93% of range
VOLUME & SIZE
Avg Volume
503.5K
FUNDAMENTALS
P/E Ratio
64.2x
Premium valuation
EPS (TTM)
Div Yield
No dividend
Beta
0.75
Low vol
Performance
1D
+0.32%
5D
+4.13%
1M
-3.71%
3M
+54.54%
6M
+121.35%
YTD
+70.02%
1Y
+124.86%
Best: 1Y (+124.86%)Worst: 1M (-3.71%)
Quick Read
TrendInsufficient MA data
Momentum
BULLISH
revenue +18% YoY · 60% gross margin
Valuation
EXPENSIVE
P/E 64x vs ~20x sector
Health
WEAK
CR 0.9 (low) · FCF negative
Neutral
Key MetricsTTM
Market Cap$1.31B
Revenue TTM$518.24M
Net Income TTM$20.00M
Free Cash Flow-$27.32M
Gross Margin60.4%
Net Margin3.9%
Operating Margin5.7%
Return on Equity10.8%
Return on Assets4.1%
Debt / Equity1.02
Current Ratio0.86
EPS TTM$0.65
Alpha SignalsFull Analysis →
What Moves This Stock

New student enrollment starts per quarter - leading indicator of future revenue given 6-24 month program durations

Federal Title IV compliance status and regulatory changes to gainful employment rules or borrower defense standards

Average revenue per student and program mix shift toward higher-margin skilled trades versus lower-margin healthcare programs

Campus-level utilization rates and decisions to open, consolidate, or close underperforming locations

Macro Sensitivity
Economic Cycle

moderate-high - For-profit career education exhibits counter-cyclical enrollment patterns during recessions as displaced workers seek retraining, but pro-cyclical revenue quality as employment strength affects completion rates and default rates. Rising unemployment typically drives enrollment inquiries, but weak job markets reduce graduate placement rates and increase loan defaults. The skilled trades focus provides some insulation as construction, manufacturing, and healthcare sectors show persistent labor shortages. Current 16.4% revenue growth suggests strong enrollment momentum, potentially reflecting tight labor markets driving career-switchers into skilled trades.

Interest Rates

Federal student loan rates are set by Congress, not market rates, reducing direct interest rate sensitivity for student financing. However, rising rates increase the company's own borrowing costs (1.05x debt/equity) and may compress valuation multiples for growth-oriented education stocks. Higher rates also correlate with tighter credit conditions that can reduce private loan availability for students not fully covered by Title IV aid. The 28.5x EV/EBITDA valuation suggests significant multiple compression risk if rates remain elevated.

Key Risks

Regulatory risk from Department of Education gainful employment rules, borrower defense claims, and potential restrictions on Title IV access for for-profit institutions - sector has faced periodic crackdowns

Secular shift toward community college and apprenticeship alternatives offering lower-cost pathways to skilled trades, potentially eroding enrollment demand

Demographic headwinds from declining high school graduation rates in certain regions and increased competition for non-traditional adult learners

Investor Profile

momentum/growth - The 69.5% one-year return and 45.9% three-month return indicate strong momentum characteristics attracting technical traders and growth investors betting on enrollment recovery. The 1.9x price/sales and 5.1x price/book valuations suggest growth expectations are priced in. However, negative FCF and 62% earnings decline create risk for value investors. The small $1.0B market cap and education sector volatility attract speculative capital and sector rotation plays rather than institutional quality investors.

Watch on Earnings
Monthly unemployment rate (UNRATE) as leading indicator of enrollment demand - rising unemployment typically drives career education inquiriesFederal student loan cohort default rates published by Department of Education - must remain below 30% threshold for Title IV eligibilityNew student enrollment starts per quarter and year-over-year growth trendsAverage revenue per student and program mix composition (skilled trades vs healthcare vs other)
Health Radar
1 strong2 watch3 concern
43/100
Liquidity
0.86Concern
Leverage
1.02Watch
Coverage
8.7xStrong
ROE
10.8%Watch
ROIC
5.6%Concern
Cash
$29MConcern
ANALYST COVERAGE14 analysts
HOLD
-7.5%downside to target
L $35.00
Med $38.00consensus
H $44.00
Buy
750%
Hold
429%
Sell
321%
7 Buy (50%)4 Hold (29%)3 Sell (21%)
Full report →
Stock Health
Composite Score
2 of 5 signals bullish
6/10
Technicals
RSI RangeRSI 56 — Bullish momentum
Volume
Volume FlowNeutral
~
Fundamentals
Last EarningsBeat estimates
Analyst ConsensusHold
~
LiquidityCurrent Ratio 0.86 — liquidity risk
Upcoming Events
EEarnings Report · After CloseMay 6, 2026
Tomorrow
DEx-Dividend DateAug 3, 2026
In 90 days
PDividend PaymentAug 20, 2026
In 107 days
Technicals
Technical SetupBULLISH
Technicals →

Trend

UptrendGolden Cross · 50D leads 200D by 10.8%

+88.6% vs SMA 50 · +108.9% vs SMA 200

Momentum

RSI55.8
Positive momentum, not extended
MACD+1.68
Above zero — bullish momentum · expanding
Market Position
Price Levels
52W High
$42.85+4.4%
Current
$41.06
EMA 50
$22.44-45.3%
EMA 200
$19.65-52.1%
52W Low
$17.29-57.9%
52-Week RangeNear 52-week high
$17.2993th %ile$42.85
Squeeze SetupVolume-based
No Clear Setup

Volume distribution is neutral or leaning toward distribution. No compelling squeeze setup based on current money flow data.

20-Day Money Flow
Acc days:2
Dist days:1
Edge:+1 acc
Volume Context
Avg Vol (50D)291K
Recent Vol (5D)
151K-48%

Based on volume distribution analysis. Direct short interest data (short float %, days to cover) is not available in current data sources.

Earnings & Analysts

ANALYST ESTIMATES

Consensus of 4 analysts
Analyst revisions:EPS↑ Revised UpRevenue↓ Revised Down

Analyst consensus estimates · Actuals replace estimates as reported

YearRevenue Est.Rev GthEPS Est.EPS GthRangeAnalysts
FY2025
$508.2M
$507.7M$508.6M
$0.82
±1%
Moderate3
FY2026(current)
$585.1M
$584.4M$586.6M
+15.1%$0.70-14.7%
±3%
Moderate4
FY2027
$637.9M
$628.5M$643.2M
+9.0%$1.13+61.8%
±11%
Moderate4
Range confidence:Tight (high)ModerateWide (low)
🔥Beat 8 consecutive quarters
Earnings HistoryLINC
Last 8Q
+96.0%avg beat
Beat 8 of 8 quarters Estimates rising
+83%
Q2'24
+200%
Q3'24
+44%
Q4'24
+55%
Q1'25
+175%
Q2'25
+125%
Q3'25
+67%
Q4'25
+19%
Q1'26
Beat
Miss
Estimate
Deeper color = bigger beat/miss
* Negative EPS shown at reduced height
Insider Activity
SEC Filings →
0 Buys/6 SellsNet Selling
Nyce Chad DCOO
$308K
Mar 10
SELL
Young Sylvia JeanDir
$285K
Mar 6
SELL
Juniper Investment …Other: Affilia…
$5.4M
Feb 25
SELL
Plater Michael ADir
$617K
Mar 2
SELL
Juniper Investment …Other: Affilia…
$9.5M
Feb 25
SELL
Burke James J JrDir
$185K
Feb 25
SELL
Financials

INSTITUTIONAL OWNERSHIP

1
WASATCH ADVISORS LP
777K
2
Pullen Investment Management, LLC
188K
3
North Star Investment Management Corp.
168K
4
Private Advisor Group, LLC
127K
5
Y-Intercept (Hong Kong) Ltd
72K
6
Nuveen, LLC
58K
7
Huntleigh Advisors, Inc.
53K
8
Ellsworth Advisors, LLC
25K
News & Activity

LINC News

20 articles · 4h ago

About

lincoln tech is one of the nation’s most established networks of career training schools. since 1946, lincoln schools around the country have helped more than a quarter-million graduates launch hands-on careers in the automotive, diesel, healthcare, culinary, hospitality, and it industries, as well as in the skilled trades including welding, computerized manufacturing, hvac, electrical and electronics. lincoln currently has campuses in 14 states, under the brands lincoln technical institute, lincoln college of technology, lincoln culinary institute, euphoria institute of beauty arts and sciences, and lincoln college of new england.

CEO
Scott Shaw
Gina L. ZaffinoSenior Vice President of Education
Chad D. NyceExecutive Vice President & Chief Operating Officer
David ShawSenior Vice President of Finance
PeersConsumer Cyclical(7 companies)
Screen sector →
SymbolPriceDay %Mkt CapP/ERev GrwMarginELO
LINC
$41.06+0.32%$1.3B63.5+1776.5%385.9%1500
$272.05+1.41%$2.9T32.2+1237.8%1083.4%1515
$392.51+0.45%$1.5T327.5-293.1%400.1%1490
$312.42-3.54%$311.2B21.9+324.0%859.6%1485
$284.10-0.89%$201.9B23.7+372.3%3185.0%1488
$154.64-1.40%$171.7B31.7+711.9%910.0%1510
$165.58-2.39%$128.3B21.3+1338.7%2007.7%1489
Sector avg-0.86%74.5+781.2%1261.7%1497