MCFT
Earnings in 2 days · May 7, 2026 · Before open
Signal
Mixed11
Price
1
Move-4.01%Selling pressure
Volume
1
Volume1.1× avgNormal activity
Technical
1
RSIRSI 64Momentum positive
PRICE
Prev Close
23.44
Open
23.22
Day Range22.34 – 23.46
22.34
23.46
52W Range15.74 – 26.49
15.74
26.49
63% of range
VOLUME & SIZE
Avg Volume
140.0K
FUNDAMENTALS
P/E Ratio
23.9x
EPS (TTM)
Div Yield
No dividend
Beta
1.06
Market-like
Performance
1D
-4.01%
5D
-3.72%
1M
+10.89%
3M
-2.68%
6M
+12.28%
YTD
+18.98%
1Y
+39.32%
Best: 1Y (+39.32%)Worst: 1D (-4.01%)
Quick Read
TrendInsufficient MA data
Momentum
BULLISH
revenue +6% YoY
Valuation
FAIR
P/E 24x vs ~20x sector
Health
STRONG
CR 2.1 · FCF $1.59/sh
Bullish
Key MetricsTTM
Market Cap$366.30M
Revenue TTM$296.24M
Net Income TTM$15.60M
Free Cash Flow$26.19M
Gross Margin21.8%
Net Margin5.3%
Operating Margin5.6%
Return on Equity8.4%
Return on Assets6.0%
Debt / Equity0.00
Current Ratio2.07
EPS TTM$0.95
Alpha SignalsFull Analysis →
What Moves This Stock

Dealer inventory levels and restocking patterns - excess inventory forces production cuts and margin pressure

Retail unit sales trends and point-of-sale data from dealers indicating end-consumer demand strength

Marine financing availability and approval rates - 70-80% of boat purchases are financed

New model introductions and market share gains/losses in key segments (performance sport, luxury pontoon)

Macro Sensitivity
Economic Cycle

high - Recreational boats are highly discretionary purchases concentrated among upper-middle and high-income households. Demand correlates strongly with consumer confidence, wealth effects from equity/housing markets, and discretionary spending capacity. The 22.5% revenue decline reflects typical cyclical compression when consumers delay big-ticket recreational purchases. Recovery depends on stabilization of consumer sentiment and household balance sheets.

Interest Rates

Very high sensitivity to interest rates through multiple channels: (1) 70-80% of boat purchases are financed, so rising rates directly increase monthly payments and reduce affordability, (2) higher rates compress dealer financing costs and inventory carrying costs, reducing dealer willingness to stock boats, (3) rising mortgage rates reduce home equity availability for boat purchases, and (4) higher discount rates compress valuation multiples for cyclical consumer stocks. The Federal Funds Rate moving from 0.25% in 2021 to 5%+ by 2023 was a primary driver of demand contraction.

Key Risks

Demographic shifts as younger consumers show lower boat ownership rates and preference for shared-access models (boat clubs, rentals) versus ownership

Climate and environmental regulations potentially restricting waterway access, emissions standards for marine engines, or increasing operational costs

Secular shift toward experiential spending (travel, dining) versus durable goods ownership among affluent millennials

Investor Profile

value - The stock attracts deep value and special situations investors betting on cyclical recovery, given depressed margins (4% operating vs. 8-12% historical), 22.5% revenue decline suggesting trough conditions, and strong recent performance (32% 3-month return) indicating early-stage turnaround positioning. The 6.8% FCF yield and 1.3x P/S ratio appeal to value investors anticipating mean reversion. Not suitable for growth or dividend investors given negative growth and likely no dividend at current profitability.

Watch on Earnings
Federal Funds Rate and marine loan interest rates - primary demand driver through financing costsUniversity of Michigan Consumer Sentiment Index - leading indicator for discretionary big-ticket purchasesPersonal savings rate - indicates household capacity for discretionary spendingHigh-yield credit spreads - proxy for credit availability and risk appetite affecting marine lending
Health Radar
3 strong2 watch1 concern
59/100
Liquidity
2.07Strong
Leverage
0.00Strong
Coverage
189.1xStrong
ROE
8.4%Watch
ROIC
6.6%Concern
Cash
$29MWatch
ANALYST COVERAGE10 analysts
BUY
+11.1%upside to target
L $21.00
Med $25.00consensus
H $28.00
Buy
550%
Hold
550%
5 Buy (50%)5 Hold (50%)0 Sell (0%)
Full report →
Stock Health
Composite Score
5 of 5 signals bullish
10/10
Technicals
RSI RangeRSI 64 — Bullish momentum
Volume
Volume FlowAccumulation — institutional buying
Fundamentals
Last EarningsBeat estimates
Analyst ConsensusBuy
LiquidityCurrent Ratio 2.07 — healthy liquidity
Upcoming Events
EEarnings Report · After CloseMay 6, 2026
Tomorrow
DEx-Dividend DateAug 3, 2026
In 90 days
PDividend PaymentSep 1, 2026
In 119 days
Technicals
Technical SetupBULLISH
Technicals →

Trend

UptrendGolden Cross · 50D leads 200D by 4.0%

+3.9% vs SMA 50 · +8.0% vs SMA 200

Momentum

RSI63.8
Positive momentum, not extended
MACD-0.23
Below zero — bearish pulse · compressing
Market Position
Price Levels
52W High
$26.49+17.7%
Current
$22.50
EMA 50
$21.93-2.5%
EMA 200
$20.26-9.9%
52W Low
$15.74-30.0%
52-Week RangeMid-range
$15.7463th %ile$26.49
Squeeze SetupVolume-based
Moderate Squeeze Setup

Accumulation pattern present — more buying days than selling over the past 20 sessions. Volume conditions support gradual price improvement.

20-Day Money Flow
Acc days:6
Dist days:1
Edge:+5 acc
Volume Context
Avg Vol (50D)98K
Recent Vol (5D)
108K+10%

Based on volume distribution analysis. Direct short interest data (short float %, days to cover) is not available in current data sources.

Earnings & Analysts

ANALYST ESTIMATES

Consensus of 7 analysts
Analyst revisions:EPS↓ Revised DownRevenue↓ Revised Down

Analyst consensus estimates · Actuals replace estimates as reported

YearRevenue Est.Rev GthEPS Est.EPS GthRangeAnalysts
FY2023
$654.6M
$650.8M$658.3M
$5.06
±2%
High7
FY2024
$362.5M
$360.6M$364.4M
-44.6%$1.00-80.3%
±2%
High5
FY2025
$276.9M
$276.6M$277.6M
-23.6%$0.70-29.5%
±1%
Moderate4
Range confidence:Tight (high)ModerateWide (low)
🔥Beat 8 consecutive quarters
Earnings HistoryMCFT
Last 8Q
+212.7%avg beat
Beat 8 of 8 quarters Estimates rising
+61%
Q2'24
+82%
Q3'24
+314%
Q4'24
+900%
Q1'25
+67%
Q2'25
+122%
Q3'25
+75%
Q4'25
+81%
Q1'26
Beat
Miss
Estimate
Deeper color = bigger beat/miss
* Negative EPS shown at reduced height
Insider Activity
SEC Filings →
2 Buys/4 SellsNet Selling
Forager Fund, L.p.10 Percent Own…
$623K
Feb 20
SELL
Forager Fund, L.p.10 Percent Own…
$289K
Feb 17
SELL
Forager Fund, L.p.10 Percent Own…
$452K
Feb 18
SELL
Forager Fund, L.p.10 Percent Own…
$706K
Feb 19
SELL
Coliseum Capital Ma…10 Percent Own…
$492K
Dec 22
BUY
Coliseum Capital Ma…10 Percent Own…
$1.5M
Dec 19
BUY
Financials

INSTITUTIONAL OWNERSHIP

1
WEDGE CAPITAL MANAGEMENT L L P/NC
54K
2
Nuveen, LLC
34K
3
Ellsworth Advisors, LLC
34K
4
FIFTH THIRD BANCORP
12K
5
EXCHANGE TRADED CONCEPTS, LLC
11K
6
STRS OHIO
10K
7
Police & Firemen's Retirement System of New Jersey
4K
8
State of Alaska, Department of Revenue
2K
News & Activity

MCFT News

20 articles · 4h ago

About

headquartered in vonore, tn, mastercraft boat company (mcbc holdings, inc. - nasdaq: mcft) is a world-renowned innovator, designer, manufacturer, and marketer of mastercraft brand premium performance sport boats. founded in 1968, mastercraft has cultivated its iconic brand image through a rich history of industry-leading innovation, and more than four decades after the original mastercraft made its debut the company's goal remains the same—to continue building the world's best ski, wakeboard and luxury performance powerboats. for more information, visit www.mastercraft.com.

CEO
Frederick Brightbill
Charlene HamptonVice President of Human Resources
Jim BrownVice President of Operations
Mike O'ConnellSenior Vice President of Operational Excellence & President of Pontoon Segment
PeersConsumer Cyclical(7 companies)
Screen sector →
SymbolPriceDay %Mkt CapP/ERev GrwMarginELO
MCFT
$22.50-4.01%$366M23.7-2247.3%247.8%1500
$272.05+1.41%$2.9T32.2+1237.8%1083.4%1515
$392.51+0.45%$1.5T327.5-293.1%400.1%1490
$312.42-3.54%$311.2B21.9+324.0%859.6%1485
$284.10-0.89%$201.9B23.7+372.3%3185.0%1488
$154.64-1.40%$171.7B31.7+711.9%910.0%1510
$165.58-2.39%$128.3B21.3+1338.7%2007.7%1489
Sector avg-1.48%68.8+206.3%1241.9%1497