Comparable store sales (comp sales) trends - reflects traffic patterns, ticket size, and market share dynamics in existing locations
Gross margin trajectory - driven by tire deflation/inflation, service mix shift, and promotional intensity
Store footprint optimization - closure of underperforming locations versus new market expansion or strategic acquisitions
Labor cost management - technician wage inflation, hiring challenges, and productivity metrics (cars per bay per day)
moderate-high - Automotive service demand exhibits defensive characteristics (vehicles require maintenance regardless of economy) but discretionary elements are cyclical. During recessions, consumers defer tire purchases and delay non-critical repairs, trading down to cheaper tire brands. However, reduced new vehicle sales during downturns increase average fleet age, eventually driving repair demand. Miles driven correlates with employment and gasoline prices. Current -6.4% revenue decline suggests cyclical headwinds or market share loss. The business is more resilient than new vehicle sales but more cyclical than non-discretionary healthcare.
Rising interest rates negatively impact Monro through multiple channels: (1) Higher financing costs on the company's debt (0.80 D/E ratio), compressing already-thin operating margins; (2) Reduced consumer purchasing power as auto loan rates rise, potentially extending vehicle replacement cycles which initially helps repair demand but eventually leads to fleet turnover; (3) Lower valuation multiples as investors demand higher returns from cyclical, low-growth businesses. The 0.45 current ratio indicates working capital constraints that could require additional borrowing. Conversely, rate cuts would ease financing pressure and support consumer spending on vehicle maintenance.
Electric vehicle adoption reduces maintenance intensity - EVs eliminate oil changes, exhaust systems, and transmission services, and regenerative braking extends brake life 2-3x. While tire services remain relevant, EVs could reduce service revenue per vehicle by 30-40% over the next decade as fleet composition shifts
Tire manufacturer direct-to-consumer strategies - Goodyear, Michelin, and others are building owned retail networks and online sales channels, potentially disintermediating traditional retailers. Mobile tire installation services (e.g., Tire Agent) also threaten store traffic
Advanced driver assistance systems (ADAS) increase repair complexity and calibration requirements, necessitating capital investment in diagnostic equipment and technician training. Shops lacking ADAS capabilities risk losing business to dealerships
value/turnaround - The stock attracts deep value investors seeking operational turnaround opportunities, given 0.6x P/S and 1.1x P/B valuations trading below tangible book value. The 15.6% FCF yield despite negative net margins suggests hidden cash generation that value investors can unlock through operational improvements. Recent 44.9% six-month return indicates momentum traders are also participating, likely betting on margin recovery or strategic alternatives. Not suitable for growth or dividend investors given negative earnings and likely suspended/minimal dividends. Requires high conviction in management's ability to rationalize store footprint and restore profitability.
Trend
-5.5% vs SMA 50 · -13.0% vs SMA 200
Momentum
Distribution pattern detected. More selling days than accumulation over the past 20 sessions. Not a conducive environment for a squeeze.
Based on volume distribution analysis. Direct short interest data (short float %, days to cover) is not available in current data sources.
ANALYST ESTIMATES
Analyst consensus estimates · Actuals replace estimates as reported
| Year | Revenue Est. | Rev Gth | EPS Est. | EPS Gth | Range | Analysts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
FY2024 | $1.2B $1.2B–$1.3B | — | $1.09 | — | ±1% | Low2 |
FY2025 | $1.2B $1.2B–$1.2B | ▼ -4.3% | $0.60 | ▼ -44.7% | ±14% | Moderate4 |
FY2026(current) | $1.2B $1.2B–$1.2B | ▼ -2.0% | $0.53 | ▼ -12.0% | ±1% | Moderate3 |
Dividend per payment — last 8 periods
INSTITUTIONAL OWNERSHIP
MNRO News
About
Headquartered in Rochester, New York, Monro is a chain of 1,259 company-operated stores, 96 franchised locations, seven wholesale locations and three retread facilities providing automotive undercar repair and tire sales and services. The Company operates in 32 states, serving the MidAtlantic and New England regions and portions of the Great Lakes, Midwest, Southeast and Western United States. The predecessor to the Company was founded by Charles J. August in 1957 as a Midas Muffler franchise. In 1966, Monro began to diversify into a full line of undercar repair services. The Company has experienced significant growth in recent years through
| Symbol | Price | Day % | Mkt Cap↓ | P/E | Rev Grw | Margin | ELO |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
MNRO◀ | $15.76 | -3.43% | $473M | — | -638.0% | -43.4% | 1500 |
| $264.14 | -1.15% | $2.8T | 31.3 | +1237.8% | 1083.4% | 1521 | |
| $422.24 | -4.75% | $1.6T | 352.3 | -293.1% | 400.1% | 1507 | |
| $297.51 | -2.25% | $296.3B | 20.9 | +324.0% | 859.6% | 1477 | |
| $276.39 | +0.52% | $196.4B | 22.6 | +372.3% | 3185.0% | 1478 | |
| $147.43 | +0.05% | $163.2B | 30.2 | +711.9% | 910.0% | 1494 | |
| $218.42 | -2.32% | $122.3B | 18.3 | +312.2% | 771.2% | 1489 | |
| Sector avg | — | -1.90% | — | 79.3 | +289.6% | 1023.7% | 1495 |