MNRO
Earnings in 11 days · May 27, 2026 · Before open
Signal
Bearish Setup2
Price
1
Move-3.43%Selling pressure
Volume
1
Volume1.0× avgNormal activity
Technical
1
RSIRSI 38Momentum negative
PRICE
Prev Close
16.32
Open
16.10
Day Range15.51 – 16.53
15.51
16.53
52W Range12.24 – 23.91
12.24
23.91
30% of range
VOLUME & SIZE
Avg Volume
800.9K
FUNDAMENTALS
P/E Ratio
-32.8x
Not profitable
EPS (TTM)
Div Yield
0.02%
Beta
0.91
Market-like
Performance
1D
-3.43%
5D
-10.05%
1M
-4.89%
3M
-33.81%
6M
-9.53%
YTD
-21.36%
1Y
+21.70%
Best: 1Y (+21.70%)Worst: 3M (-33.81%)
Quick Read
TrendInsufficient MA data
Momentum
NEUTRAL
rev -3% · 35% gross margin
Valuation
FAIR
P/E not available
Health
WEAK
CR 0.5 (low) · FCF $1.65/sh
Lean Bearish
Key MetricsTTM
Market Cap$473.11M
Revenue TTM$1.18B
Net Income TTM-$12.52M
Free Cash Flow$49.63M
Gross Margin34.8%
Net Margin-1.1%
Operating Margin2.3%
Return on Equity-2.1%
Return on Assets-0.8%
Debt / Equity0.80
Current Ratio0.45
EPS TTM$-0.42
Alpha SignalsFull Analysis →
What Moves This Stock

Comparable store sales (comp sales) trends - reflects traffic patterns, ticket size, and market share dynamics in existing locations

Gross margin trajectory - driven by tire deflation/inflation, service mix shift, and promotional intensity

Store footprint optimization - closure of underperforming locations versus new market expansion or strategic acquisitions

Labor cost management - technician wage inflation, hiring challenges, and productivity metrics (cars per bay per day)

Macro Sensitivity
Economic Cycle

moderate-high - Automotive service demand exhibits defensive characteristics (vehicles require maintenance regardless of economy) but discretionary elements are cyclical. During recessions, consumers defer tire purchases and delay non-critical repairs, trading down to cheaper tire brands. However, reduced new vehicle sales during downturns increase average fleet age, eventually driving repair demand. Miles driven correlates with employment and gasoline prices. Current -6.4% revenue decline suggests cyclical headwinds or market share loss. The business is more resilient than new vehicle sales but more cyclical than non-discretionary healthcare.

Interest Rates

Rising interest rates negatively impact Monro through multiple channels: (1) Higher financing costs on the company's debt (0.80 D/E ratio), compressing already-thin operating margins; (2) Reduced consumer purchasing power as auto loan rates rise, potentially extending vehicle replacement cycles which initially helps repair demand but eventually leads to fleet turnover; (3) Lower valuation multiples as investors demand higher returns from cyclical, low-growth businesses. The 0.45 current ratio indicates working capital constraints that could require additional borrowing. Conversely, rate cuts would ease financing pressure and support consumer spending on vehicle maintenance.

Key Risks

Electric vehicle adoption reduces maintenance intensity - EVs eliminate oil changes, exhaust systems, and transmission services, and regenerative braking extends brake life 2-3x. While tire services remain relevant, EVs could reduce service revenue per vehicle by 30-40% over the next decade as fleet composition shifts

Tire manufacturer direct-to-consumer strategies - Goodyear, Michelin, and others are building owned retail networks and online sales channels, potentially disintermediating traditional retailers. Mobile tire installation services (e.g., Tire Agent) also threaten store traffic

Advanced driver assistance systems (ADAS) increase repair complexity and calibration requirements, necessitating capital investment in diagnostic equipment and technician training. Shops lacking ADAS capabilities risk losing business to dealerships

Investor Profile

value/turnaround - The stock attracts deep value investors seeking operational turnaround opportunities, given 0.6x P/S and 1.1x P/B valuations trading below tangible book value. The 15.6% FCF yield despite negative net margins suggests hidden cash generation that value investors can unlock through operational improvements. Recent 44.9% six-month return indicates momentum traders are also participating, likely betting on margin recovery or strategic alternatives. Not suitable for growth or dividend investors given negative earnings and likely suspended/minimal dividends. Requires high conviction in management's ability to rationalize store footprint and restore profitability.

Watch on Earnings
US gasoline prices (GASPRICE) - proxy for miles driven and consumer willingness to spend on vehicle maintenanceConsumer sentiment (UMCSENT) - leading indicator for discretionary automotive spending and trade-up to premium tires/servicesUnemployment rate (UNRATE) - impacts both consumer demand and labor availability/costs for technician hiringCrude oil prices (DCOILWTICO) - influences tire raw material costs (synthetic rubber derived from petroleum) with 6-9 month lag
Health Radar
1 strong5 concern
19/100
Liquidity
0.45Concern
Leverage
0.80Strong
Coverage
1.5xConcern
ROE
-2.1%Concern
ROIC
1.9%Concern
Cash
$21MConcern
ANALYST COVERAGE22 analysts
HOLD
+153.8%upside to target
Buy
941%
Hold
1359%
9 Buy (41%)13 Hold (59%)0 Sell (0%)
Full report →
Stock Health
Composite Score
1 of 5 signals bullish
3/10
Technicals
RSI RangeRSI 38 — Bearish momentum
Volume
Volume FlowDistribution — institutional selling
Fundamentals
Last EarningsBeat estimates
Analyst ConsensusHold
~
LiquidityCurrent Ratio 0.45 — liquidity risk
Upcoming Events
EEarnings ReportMay 17, 2026
Tomorrow
DEx-Dividend DateAug 14, 2026
In 90 days
PDividend PaymentAug 28, 2026
In 104 days
Technicals
Technical SetupBEARISH
Technicals →

Trend

DowntrendDeath Cross · 50D trails 200D by 7.9%

-5.5% vs SMA 50 · -13.0% vs SMA 200

Momentum

RSI38.2
Momentum fading
MACD-0.20
Below zero — bearish pulse · compressing
Market Position
Price Levels
52W High
$23.91+51.7%
EMA 200
$17.33+9.9%
EMA 50
$17.30+9.8%
Current
$15.76
52W Low
$12.24-22.3%
52-Week RangeMid-range
$12.2430th %ile$23.91
Squeeze SetupVolume-based
Distribution Pressure

Distribution pattern detected. More selling days than accumulation over the past 20 sessions. Not a conducive environment for a squeeze.

20-Day Money Flow
Acc days:2
Dist days:6
Edge:+4 dist
Volume Context
Avg Vol (50D)831K
Recent Vol (5D)
856K+3%

Based on volume distribution analysis. Direct short interest data (short float %, days to cover) is not available in current data sources.

Earnings & Analysts

ANALYST ESTIMATES

Consensus of 4 analysts
Analyst revisions:EPS↑ Revised UpRevenue↑ Revised Up

Analyst consensus estimates · Actuals replace estimates as reported

YearRevenue Est.Rev GthEPS Est.EPS GthRangeAnalysts
FY2024
$1.2B
$1.2B$1.3B
$1.09
±1%
Low2
FY2025
$1.2B
$1.2B$1.2B
-4.3%$0.60-44.7%
±14%
Moderate4
FY2026(current)
$1.2B
$1.2B$1.2B
-2.0%$0.53-12.0%
±1%
Moderate3
Range confidence:Tight (high)ModerateWide (low)
Earnings HistoryMNRO
Last 8Q
+417.6%avg beat
Beat 4 of 8 quartersMissed 4 Estimates falling
-38%
Q2'24
+3567%
Q3'24
-35%
Q4'24
-32%
Q1'25
-200%
Q2'25
+29%
Q3'25
+17%
Q4'25
+33%
Q1'26
Beat
Miss
Estimate
Deeper color = bigger beat/miss
* Negative EPS shown at reduced height
Analyst Activity
All ratings →
No recent activity
OppenheimerOutperform
Feb 11
UPGRADE
Insider Activity
SEC Filings →
6 Buys/0 SellsNet Buying
Fitzsimmons Peter DPresident and …
$251K
Feb 5
BUY
Fitzsimmons Peter DPresident and …
$251K
Feb 3
BUY
Icahn Carl C10 Percent Own…
$1.8M
Nov 7
BUY
Icahn Carl C10 Percent Own…
$7.5M
Nov 6
BUY
Icahn Carl C10 Percent Own…
$1.9M
Nov 5
BUY
Icahn Carl C10 Percent Own…
$9.7M
Nov 4
BUY
Financials
Dividends7.11% yield
3 yrs of payments
Annual Yield7.11%
Quarterly Div.$0.2800
Est. Annual / Share$1.12
FrequencyQuarterly
Q2'24
Q3'24
Q4'24
Q1'25
Q2'25
Q3'25
Q4'25
Q1'26

Dividend per payment — last 8 periods

INSTITUTIONAL OWNERSHIP

1
ICAHN CARL C
5.1M
2
BlackRock, Inc.
4.8M
3
GAMCO INVESTORS, INC. ET AL
2.5M
4
ADAGE CAPITAL PARTNERS GP, L.L.C.
1.5M
5
MORGAN STANLEY
1.5M
6
DIMENSIONAL FUND ADVISORS LP
1.4M
7
STATE STREET CORP
1.4M
8
Bank of New York Mellon Corp
991K
News & Activity

MNRO News

About

Headquartered in Rochester, New York, Monro is a chain of 1,259 company-operated stores, 96 franchised locations, seven wholesale locations and three retread facilities providing automotive undercar repair and tire sales and services. The Company operates in 32 states, serving the MidAtlantic and New England regions and portions of the Great Lakes, Midwest, Southeast and Western United States. The predecessor to the Company was founded by Charles J. August in 1957 as a Midas Muffler franchise. In 1966, Monro began to diversify into a full line of undercar repair services. The Company has experienced significant growth in recent years through

Industry
General Automotive Repair
Brian J. D'AmbrosiaExecutive Vice President of Finance, Chief Financial Officer & Treasurer
Felix VekslerVice President of Investor Relations
John A. HeismanVice President of Human Resources
PeersConsumer Cyclical(7 companies)
Screen sector →
SymbolPriceDay %Mkt CapP/ERev GrwMarginELO
MNRO
$15.76-3.43%$473M-638.0%-43.4%1500
$264.14-1.15%$2.8T31.3+1237.8%1083.4%1521
$422.24-4.75%$1.6T352.3-293.1%400.1%1507
$297.51-2.25%$296.3B20.9+324.0%859.6%1477
$276.39+0.52%$196.4B22.6+372.3%3185.0%1478
$147.43+0.05%$163.2B30.2+711.9%910.0%1494
$218.42-2.32%$122.3B18.3+312.2%771.2%1489
Sector avg-1.90%79.3+289.6%1023.7%1495