NAVN
Next earnings: Jun 15, 2026
Signal
Leaning Bullish11!
Price
1
Move+1.25%Positive session
Volume
1
Volume1.3× avgNormal activity
Technical
1
TrendRally vs TrendAbove 50D, below 200D
PRICE
Prev Close
18.34
Open
18.97
Day Range18.00 – 18.99
18.00
18.99
52W Range8.11 – 22.75
8.11
22.75
71% of range
VOLUME & SIZE
Avg Volume
2.7M
Float
235.5M
FUNDAMENTALS
P/E Ratio
-4.6x
Not profitable
EPS (TTM)
$-4.04
Div Yield
No dividend
Performance
1D
+1.25%
5D
+8.28%
1M
+47.38%
3M
+85.33%
6M
+4.92%
YTD
+8.72%
1Y
-7.15%
Best: 3M (+85.33%)Worst: 1Y (-7.15%)
Quick Read
Earnings in 41d · Jun 15
Trend
UPTREND
Price above SMA50 & SMA200
Momentum
BULLISH
price above key MAs · revenue +32% YoY
Valuation
FAIR
P/E not available
Health
WEAK
CR 2.8 · FCF negative
Bullish
Key MetricsTTM
Market Cap$4.37B
Revenue TTM$612.52M
Net Income TTM-$188.41M
Free Cash Flow
Gross Margin69.8%
Net Margin-30.8%
Operating Margin-13.1%
Return on Equity-203.3%
Return on Assets-16.6%
Debt / Equity7.67
Current Ratio2.84
EPS TTM$-0.76
Alpha SignalsFull Analysis →
What Moves This Stock

Corporate travel spending trends and business travel recovery rates relative to 2019 baseline levels

Gross booking value (GBV) growth rates and take rate expansion or compression versus prior periods

Net revenue retention rates and enterprise customer logo additions, particularly Fortune 500 wins

Path to profitability metrics including operating margin improvement and cash burn reduction rates

Macro Sensitivity
Economic Cycle

high - Corporate travel spending is highly discretionary and among the first budget items cut during economic downturns. Business travel volumes correlate strongly with GDP growth, corporate profit margins, and business confidence. The company's revenue base is directly tied to transaction volumes, making it acutely sensitive to economic cycles. During recessions, enterprises reduce travel budgets by 30-50%, directly impacting booking volumes and transaction fees. The 2020-2021 pandemic demonstrated this vulnerability with corporate travel declining 70%+ industry-wide.

Interest Rates

Rising interest rates create multiple headwinds: (1) Higher cost of capital pressures valuation multiples for unprofitable growth companies, contributing to the 50% stock decline over the past year; (2) Reduced venture funding and tech sector layoffs decrease the customer base of high-growth companies that are core Navan users; (3) Tighter corporate budgets in higher-rate environments lead to travel spending cuts. The company's 7.67x debt/equity ratio and negative cash flow make it vulnerable to refinancing risk if rates remain elevated, though the 2.84x current ratio provides near-term liquidity cushion.

Key Risks

Secular shift toward remote work and virtual meetings reducing structural demand for business travel by 15-25% versus pre-pandemic baseline, particularly for domestic short-haul trips

Disintermediation risk as airlines and hotel chains invest in direct booking channels and corporate portals, potentially reducing reliance on third-party platforms and compressing take rates

Regulatory changes in data privacy (GDPR, CCPA) and payment processing increasing compliance costs and operational complexity for global platform operations

Investor Profile

growth - The company attracts growth investors focused on high-revenue-growth, pre-profitable software businesses with large TAM expansion potential. The 33.5% revenue growth and improving unit economics appeal to investors betting on operating leverage inflection and path to profitability over 2-3 year horizon. Current negative returns and high volatility have likely shaken out momentum investors, leaving long-term growth investors and venture-style public market investors. The stock is unsuitable for value or income investors given negative earnings and no dividend.

Watch on Earnings
TSA checkpoint traveler throughput as proxy for business travel recovery versus 2019 baseline levelsFederal funds rate and 10-year Treasury yield affecting valuation multiples for unprofitable growth software companiesCorporate profit margins and S&P 500 earnings growth indicating health of enterprise travel budgetsUnemployment rate as leading indicator of corporate hiring and expansion driving incremental travel demand
Health Radar
2 strong4 concern
32/100
Liquidity
2.84Strong
Leverage
7.67Concern
Coverage
-1.1xConcern
ROE
-203.3%Concern
ROIC
-9.0%Concern
Cash
$306MStrong
ANALYST COVERAGE7 analysts
BUY
+26.5%upside to target
L $15.00
Med $23.50consensus
H $26.00
Buy
7100%
7 Buy (100%)0 Hold (0%)0 Sell (0%)
Full report →
Stock Health
Composite Score
6 of 7 signals bullish
9/10
Trend
Trend StateUptrend (price above both MAs)
Above SMA 50$12.18 (+52.5%)
Above SMA 200$13.76 (+34.9%)
Technicals
MA AlignmentDeath Cross (50D vs 200D -11.5%)
Fundamentals
Last EarningsBeat estimates
Analyst ConsensusBuy
LiquidityCurrent Ratio 2.84 — healthy liquidity
Upcoming Events
EEarnings Report · After CloseMay 7, 2026
Tomorrow
DEx-Dividend DateAug 4, 2026
In 90 days
PDividend PaymentSep 1, 2026
In 118 days
Technicals
Market Position
Price Levels
52W High
$22.75+22.5%
Current
$18.57
SMA 200
$13.76-25.9%
SMA 50
$12.18-34.4%
52W Low
$8.11-56.4%
52-Week RangeMid-range
$8.1171th %ile$22.75
Earnings & Analysts

ANALYST ESTIMATES

Consensus of 11 analysts
Analyst revisions:EPS↓ Revised DownRevenue↓ Revised Down

Analyst consensus estimates · Actuals replace estimates as reported

YearRevenue Est.Rev GthEPS Est.EPS GthRangeAnalysts
FY2025
$612.5M
$603.4M$621.8M
-$4.11
±2%
Moderate4
FY2026(current)
$686.5M
$686.1M$686.9M
+12.1%-$0.23
±35%
High9
FY2027
$871.5M
$869.7M$874.3M
+26.9%$0.18
±50%
High11
Range confidence:Tight (high)ModerateWide (low)
Earnings HistoryNAVN
Last 2Q
+207.6%avg beat
Beat 2 of 2 quarters
+282%
Q4'25
+133%
Q1'26
Beat
Miss
Estimate
Deeper color = bigger beat/miss
* Negative EPS shown at reduced height
Financials

INSTITUTIONAL OWNERSHIP

1
TEACHER RETIREMENT SYSTEM OF TEXAS
500K
2
GF FUND MANAGEMENT CO. LTD.
229K
3
Lunate Capital Ltd
200K
4
TEACHERS RETIREMENT SYSTEM OF THE STATE OF KENTUCKY
119K
5
FNY Investment Advisers, LLC
73K
6
FIFTH THIRD BANCORP
49K
7
BRYN MAWR TRUST Co
43K
8
Nuveen, LLC
43K
News & Activity

NAVN News

20 articles · 4h ago

About

No company information available

PeersConsumer Cyclical(7 companies)
Screen sector →
SymbolPriceDay %Mkt CapP/ERev GrwMarginELO
NAVN
+1.25%
$273.55+0.55%$2.9T32.4+1237.8%1083.4%1517
$389.37-0.80%$1.5T324.9-293.1%400.1%1491
$315.42+0.96%$314.2B22.1+324.0%859.6%1485
$285.17+0.38%$202.7B23.8+372.3%3185.0%1488
$154.96+0.21%$171.5B31.7+711.9%910.0%1511
$167.63+1.24%$129.9B21.5+1338.7%2007.7%1489
Sector avg+0.54%76.1+615.3%1407.6%1497