ONTF
Signal
Leaning Bearish1!
Price
1
Move+0.12%Quiet session
Volume
1
Volume1.1× avgNormal activity
Technical
1
RSIRSI 74Overbought
PRICE
Prev Close
8.09
Open
8.11
Day Range8.10 – 8.11
8.10
8.11
52W Range4.35 – 8.11
4.35
8.11
100% of range
VOLUME & SIZE
Avg Volume
500.9K
FUNDAMENTALS
P/E Ratio
-11.9x
Not profitable
EPS (TTM)
Div Yield
No dividend
Beta
1.12
Market-like
Performance
1D
5D
1M
+0.12%
3M
+1.63%
6M
+48.08%
YTD
+1.76%
1Y
+73.08%
Best: 1Y (+73.08%)
Quick Read
TrendInsufficient MA data
Momentum
NEUTRAL
rev -6% · 75% gross margin
Valuation
FAIR
P/E not available
Health
STRONG
CR 2.5 · FCF $0.09/sh
Bullish
Key MetricsTTM
Market Cap$348.25M
Revenue TTM$139.31M
Net Income TTM-$28.85M
Free Cash Flow$3.97M
Gross Margin74.6%
Net Margin-20.7%
Operating Margin-25.7%
Return on Equity-19.6%
Return on Assets-12.6%
Debt / Equity0.04
Current Ratio2.48
EPS TTM$-0.68
Alpha SignalsFull Analysis →
What Moves This Stock

Net revenue retention rate (NRR) - indicates whether existing customers are expanding or contracting usage, critical for SaaS valuation

Customer count and average contract value (ACV) trends - signals market share trajectory and pricing power

Path to profitability milestones - operating expense reduction targets and timeline to positive EBITDA

Product innovation announcements - AI-powered features, analytics enhancements, or new use cases that differentiate from Zoom/Webex

Macro Sensitivity
Economic Cycle

high - ON24 sells discretionary marketing technology to enterprise B2B organizations. During economic slowdowns, marketing budgets face scrutiny and event spending is often first to be cut. The -9.5% revenue decline suggests the company is already experiencing demand headwinds as enterprises consolidate onto fewer platforms. GDP growth, corporate profit margins, and B2B marketing spend directly correlate with ON24's ability to retain and expand customers.

Interest Rates

Rising interest rates negatively impact ON24 through multiple channels: (1) higher discount rates compress valuation multiples for unprofitable SaaS companies, (2) tighter financial conditions reduce enterprise software budgets as CFOs prioritize cash preservation, (3) venture-backed customers face funding pressure and cut vendor spending. The stock's 48% rally over three months likely reflects rate cut expectations improving risk appetite for small-cap growth names. Lower rates would support multiple expansion and improve customer spending capacity.

Key Risks

Commoditization of virtual event technology as Zoom, Microsoft Teams, and Webex integrate comparable features into broader collaboration suites, eroding ON24's differentiation and pricing power

Post-pandemic normalization reducing webinar demand as enterprises shift budgets back to in-person events and conferences, creating structural headwind to growth

AI disruption enabling automated content generation and personalized digital experiences that could either enhance ON24's platform or enable new competitors to enter with superior technology

Investor Profile

momentum/turnaround - The 48% three-month rally attracts momentum traders betting on operational inflection, while the depressed valuation (2.4x sales for SaaS) draws value investors seeking turnaround potential. Not suitable for income investors given no dividend and negative earnings. Growth-at-reasonable-price (GARP) investors may engage if management demonstrates credible path to profitability with stabilizing revenue trends.

Watch on Earnings
Net revenue retention rate (NRR) - must stabilize above 100% to demonstrate product-market fitRule of 40 score (revenue growth % + EBITDA margin %) - benchmark for SaaS efficiencyFederal Funds Rate and 10-year Treasury yield - drives valuation multiples for unprofitable growth stocksEnterprise software spending surveys (Gartner IT spending forecasts) - leading indicator for demand environment
Health Radar
2 strong1 watch3 concern
39/100
Liquidity
2.48Strong
Leverage
0.04Strong
Coverage
-219.5xConcern
ROE
-19.6%Concern
ROIC
-24.5%Concern
Cash
$37MWatch
ANALYST COVERAGE7 analysts
HOLD
+0.0%upside to target
Buy
114%
Hold
686%
1 Buy (14%)6 Hold (86%)0 Sell (0%)
Full report →
Stock Health
Composite Score
3 of 5 signals bullish
8/10
Technicals
RSI RangeRSI 74 — Overbought, caution
~
Volume
Volume FlowAccumulation — institutional buying
Fundamentals
Last EarningsBeat estimates
Analyst ConsensusHold
~
LiquidityCurrent Ratio 2.48 — healthy liquidity
Upcoming Events
EEarnings ReportMay 17, 2026
Tomorrow
DEx-Dividend DateAug 14, 2026
In 90 days
PDividend PaymentSep 10, 2026
In 117 days
Technicals
Technical SetupBULLISH
Technicals →

Trend

UptrendGolden Cross · 50D leads 200D by 29.4%

+1.1% vs SMA 50 · +30.7% vs SMA 200

Momentum

RSI74.3
Overbought — pullback risk
MACD+0.05
Above zero — bullish momentum · compressing
Market Position
Price Levels
52W High
$8.11+0.1%
Current
$8.10
EMA 50
$7.81-3.6%
EMA 200
$6.29-22.3%
52W Low
$4.35-46.3%
52-Week RangeNear 52-week high
$4.35100th %ile$8.11
Squeeze SetupVolume-based
Moderate Squeeze Setup

Accumulation pattern present — more buying days than selling over the past 20 sessions. Volume conditions support gradual price improvement.

20-Day Money Flow
Acc days:5
Dist days:2
Edge:+3 acc
Volume Context
Avg Vol (50D)544K
Recent Vol (5D)
851K+56%

Based on volume distribution analysis. Direct short interest data (short float %, days to cover) is not available in current data sources.

Earnings & Analysts

ANALYST ESTIMATES

Consensus of 3 analysts
Analyst revisions:Revenue↓ Revised Down

Analyst consensus estimates · Actuals replace estimates as reported

YearRevenue Est.Rev GthEPS Est.EPS GthRangeAnalysts
FY2023
$153.6M
$152.8M$154.5M
-$1.02
±1%
Low2
FY2024
$147.2M
$147.1M$147.3M
-4.2%$0.10
±5%
Moderate3
FY2025
$138.7M
$137.9M$139.5M
-5.8%$0.06-37.6%
±1%
Moderate3
Range confidence:Tight (high)ModerateWide (low)
🔥Beat 8 consecutive quarters
Earnings HistoryONTF
Last 8Q
+153.0%avg beat
Beat 8 of 8 quarters Estimates falling
+300%
Q2'24
+190%
Q3'24
+100%
Q4'24
+200%
Q1'25
+67%
Q2'25
+167%
Q3'25
+50%
Q4'25
+150%
Q1'26
Beat
Miss
Estimate
Deeper color = bigger beat/miss
* Negative EPS shown at reduced height
Insider Activity
SEC Filings →
0 Buys/6 SellsNet Selling
Sahasi JayeshEV President, …
$30K
Mar 20
SELL
Blackie JamesChief Revenue …
$25K
Mar 20
SELL
Vattuone StevenCFO
$28K
Mar 20
SELL
Sharan SharatCEO
$138K
Mar 20
SELL
Vattuone StevenCFO
$177K
Mar 3
SELL
Vattuone StevenCFO
$183K
Mar 2
SELL
Financials

INSTITUTIONAL OWNERSHIP

1
Lynrock Lake LP
8.3M
2
BlackRock, Inc.
2.6M
3
FIL Ltd
1.4M
4
ARROWSTREET CAPITAL, LIMITED PARTNERSHIP
1.1M
5
GLAZER CAPITAL, LLC
1.1M
6
DIMENSIONAL FUND ADVISORS LP
1.0M
7
GEODE CAPITAL MANAGEMENT, LLC
895K
8
STATE STREET CORP
756K
News & Activity

ONTF News

20 articles · 4h ago

About

ON24 provides a leading, cloud-based digital experience platform that enables businesses to convert customer engagement into revenue through interactive webinar experiences, virtual event experiences and multimedia content experiences. The ON24 platform’s portfolio of interactive, personalized and content-rich digital experience products creates and captures actionable, real-time data at scale from millions of professionals every month to provide businesses with buying signals and behavioral insights to efficiently convert prospects into customers.

Industry
Software Publishers
Abbas MeghjeeSenior Vice President of Global Customer Success & Revenue
Dan MickweeSenior Vice President of Americas Sales
Mark BornsteinVice President of Marketing & Chief Evangelist
PeersTechnology(7 companies)
Screen sector →
SymbolPriceDay %Mkt CapP/ERev GrwMarginELO
ONTF
$8.10+0.00%$348M-592.2%-2071.1%1500
$225.32-4.42%$5.5T45.6+6547.4%5560.3%1502
$300.23+0.68%$4.4T36.0+642.6%2691.5%1482
$421.92+3.05%$3.1T25.0+1493.2%3614.6%1460
$425.19-3.32%$2.0T80.7+2387.4%3619.8%1500
$724.66-6.62%$817.2B33.8+4885.1%2284.5%1532
$424.10-5.69%$691.5B138.6+3433.8%1251.5%1516
Sector avg-2.33%60.0+2685.3%2421.6%1499