RCKY
Next earnings: Jul 28, 2026 · After close
Signal
Bullish Setup3
Price
1
Move+1.78%Positive session
Volume
1
Volume1.7× avgHeavy volume
Technical
1
RSIRSI 30Oversold — bounce setup
PRICE
Prev Close
33.13
Open
33.03
Day Range32.75 – 34.62
32.75
34.62
52W Range20.27 – 48.70
20.27
48.70
47% of range
VOLUME & SIZE
Avg Volume
67.3K
FUNDAMENTALS
P/E Ratio
13.7x
Value territory
EPS (TTM)
Div Yield
0.03%
Beta
1.21
Market-like
Performance
1D
+1.78%
5D
-6.80%
1M
-19.87%
3M
+1.84%
6M
+11.88%
YTD
+14.97%
1Y
+61.42%
Best: 1Y (+61.42%)Worst: 1M (-19.87%)
Quick Read
TrendInsufficient MA data
Momentum
BULLISH
revenue +8% YoY
Valuation
CHEAP
P/E 14x vs ~20x sector
Health
STRONG
CR 2.9 · FCF $1.32/sh
Strong Buy
Key MetricsTTM
Market Cap$254.29M
Revenue TTM$492.31M
Net Income TTM$18.59M
Free Cash Flow$9.94M
Gross Margin39.8%
Net Margin3.8%
Operating Margin6.5%
Return on Equity7.5%
Return on Assets3.9%
Debt / Equity0.48
Current Ratio2.90
EPS TTM$2.47
Alpha SignalsFull Analysis →
What Moves This Stock

Wholesale channel health - same-store sales trends at key retail partners like Boot Barn, Tractor Supply, and farm/ranch stores which drive 70%+ of revenue

DTC e-commerce growth rate and profitability - higher-margin channel expansion that improves overall company margins and reduces wholesale dependency

Gross margin trajectory - driven by product mix shift toward premium products, DTC penetration, freight cost normalization, and promotional intensity in wholesale channels

Inventory management and working capital efficiency - excess inventory signals demand weakness and potential margin pressure from markdowns, while lean inventory indicates strong sell-through

Macro Sensitivity
Economic Cycle

moderate-to-high - Work footwear demand correlates with blue-collar employment in construction, agriculture, manufacturing, and energy sectors. During economic expansions, increased industrial activity and construction hiring drive replacement cycles and new worker purchases. Outdoor/recreational boot sales are discretionary and decline during recessions when consumers defer non-essential purchases. The company's exposure to farm/ranch retailers creates sensitivity to agricultural commodity prices and farm income. However, work boot replacement demand provides some recession resilience as safety footwear remains necessary for employed workers.

Interest Rates

Rising interest rates negatively impact RCKY through multiple channels: (1) higher consumer financing costs reduce big-ticket discretionary purchases at retail partners, (2) increased working capital financing costs for seasonal inventory builds compress margins, (3) valuation multiple compression as investors rotate from small-cap cyclicals to bonds, and (4) reduced consumer spending as mortgage and credit card rates rise. The company's modest debt load (0.57x D/E) limits direct interest expense sensitivity, but demand-side effects dominate.

Key Risks

Retail channel consolidation and e-commerce disruption - traditional farm/ranch and outdoor retailers face pressure from Amazon and direct-to-consumer brands, reducing wholesale distribution points and increasing retailer bargaining power

Manufacturing concentration in Asia creates supply chain vulnerability to geopolitical tensions, tariff changes (particularly US-China trade policy), and logistics disruptions that compress margins or cause inventory shortages

Shift toward athleisure and casual work environments reduces demand for traditional work boots in certain occupations, requiring product innovation to maintain relevance

Investor Profile

value - The stock trades at 0.5x sales, 1.0x book value, and 6.6x EV/EBITDA with 18.9% FCF yield, attracting deep-value investors seeking cyclical recovery plays. Recent strong returns (41% over 1-year) suggest momentum investors have entered, but the core holder base consists of value-oriented small-cap investors willing to tolerate cyclicality for potential multiple expansion. The modest market cap ($300M) and limited liquidity appeal to microcap specialists rather than institutional growth funds.

Watch on Earnings
US retail sales excluding autos (RSXFS) - leading indicator for consumer spending at wholesale retail partnersConsumer sentiment index (UMCSENT) - predicts discretionary outdoor footwear demand and big-ticket purchase willingnessIndustrial production index (INDPRO) - proxy for blue-collar employment and work boot replacement demand in manufacturing and constructionCotton futures prices (CTUSX) - input cost for boot materials and textiles affecting gross margins with 6-9 month lag
Health Radar
2 strong4 concern
41/100
Liquidity
2.90Strong
Leverage
0.48Strong
Coverage
1.7xConcern
ROE
7.5%Concern
ROIC
6.8%Concern
Cash
$3MConcern
ANALYST COVERAGE4 analysts
BUY
+54.2%upside to target
L $42.00
Med $52.00consensus
H $62.00
Buy
375%
Hold
125%
3 Buy (75%)1 Hold (25%)0 Sell (0%)
Full report →
Stock Health
Composite Score
2 of 5 signals bullish
6/10
Technicals
RSI RangeRSI 30 — Oversold, watch for bounce
~
Volume
Volume FlowNeutral
~
Fundamentals
Last EarningsMissed estimates
Analyst ConsensusBuy
LiquidityCurrent Ratio 2.90 — healthy liquidity
Upcoming Events
EEarnings ReportMay 17, 2026
Tomorrow
DEx-Dividend DateAug 14, 2026
In 90 days
PDividend PaymentAug 31, 2026
In 107 days
Technicals
Technical SetupMIXED
Technicals →

Trend

PullbackGolden Cross · 50D leads 200D by 23.4%

-11.5% vs SMA 50 · +9.3% vs SMA 200

Momentum

RSI29.8
Oversold — potential bounce
MACD-1.69
Below zero — bearish pulse · compressing
Market Position
Price Levels
52W High
$48.70+44.4%
EMA 50
$37.05+9.9%
Current
$33.72
EMA 200
$31.01-8.0%
52W Low
$20.27-39.9%
52-Week RangeMid-range
$20.2747th %ile$48.70
Squeeze SetupVolume-based
No Clear Setup

Volume distribution is neutral or leaning toward distribution. No compelling squeeze setup based on current money flow data.

20-Day Money Flow
Acc days:8
Dist days:4
Edge:+4 acc
Volume Context
Avg Vol (50D)66K
Recent Vol (5D)
85K+29%

Based on volume distribution analysis. Direct short interest data (short float %, days to cover) is not available in current data sources.

Earnings & Analysts

ANALYST ESTIMATES

Consensus of 1 analyst

Analyst consensus estimates · Actuals replace estimates as reported

YearRevenue Est.Rev GthEPS Est.EPS GthRangeAnalysts
FY2023
$462.7M
$460.3M$465.2M
$0.00
Low1
FY2024
$451.1M
$448.7M$453.5M
-2.5%$2.58
±1%
Low1
FY2025
$476.3M
$473.7M$478.8M
+5.6%$2.80+8.5%
±1%
Low1
Range confidence:Tight (high)ModerateWide (low)
Earnings HistoryRCKY
Last 8Q
+29.8%avg beat
Beat 4 of 8 quartersMissed 4 Estimates falling
+70%
Q3'24
-22%
Q4'24
-2%
Q1'25
+40%
Q2'25
-43%
Q3'25
+112%
Q4'25
+94%
Q1'26
-11%
Q2'26
Beat
Miss
Estimate
Deeper color = bigger beat/miss
Insider Activity
SEC Filings →
1 Buy/5 SellsNet Selling
Hahn Robyn R.Dir
$116K
Nov 26
SELL
Wortham ByronSVP Georgia Bo…
$197K
Nov 5
SELL
Smith Dwight EricDir
$9K
Nov 6
BUY
Loveland Curtis ADir
$115K
Nov 4
SELL
Loveland Curtis ADir
$29K
Nov 5
SELL
Loveland Curtis ADir
$155K
Nov 6
SELL
Financials
Dividends1.84% yield
3 yrs of payments
Annual Yield1.84%
Quarterly Div.$0.1550
Est. Annual / Share$0.62
FrequencyQuarterly
Q2'24
Q3'24
Q4'24
Q1'25
Q2'25
Q3'25
Q4'25
Q1'26

Dividend per payment — last 8 periods

INSTITUTIONAL OWNERSHIP

1
DIMENSIONAL FUND ADVISORS LP
505K
2
BlackRock, Inc.
493K
3
RAYMOND JAMES FINANCIAL INC
487K
4
Hillsdale Investment Management Inc.
159K
5
North Star Investment Management Corp.
154K
6
LSV ASSET MANAGEMENT
140K
7
Russell Investments Group, Ltd.
123K
8
Aristides Capital LLC
113K
News & Activity

RCKY News

20 articles · 4h ago

About

since its inception in 1932, rocky brands, inc. (nasdaq: rcky) has grown into a global enterprise with distribution to more than 70 countries. the global headquarters, located in the scenic small town of nelsonville, oh employs about 400 local residents, with more than 2,800 employees worldwide, including an office in los angeles, ca and an international sales force and facilities in canada, china, puerto rico and the dominican republic. at rocky brands, inc., we design, develop, manufacture and market premium quality footwear and apparel. we are focused on growing our brands through product innovation, targeted sponsorships and social interaction with our consumers. we market compelling brands with innovative product lines that enhance consumers’ life experiences, resulting in a lifetime loyalty to rocky brands, inc. the rocky brands family of brands includes rocky®, georgia boot®, durango®, lehigh outfitters® and creative recreation®. our vision is to become a global leader in the ap

Industry
Footwear Manufacturing
CEO
Jason Brooks
Byron WorthamSenior Vice President of Sales - Durango & Georgia Boot
Jason S. BrooksChairman, Chief Executive Officer & President
PeersConsumer Cyclical(7 companies)
Screen sector →
SymbolPriceDay %Mkt CapP/ERev GrwMarginELO
RCKY
$33.72+1.78%$254M13.7+621.5%462.1%1500
$264.14-1.15%$2.8T31.3+1237.8%1083.4%1521
$422.24-4.75%$1.6T352.3-293.1%400.1%1507
$297.51-2.25%$296.3B20.9+324.0%859.6%1477
$276.39+0.52%$196.4B22.6+372.3%3185.0%1478
$147.43+0.05%$163.2B30.2+711.9%910.0%1494
$218.42-2.32%$122.3B18.3+312.2%771.2%1489
Sector avg-1.16%69.9+469.5%1095.9%1495