RGR
Next earnings: Jul 29, 2026 · After close
Signal
Bearish Setup2
Price
1
Move-1.00%Negative session
Volume
1
Volume0.5× avgNormal activity
Technical
1
RSIRSI 41Momentum negative
PRICE
Prev Close
39.87
Open
39.29
Day Range39.29 – 40.17
39.29
40.17
52W Range28.33 – 48.21
28.33
48.21
56% of range
VOLUME & SIZE
Avg Volume
166.2K
FUNDAMENTALS
P/E Ratio
-54.1x
Not profitable
EPS (TTM)
Div Yield
0.05%
Beta
0.65
Low vol
Performance
1D
-1.00%
5D
-0.03%
1M
-6.80%
3M
+5.31%
6M
+26.26%
YTD
+20.89%
1Y
+6.13%
Best: 6M (+26.26%)Worst: 1M (-6.80%)
Quick Read
TrendInsufficient MA data
Momentum
NEUTRAL
rev +3% · 14% gross margin
Valuation
FAIR
P/E not available
Health
STRONG
CR 3.5 · FCF $2.66/sh
Bullish
Key MetricsTTM
Market Cap$629.32M
Revenue TTM$551.67M
Net Income TTM-$12.03M
Free Cash Flow$42.40M
Gross Margin14.4%
Net Margin-2.2%
Operating Margin-3.6%
Return on Equity-4.2%
Return on Assets-3.4%
Debt / Equity0.01
Current Ratio3.50
EPS TTM$-0.75
Alpha SignalsFull Analysis →
What Moves This Stock

FBI NICS background check volumes (proxy for retail firearm demand) - monthly data drives near-term sentiment

Political environment and election cycles - Democratic administration/gun control rhetoric historically drives demand surges

Inventory levels at distributors and retailers - channel destocking pressures pricing and production schedules

New product introductions and market share trends versus Smith & Wesson, Springfield Armory, and Glock

Macro Sensitivity
Economic Cycle

moderate - Firearms demand exhibits counter-cyclical characteristics during periods of social unrest or political uncertainty, but also benefits from discretionary spending strength during economic expansions when consumers purchase recreational/sporting firearms. The current weak margin profile suggests demand has normalized below mid-cycle levels, with consumer prioritizing essential spending over discretionary firearms purchases.

Interest Rates

Low direct sensitivity as Ruger carries minimal debt (0.01 D/E ratio). However, rising rates indirectly impact demand through reduced consumer discretionary spending capacity and higher financing costs for retailers/distributors managing inventory. The 3.54x current ratio provides substantial liquidity buffer against demand volatility.

Key Risks

Regulatory risk from potential federal or state-level restrictions on firearm sales, magazine capacity limits, or assault weapon bans that could constrain addressable market

Litigation risk from product liability claims and ongoing lawsuits against firearms manufacturers, though industry has Protection of Lawful Commerce in Arms Act protections

Long-term demographic shifts and declining hunting participation rates among younger generations reducing core sporting firearms demand

Investor Profile

value - Current 1.1x P/S and 2.1x P/B ratios suggest deep value orientation, attracting contrarian investors betting on demand recovery or political catalysts. The 5.9% FCF yield appeals to value investors despite operational challenges. Stock exhibits event-driven characteristics around elections and regulatory developments rather than consistent growth profile.

Watch on Earnings
FBI NICS background check monthly data (leading indicator of retail demand)Distributor inventory levels and weeks-on-hand reported by channel partnersGross margin trajectory as indicator of production volume and pricing environmentSteel and aluminum commodity prices impacting manufacturing costs
Health Radar
2 strong4 concern
36/100
Liquidity
3.50Strong
Leverage
0.01Strong
Coverage
-200.1xConcern
ROE
-4.2%Concern
ROIC
-4.9%Concern
Cash
$18MConcern
ANALYST COVERAGE12 analysts
HOLD
+16.5%upside to target
Strong Buy
18%
Buy
542%
Hold
433%
Sell
217%
6 Buy (50%)4 Hold (33%)2 Sell (17%)
Full report →
Stock Health
Composite Score
1 of 5 signals bullish
3/10
Technicals
RSI RangeRSI 41 — Bearish momentum
Volume
Volume FlowDistribution — institutional selling
Fundamentals
Last EarningsMissed estimates
Analyst ConsensusHold
~
LiquidityCurrent Ratio 3.50 — healthy liquidity
Upcoming Events
EEarnings Report · Before OpenMay 17, 2026
Tomorrow
DEx-Dividend DateAug 14, 2026
In 90 days
PDividend PaymentSep 18, 2026
In 125 days
Technicals
Technical SetupBEARISH
Technicals →

Trend

PullbackGolden Cross · 50D leads 200D by 7.4%

-2.8% vs SMA 50 · +4.4% vs SMA 200

Momentum

RSI41.1
Momentum fading
MACD-0.60
Below zero — bearish pulse · compressing
Market Position
Price Levels
52W High
$48.21+22.1%
EMA 50
$40.20+1.9%
Current
$39.47
EMA 200
$38.27-3.0%
52W Low
$28.33-28.2%
52-Week RangeMid-range
$28.3356th %ile$48.21
Squeeze SetupVolume-based
Distribution Pressure

Distribution pattern detected. More selling days than accumulation over the past 20 sessions. Not a conducive environment for a squeeze.

20-Day Money Flow
Acc days:2
Dist days:3
Edge:+1 dist
Volume Context
Avg Vol (50D)164K
Recent Vol (5D)
167K+2%

Based on volume distribution analysis. Direct short interest data (short float %, days to cover) is not available in current data sources.

Earnings & Analysts

ANALYST ESTIMATES

Consensus of 2 analysts

Analyst consensus estimates · Actuals replace estimates as reported

YearRevenue Est.Rev GthEPS Est.EPS GthRangeAnalysts
FY2023
$519.1M
$519.1M$519.1M
$0.00
Low1
FY2024
$527.6M
$527.6M$527.6M
+1.6%$1.76
Low1
FY2025
$526.2M
$518.3M$534.1M
-0.3%-$0.23
Low2
Range confidence:Tight (high)ModerateWide (low)
Earnings HistoryRGR
Last 8Q
-24.3%avg beat
Beat 2 of 8 quartersMissed 5 Estimates falling
-38%
Q3'24
-50%
Q4'24
Q1'25
-29%
Q2'25
+8%
Q3'25
-68%
Q4'25
+4%
Q1'26
-21%
Q2'26
Beat
Miss
Estimate
Deeper color = bigger beat/miss
Insider Activity
SEC Filings →
3 Buys/3 SellsNeutral
NET BUYERS$230K bought · $0 sold · 30d window
Pettet Bruce T.Dir
$40K
May 14
BUY
Widman PhillipDir
$190K
May 12
BUY
Rosenthal AmirDir
$15K
Nov 14
SELL
Killoy Christopher …Dir
$49K
Sep 19
SELL
Killoy Christopher …Dir
$351K
Sep 22
SELL
Pettet Bruce T.Dir
$17K
Aug 11
BUY
Financials
Dividends0.99% yield
3 yrs of payments
Annual Yield0.99%
Quarterly Div.$0.1100
Est. Annual / Share$0.44
FrequencyQuarterly
Q2'24
Q3'24
Q4'24
Q1'25
Q3'25
Q4'25
Q1'26
Q2'26

Dividend per payment — last 8 periods

INSTITUTIONAL OWNERSHIP

1
BlackRock, Inc.
1.3M
2
RENAISSANCE TECHNOLOGIES LLC
710K
3
DIMENSIONAL FUND ADVISORS LP
397K
4
JRM Investment Counsel, LLC
397K
5
JANE STREET GROUP, LLC
248K
6
HRT FINANCIAL LP
185K
7
UBS Group AG
141K
8
NORTHERN TRUST CORP
141K
News & Activity

RGR News

20 articles · 4h ago

About

sturm, ruger & co., inc. is one of the nation's leading manufacturers of rugged, reliable firearms for the commercial sporting market. the only full-line manufacturer of american-made firearms, ruger offers consumers over 400 variations of more than 30 product lines, from the ubiquitous 10/22® and mini-14®, to the new and exciting ruger american pistol™, ruger precision rifle™, sr-556® takedown, ar-556®, lc9s®, 9e® and ruger american rifle®. our awarding-winning products (the gunsite scout rifle, sr9c®, lcr® and lcp®) all prove that ruger has a rugged, reliable firearm to meet every shooter's needs. for more than 60 years, ruger has been a model of corporate and community responsibility. our motto, "arms makers for responsible citizens®," echoes our commitment to these principles as we work hard to deliver quality and innovative firearms.

CEO
Christopher Killoy
Andrew WielandSenior VP & CFO
Benjamin QuinnSenior Vice President of Strategy & Business Development
Michael W. WilsonSenior Vice President of Operations & Engineering
PeersConsumer Cyclical(7 companies)
Screen sector →
SymbolPriceDay %Mkt CapP/ERev GrwMarginELO
RGR
$39.47-1.00%$629M+194.4%-80.4%1500
$264.14-1.15%$2.8T31.3+1237.8%1083.4%1521
$422.24-4.75%$1.6T352.3-293.1%400.1%1507
$297.51-2.25%$296.3B20.9+324.0%859.6%1477
$276.39+0.52%$196.4B22.6+372.3%3185.0%1478
$147.43+0.05%$163.2B30.2+711.9%910.0%1494
$218.42-2.32%$122.3B18.3+312.2%771.2%1489
Sector avg-1.56%79.3+408.5%1018.4%1495