SABR
Earnings in 2 days · May 7, 2026 · Before open
Signal
Bullish Setup2
Price
1
Move+1.08%Positive session
Volume
1
Volume0.4× avgLight volume
Technical
1
RSIRSI 62Momentum positive
PRICE
Prev Close
1.85
Open
1.81
Day Range1.80 – 1.93
1.80
1.93
52W Range0.81 – 3.52
0.81
3.52
39% of range
VOLUME & SIZE
Avg Volume
10.0M
FUNDAMENTALS
P/E Ratio
-2.9x
Not profitable
EPS (TTM)
Div Yield
No dividend
Beta
1.98
High vol
Performance
1D
+1.08%
5D
+3.89%
1M
+30.77%
3M
+55.83%
6M
-6.50%
YTD
+37.50%
1Y
-26.09%
Best: 3M (+55.83%)Worst: 1Y (-26.09%)
Quick Read
TrendInsufficient MA data
Momentum
BULLISH
44% gross margin
Valuation
FAIR
P/E not available
Health
MODERATE
CR 1.1 · FCF negative
Bullish
Key MetricsTTM
Market Cap$738.97M
Revenue TTM$2.85B
Net Income TTM$524.62M
Free Cash Flow-$213.41M
Gross Margin43.6%
Net Margin18.4%
Operating Margin12.6%
Return on Equity-38.8%
Return on Assets11.7%
Debt / Equity-4.24
Current Ratio1.07
EPS TTM$1.33
Alpha SignalsFull Analysis →
What Moves This Stock

Global air travel booking volumes and GDS transaction counts - directly drives transaction fee revenue and indicates market share trends versus direct booking channels

Airline distribution strategy shifts - major carriers reducing GDS participation or renegotiating economics (e.g., American Airlines, Lufthansa direct connect initiatives) materially impacts revenue

Debt refinancing announcements and liquidity concerns - with -4.36 D/E ratio and negative free cash flow, any covenant issues or refinancing terms significantly affect equity value

Competitive win/loss announcements for airline or hotel technology contracts - multi-year SabreSonic or SynXis deals signal platform competitiveness

Macro Sensitivity
Economic Cycle

high - Travel booking volumes exhibit strong correlation with GDP growth, consumer confidence, and corporate spending. Business travel (higher-margin GDS bookings) particularly sensitive to economic conditions as companies cut travel budgets during downturns. Leisure travel shows resilience but shifts toward direct booking channels during price-conscious periods. The 4.2% revenue growth despite travel recovery suggests structural market share loss compounds cyclical sensitivity.

Interest Rates

High interest rate sensitivity through multiple channels: (1) Substantial debt load makes refinancing costs critical - rising rates increase interest expense on floating-rate debt and refinancing risk; (2) Technology valuation multiples compress as rates rise, pressuring the already-depressed 0.1x P/S multiple; (3) Higher rates reduce discretionary travel spending, particularly business travel as corporate cost-cutting intensifies. The negative free cash flow position amplifies refinancing risk in rising rate environments.

Key Risks

Airline disintermediation accelerating as carriers build direct booking capabilities and NDC (New Distribution Capability) standards enable bypassing traditional GDS - American Airlines, Lufthansa, and others actively reducing GDS dependency, threatening 60%+ of revenue

Cloud-native competitors (Amadeus modernization, Google Travel integration, emerging platforms) offering lower-cost alternatives to legacy Sabre infrastructure - technology debt in core platforms reduces competitiveness

Shift to mobile-first and AI-powered booking experiences where Sabre lacks differentiation versus OTAs (Booking.com, Expedia) and direct channels

Investor Profile

Distressed value/special situations investors and high-risk turnaround speculators. The -73.5% annual return, negative free cash flow, and 0.1x P/S valuation indicate the stock trades as a distressed equity option on survival and potential restructuring. Not suitable for traditional value investors given negative book value (-0.4x P/B) and uncertain business model viability. Momentum investors exited given sustained downtrend. Current holders likely betting on debt restructuring creating equity value or acquisition interest from private equity.

Watch on Earnings
Global air passenger traffic volumes (IATA data) and corporate travel spending trends - leading indicators for GDS transaction volumesAirline direct booking penetration rates and NDC adoption statistics - measures structural threat progressionHigh yield credit spreads (BAMLH0A0HYM2) - indicates refinancing costs and credit market access for distressed balance sheetCrude oil prices (WTI/Brent) - higher fuel costs pressure airline profitability, potentially accelerating cost-cutting including GDS fee reductions
Health Radar
1 strong3 watch2 concern
39/100
Liquidity
1.07Watch
Leverage
-4.24Strong
Coverage
0.8xConcern
ROE
-38.8%Concern
ROIC
8.9%Watch
Cash
$792MWatch
ANALYST COVERAGE21 analysts
HOLD
+7.0%upside to target
Buy
1257%
Hold
629%
Sell
314%
12 Buy (57%)6 Hold (29%)3 Sell (14%)
Full report →
Stock Health
Composite Score
3 of 5 signals bullish
8/10
Technicals
RSI RangeRSI 62 — Bullish momentum
Volume
Volume FlowLean Accumulation
Fundamentals
Last EarningsBeat estimates
Analyst ConsensusHold
~
LiquidityCurrent Ratio 1.07
~
Upcoming Events
EEarnings ReportMay 6, 2026
Tomorrow
DEx-Dividend DateAug 3, 2026
In 90 days
PDividend PaymentSep 1, 2026
In 119 days
Technicals
Technical SetupBULLISH
Technicals →

Trend

RallyDeath Cross · 50D trails 200D by 17.4%

+10.0% vs SMA 50 · -9.1% vs SMA 200

Momentum

RSI62.4
Positive momentum, not extended
MACD-0.13
Below zero — bearish pulse · compressing
Market Position
Price Levels
52W High
$3.52+88.2%
EMA 200
$2.06+10.0%
Current
$1.87
EMA 50
$1.63-12.8%
52W Low
$0.8100-56.7%
52-Week RangeMid-range
$0.810039th %ile$3.52
Squeeze SetupVolume-based
Moderate Squeeze Setup

Accumulation pattern present — more buying days than selling over the past 20 sessions. Volume conditions support gradual price improvement.

20-Day Money Flow
Acc days:4
Dist days:3
Edge:+1 acc
Volume Context
Avg Vol (50D)5.3M
Recent Vol (5D)
3.2M-41%

Based on volume distribution analysis. Direct short interest data (short float %, days to cover) is not available in current data sources.

Earnings & Analysts

ANALYST ESTIMATES

Consensus of 6 analysts
Analyst revisions:EPS↓ Revised DownRevenue↓ Revised Down

Analyst consensus estimates · Actuals replace estimates as reported

YearRevenue Est.Rev GthEPS Est.EPS GthRangeAnalysts
FY2025
$2.8B
$2.8B$2.8B
-$0.09
±2%
High6
FY2026(current)
$2.9B
$2.9B$2.9B
+4.2%-$0.06
±50%
High6
FY2027
$3.0B
$2.9B$3.0B
+3.5%$0.12
±50%
High6
Range confidence:Tight (high)ModerateWide (low)
Earnings HistorySABR
Last 8Q
-50.2%avg beat
Beat 3 of 8 quartersMissed 5 Estimates rising
+60%
Q2'24
+29%
Q3'24
-14%
Q4'24
-14%
Q1'25
-300%
Q2'25
-122%
Q3'25
-125%
Q4'25
+86%
Q1'26
Beat
Miss
Estimate
Deeper color = bigger beat/miss
* Negative EPS shown at reduced height
Analyst Activity
All ratings →
Neutral — mixed activity
90d01
BernsteinOutperform → Market Perform
Mar 3
DOWNGRADE
BernsteinMarket Perform → Outperform
Aug 11
UPGRADE
CFRABuy
Apr 3
UPGRADE
Bank of America Sec…Buy → Neutral
Jan 8
UPGRADE
Bank of America Sec…Buy
Jul 6
UPGRADE
Insider Activity
SEC Filings →
3 Buys/2 SellsNet Buying
Constellation Softw…10 Percent Own…
$12.3M
Feb 27
BUY
Paul ElaineDir
$103K
Feb 25
SELL
Mandel GailDir
$36K
Nov 11
BUY
Mendis RoshanExecutive Vice…
$59K
Aug 6
BUY
Peterson Karl Mr.Dir
$28K
Jun 7
SELL
Financials

INSTITUTIONAL OWNERSHIP

1
U S GLOBAL INVESTORS INC
7.5M
2
Ampfield Management, L.P.
5.2M
3
PRINCIPAL FINANCIAL GROUP INC
1.9M
4
ENVESTNET ASSET MANAGEMENT INC
1.2M
5
Nuveen, LLC
791K
6
OPPENHEIMER ASSET MANAGEMENT INC.
393K
7
NEW YORK STATE TEACHERS RETIREMENT SYSTEM
312K
8
THRIVENT FINANCIAL FOR LUTHERANS
264K
News & Activity

SABR News

20 articles · 4h ago

About

technology that moves the world. #travelsolved. sabre is a leading technology solutions provider to the nearly us$8 trillion travel industry. our technology and data-driven solutions help our airline, hotel and travel agency customers grow their businesses and transform the traveler experience. the scale, breadth and depth of our technology is unmatched and sustains a complex industry. we provide an open and stable platform to deliver flexible, reliable and scalable solutions. over the years, we have shaped and modernized the travel industry. we pioneered online travel agencies, corporate booking tools, revenue management, and web and mobile itinerary tools, to name a few. sabre offers the travel industry’s broadest range of technology solutions including data-driven business intelligence, mobile, distribution and software as a service (saas) solutions, used by travel suppliers and buyers to plan, market, sell, serve and operate their businesses. our travel marketplace transacts more t

CEO
Sean Menke
Jami KindleSenior Vice President & Chief Accounting Officer
Jennifer CattoExecutive Vice President & Chief Marketing Officer
Rochelle J. BoasExecutive Vice President & Chief Legal Officer
PeersConsumer Cyclical(7 companies)
Screen sector →
SymbolPriceDay %Mkt CapP/ERev GrwMarginELO
SABR
$1.87+1.08%$739M1.4-853.5%1893.3%1500
$272.05+1.41%$2.9T32.2+1237.8%1083.4%1515
$392.51+0.45%$1.5T327.5-293.1%400.1%1490
$312.42-3.54%$311.2B21.9+324.0%859.6%1485
$284.10-0.89%$201.9B23.7+372.3%3185.0%1488
$154.64-1.40%$171.7B31.7+711.9%910.0%1510
$165.58-2.39%$128.3B21.3+1338.7%2007.7%1489
Sector avg-0.75%65.7+405.4%1477.0%1497