SHOO
Earnings in 2 days · May 6, 2026 · Before open
Signal
Mixed11
Price
1
Move-1.37%Negative session
Volume
1
Volume0.1× avgLight volume
Technical
1
RSIRSI 65Momentum positive
PRICE
Prev Close
37.50
Open
37.38
Day Range36.66 – 37.41
36.66
37.41
52W Range19.75 – 46.88
19.75
46.88
64% of range
VOLUME & SIZE
Avg Volume
1.4M
FUNDAMENTALS
P/E Ratio
58.7x
Premium valuation
EPS (TTM)
Div Yield
0.03%
Beta
1.16
Market-like
Quick Read
TrendInsufficient MA data
Momentum
BULLISH
revenue +11% YoY · 41% gross margin
Valuation
EXPENSIVE
P/E 59x vs ~20x sector
Health
STRONG
CR 1.9 · FCF $1.69/sh
Bullish
Key MetricsTTM
Market Cap$2.70B
Revenue TTM$2.53B
Net Income TTM$44.66M
Free Cash Flow$119.54M
Gross Margin41.4%
Net Margin1.8%
Operating Margin3.2%
Return on Equity5.2%
Return on Assets2.3%
Debt / Equity0.56
Current Ratio1.90
EPS TTM$0.63
Alpha SignalsFull Analysis →
What Moves This Stock

Wholesale order trends and reorder rates from major retail partners (Nordstrom, Macy's, DSW, department store health)

Direct-to-consumer comparable store sales growth and e-commerce penetration rates

Gross margin trajectory driven by product mix, sourcing cost inflation, tariff impacts, and freight rates

Inventory management and markdown levels relative to fashion cycle execution

Macro Sensitivity
Economic Cycle

high - Fashion footwear is a discretionary purchase category highly correlated with consumer confidence and disposable income. The mid-tier price positioning makes the brand vulnerable to trade-down behavior during recessions as consumers defer purchases or shift to value retailers. Wholesale partners (department stores) face traffic and sales pressure during economic slowdowns, directly impacting order volumes. The company's 15.2% revenue growth reflects strong consumer spending conditions, but negative net income growth suggests margin pressure that could intensify in a downturn.

Interest Rates

Rising interest rates negatively impact the business through multiple channels: (1) reduced consumer discretionary spending as debt service costs increase, (2) lower mall traffic as retail partners face financing pressure, (3) higher inventory carrying costs, and (4) valuation multiple compression for growth-oriented consumer stocks. The company's 1.2x P/S ratio suggests modest valuation that could compress further if rates remain elevated. However, the 0.63 debt/equity ratio and positive free cash flow provide some insulation from direct financing cost increases.

Key Risks

Department store channel secular decline as consumers shift to e-commerce and off-price retailers, reducing wholesale distribution reach and pricing power

Fast fashion disruption from ultra-low-cost competitors (Shein, Temu) and vertical retailers (Zara, H&M) with faster design cycles and lower price points

Tariff and trade policy uncertainty with significant China manufacturing exposure, requiring costly and time-intensive geographic diversification of supply chain

Investor Profile

growth - The stock attracts growth-oriented investors focused on brand-building, direct-to-consumer expansion, and market share gains in fashion footwear. The 44.2% six-month return reflects momentum trading around recovery themes, while the -2.2% one-year return and -1.3% net income decline suggest volatility around execution and margin pressure. The 6.1% FCF yield provides some value characteristics, but the 29.1x EV/EBITDA multiple indicates growth expectations are priced in. Investors focus on top-line acceleration, DTC channel growth, and operating leverage rather than dividend income (company does not appear to be a significant dividend payer based on metrics).

Watch on Earnings
US retail sales excluding autos (RSXFS) as proxy for consumer discretionary spending strengthConsumer sentiment index (UMCSENT) as leading indicator for fashion purchase intentUSD/CNY exchange rate (DEXCHUS) impacting sourcing costs from China manufacturing baseCotton futures prices (CTUSX) as input cost for footwear materials and accessories
Health Radar
2 strong1 watch3 concern
49/100
Liquidity
1.90Watch
Leverage
0.56Strong
Coverage
18.2xStrong
ROE
5.2%Concern
ROIC
3.5%Concern
Cash
$112MConcern
ANALYST COVERAGE30 analysts
BUY
+21.7%upside to target
L $30.00
Med $45.00consensus
H $50.00
Buy
2067%
Hold
827%
Sell
27%
20 Buy (67%)8 Hold (27%)2 Sell (6%)
Full report →
Stock Health
Composite Score
5 of 5 signals bullish
10/10
Technicals
RSI RangeRSI 65 — Bullish momentum
Volume
Volume FlowAccumulation — institutional buying
Fundamentals
Last EarningsBeat estimates
Analyst ConsensusBuy
LiquidityCurrent Ratio 1.90 — healthy liquidity
Upcoming Events
EEarnings Report · After CloseMay 5, 2026
Tomorrow
DEx-Dividend DateAug 2, 2026
In 90 days
Technicals
Technical SetupMIXED
Technicals →

Trend

PullbackGolden Cross · 50D leads 200D by 31.3%

-13.9% vs SMA 50 · +13.0% vs SMA 200

Momentum

RSI64.9
Positive momentum, not extended
MACD-1.48
Below zero — bearish pulse · compressing
Market Position
Price Levels
52W High
$46.88+26.8%
EMA 50
$41.33+11.7%
Current
$36.98
EMA 200
$32.63-11.8%
52W Low
$19.75-46.6%
52-Week RangeMid-range
$19.7564th %ile$46.88
Squeeze SetupVolume-based
Moderate Squeeze Setup

Accumulation pattern present — more buying days than selling over the past 20 sessions. Volume conditions support gradual price improvement.

20-Day Money Flow
Acc days:7
Dist days:0
Edge:+7 acc
Volume Context
Avg Vol (50D)1.5M
Recent Vol (5D)
1.5M+1%

Based on volume distribution analysis. Direct short interest data (short float %, days to cover) is not available in current data sources.

Earnings & Analysts

ANALYST ESTIMATES

Consensus of 6 analysts
Analyst revisions:EPS↑ Revised UpRevenue↓ Revised Down

Analyst consensus estimates · Actuals replace estimates as reported

YearRevenue Est.Rev GthEPS Est.EPS GthRangeAnalysts
FY2024
$2.2B
$2.2B$2.3B
$2.65
±1%
High6
FY2025
$2.5B
$2.5B$2.5B
+12.8%$1.69-36.4%
±1%
High5
FY2026(current)
$2.8B
$2.8B$2.8B
+10.2%$2.10+24.6%
±6%
High5
Range confidence:Tight (high)ModerateWide (low)
Earnings HistorySHOO
Last 8Q
+5.7%avg beat
Beat 6 of 8 quartersMissed 2 Estimates falling
+16%
Q2'24
+8%
Q3'24
+2%
Q4'24
+4%
Q1'25
+30%
Q2'25
-17%
Q3'25
-2%
Q4'25
+4%
Q1'26
Beat
Miss
Estimate
Deeper color = bigger beat/miss
Analyst Activity
All ratings →
Neutral — mixed activity
90d01
JefferiesHold → Underperform
Feb 5
DOWNGRADE
NeedhamBuy
Jan 8
UPGRADE
Telsey AdvisoryUnderperform → Outperform
Oct 30
UPGRADE
Piper SandlerNeutral → Overweight
Sep 22
UPGRADE
Loop Capital MarketsHold
Sep 13
DOWNGRADE
Credit SuisseNeutral
Sep 13
DOWNGRADE
Piper SandlerNeutral
Sep 13
DOWNGRADE
Insider Activity
SEC Filings →
0 Buys/6 SellsNet Selling
Reed Arian SimoneDir
$120K
Mar 12
SELL
Reed Arian SimoneDir
$121K
Dec 11
SELL
Varela AmeliaDir
$639K
Dec 1
SELL
Keith LisaEVP, Gen. Coun…
$101K
Nov 25
SELL
Mazouzi ZineCFO
$526K
Nov 25
SELL
Keith LisaEVP, Gen. Coun…
$105K
Nov 25
SELL
Financials
Dividends2.27% yield
3 yrs of payments
Annual Yield2.27%
Quarterly Div.$0.2100
Est. Annual / Share$0.84
FrequencyQuarterly
Q2'24
Q3'24
Q4'24
Q1'25
Q2'25
Q3'25
Q4'25
Q1'26

Dividend per payment — last 8 periods

INSTITUTIONAL OWNERSHIP

1
Nuveen, LLC
1.0M
2
FORT WASHINGTON INVESTMENT ADVISORS INC /OH/
708K
3
abrdn plc
261K
4
Leeward Investments, LLC - MA
253K
5
STRS OHIO
129K
6
Hodges Capital Management Inc.
75K
7
NEW YORK STATE TEACHERS RETIREMENT SYSTEM
72K
8
Moran Wealth Management, LLC
69K
News & Activity

SHOO News

19 articles · 4h ago

About

steven madden, ltd. is globally recognized as a leading company in the fashion industry. steve madden has offices & stores located throughout the united states. founded in 1990, the brand has expanded to consist of hundreds of hard working individuals in multiple areas of expertise. with an emphasis on retail, wholesale, licensee & international business, there's a constant need for new ideas and versatility. our environment is extremely fast paced, and requires associates to maintain a balance of energy & professionalism. in addition to marketing products under its owned brands including steve madden, steven by steve madden, madden girl, freebird by steven, stevies, betsey johnson, dolce vita, dv by dolce vita, brian atwood, b brian atwood, report signature, report, big buddha, wild pair, cejon & mad love, the company is the licensee of various brands, including olsenboye for footwear, handbags & belts and superga & l.e.i. for footwear. the company also designs & sources products unde

Industry
Footwear Manufacturing
CEO
Edward Rosenfeld
Lisa KeithExecutive Vice President, General Counsel & Secretary
Zine MazouziChief Financial Officer & Executive Vice President of Operations
Amelia Newton VarelaPresident, Chief Operating Officer & Director
PeersConsumer Cyclical(7 companies)
Screen sector →
SymbolPriceDay %Mkt CapP/ERev GrwMarginELO
SHOO
$36.98+0.00%$2.7B1500
$272.86+1.27%$2.9T31.8+1237.8%1083.4%1515
$390.37+2.41%$1.5T326.1-293.1%400.1%1490
$320.80-1.50%$322.6B22.7+324.0%859.6%1485
$288.63-2.37%$203.8B23.9+372.3%3185.0%1488
$156.38+0.05%$174.2B32.1+711.9%910.0%1510
$169.29+0.75%$131.4B21.8+1338.7%2007.7%1489
Sector avg+0.09%76.4+615.3%1407.6%1497