SIG
Next earnings: Jun 3, 2026 · Before open
Signal
Bearish Setup2
Price
1
Move-3.74%Selling pressure
Volume
1
Volume0.9× avgNormal activity
Technical
1
RSIRSI 41Momentum negative
PRICE
Prev Close
89.03
Open
88.73
Day Range84.82 – 89.14
84.82
89.14
52W Range59.90 – 110.20
59.90
110.20
51% of range
VOLUME & SIZE
Avg Volume
933.8K
FUNDAMENTALS
P/E Ratio
12.1x
Value territory
EPS (TTM)
Div Yield
0.01%
Beta
1.54
High vol
Performance
1D
-3.74%
5D
-3.51%
1M
+1.00%
3M
-9.56%
6M
-13.30%
YTD
+3.40%
1Y
+39.94%
Best: 1Y (+39.94%)Worst: 6M (-13.30%)
Quick Read
TrendInsufficient MA data
Momentum
NEUTRAL
rev +2% · 40% gross margin
Valuation
CHEAP
P/E 12x vs ~20x sector
Health
STRONG
CR 1.6 · FCF $12.94/sh
Bullish
Key MetricsTTM
Market Cap$3.49B
Revenue TTM$6.81B
Net Income TTM$294.40M
Free Cash Flow$525.30M
Gross Margin39.6%
Net Margin4.3%
Operating Margin7.7%
Return on Equity16.4%
Return on Assets4.9%
Debt / Equity0.62
Current Ratio1.59
EPS TTM$7.25
Alpha SignalsFull Analysis →
What Moves This Stock

Comparable store sales trends - particularly in bridal category which drives traffic and basket size

Credit penetration rates and approval rates - financing facilitates 50%+ of sales, so tightening credit standards directly impact conversion

Promotional intensity and gross margin trajectory - heavy discounting to drive traffic compresses profitability

Store traffic trends and e-commerce penetration - shift to online (James Allen, Blue Nile acquisitions) changes unit economics

Macro Sensitivity
Economic Cycle

high - Jewelry is highly discretionary with purchases deferrable during economic uncertainty. Bridal jewelry has some resilience (engagements less cyclical than fashion jewelry), but average ticket size and attachment rates (warranties, additional items) compress in downturns. The company saw revenue decline 6.5% YoY in recent period, reflecting consumer pullback on big-ticket discretionary items. Historical recessions show 15-25% revenue declines for specialty jewelers as consumers prioritize essential spending.

Interest Rates

High sensitivity through multiple channels: (1) Consumer financing - rising rates increase APRs on promotional credit programs, reducing affordability and approval rates for the ~50% of customers using financing; (2) Valuation multiple compression - as a low-margin retailer trading at 0.6x sales, rising risk-free rates make the equity less attractive; (3) Refinancing risk - company carries $1.3B net debt (0.67 D/E ratio), so rising rates increase interest expense on revolving credit facilities. Current rate environment above 4% materially impacts credit-dependent purchase behavior.

Key Risks

Secular shift to online and alternative luxury spending - younger consumers allocating discretionary dollars to experiences (travel) over physical goods, and lab-grown diamonds disrupting natural diamond pricing power

Declining marriage rates and delayed household formation - US marriage rate declined from 8.2 per 1,000 in 2000 to 6.2 in 2023, directly reducing bridal jewelry addressable market

Mall traffic deterioration - significant store base in Class B/C malls experiencing structural decline, requiring ongoing store closures and fleet optimization

Investor Profile

value - Stock trades at 0.6x sales and 7.9x EV/EBITDA despite 11.2% FCF yield, attracting deep value investors betting on cyclical recovery and operational turnaround. The 70.7% one-year return suggests momentum traders have entered, but core thesis remains value-oriented given depressed multiples. Not a dividend story (minimal payout) or growth story (revenue declining 6.5% YoY). Attracts contrarian investors willing to bet on consumer spending normalization and credit availability improvement.

Watch on Earnings
University of Michigan Consumer Sentiment Index - leading indicator for discretionary spending intentionsPersonal savings rate - higher savings indicates capacity for big-ticket purchasesFederal funds rate and consumer credit spreads - directly impact financing availability and approval ratesRetail sales excluding autos - proxy for overall consumer spending health
Health Radar
2 strong3 watch1 concern
44/100
Liquidity
1.59Watch
Leverage
0.62Strong
Coverage
0.0xConcern
ROE
16.4%Strong
ROIC
8.9%Watch
Cash
$875MWatch
ANALYST COVERAGE27 analysts
HOLD
+12.0%upside to target
L $90.00
Med $96.00consensus
H $150.00
Buy
1037%
Hold
1659%
Sell
14%
10 Buy (37%)16 Hold (59%)1 Sell (4%)
Full report →
Stock Health
Composite Score
3 of 5 signals bullish
8/10
Technicals
RSI RangeRSI 41 — Bearish momentum
Volume
Volume FlowAccumulation — institutional buying
Fundamentals
Last EarningsBeat estimates
Analyst ConsensusHold
~
LiquidityCurrent Ratio 1.59 — healthy liquidity
Upcoming Events
EEarnings ReportMay 4, 2026
Tomorrow
DEx-Dividend DateJul 31, 2026
In 89 days
Technicals
Technical SetupBEARISH
Technicals →

Trend

DowntrendGolden Cross · 50D leads 200D by 2.9%

-7.1% vs SMA 50 · -4.4% vs SMA 200

Momentum

RSI40.6
Momentum fading
MACD-1.48
Below zero — bearish pulse · compressing
Market Position
Price Levels
52W High
$110.2+28.6%
EMA 50
$91.28+6.5%
Current
$85.70
EMA 200
$77.91-9.1%
52W Low
$59.90-30.1%
52-Week RangeMid-range
$59.9051th %ile$110.2
Squeeze SetupVolume-based
Moderate Squeeze Setup

Accumulation pattern present — more buying days than selling over the past 20 sessions. Volume conditions support gradual price improvement.

20-Day Money Flow
Acc days:3
Dist days:3
Edge:Even
Volume Context
Avg Vol (50D)1.2M
Recent Vol (5D)
749K-36%

Based on volume distribution analysis. Direct short interest data (short float %, days to cover) is not available in current data sources.

Earnings & Analysts

ANALYST ESTIMATES

Consensus of 5 analysts
Analyst revisions:EPS↑ Revised UpRevenue↑ Revised Up

Analyst consensus estimates · Actuals replace estimates as reported

YearRevenue Est.Rev GthEPS Est.EPS GthRangeAnalysts
FY2024
$7.0B
$7.0B$7.1B
$14.47
±1%
Low2
FY2025
$6.7B
$6.6B$6.7B
-4.7%$8.70-39.9%
±1%
Moderate4
FY2026(current)
$6.8B
$6.7B$6.9B
+1.9%$9.47+8.9%
±2%
High5
Range confidence:Tight (high)ModerateWide (low)
🔥Beat 5 consecutive quarters
Earnings HistorySIG
Last 8Q
+24.4%avg beat
Beat 7 of 8 quartersMissed 1
+30%
Q2'24
+11%
Q3'24
-23%
Q4'24
+4%
Q1'25
+18%
Q2'25
+33%
Q3'25
+120%
Q4'25
+2%
Q1'26
Beat
Miss
Estimate
Deeper color = bigger beat/miss
Analyst Activity
All ratings →
No recent activity
CitigroupNeutral → Buy
Dec 6
UPGRADE
Insider Activity
SEC Filings →
0 Buys/1 SellNet Selling
Tilzer Brian ADir
$623K
Mar 25
SELL
Financials
Dividends1.53% yield
+11.3% avg annual growth
Annual Yield1.53%
Quarterly Div.$0.3500
Est. Annual / Share$1.40
FrequencyQuarterly
Q3'24
Q4'24
Q1'25
Q2'25
Q3'25
Q4'25
Q1'26
Q2'26

Dividend per payment — last 8 periods

INSTITUTIONAL OWNERSHIP

1
Nuveen, LLC
450K
2
GRACE & WHITE INC /NY
241K
3
Wesleyan Assurance Society
141K
4
PEREGRINE CAPITAL MANAGEMENT LLC
97K
5
WEDGE CAPITAL MANAGEMENT L L P/NC
66K
6
MOODY ALDRICH PARTNERS LLC
62K
7
SG Americas Securities, LLC
53K
8
Y-Intercept (Hong Kong) Ltd
51K
News & Activity

SIG News

20 articles · 4h ago

About

signet jewelers is the largest specialty retail jeweler in the us and uk, with leading positions in both markets. in the us the company operates the national kay and jared brands along with a further 10 regional brands. in the uk, the company operates the h.samuel and ernest jones brands, and leslie davis.

Country
United States
Neil OldPresident of H. Samuel and Ernest Jones
Robert BallewSenior Vice President of Investor Relations & Capital Markets
Vincent N. CiccoliniSenior Vice President of Finance, Controller & Chief Accounting Officer
PeersConsumer Cyclical(7 companies)
Screen sector →
SymbolPriceDay %Mkt CapP/ERev GrwMarginELO
SIG
$85.70-3.74%$3.5B11.8+163.8%432.1%1500
$268.42+1.21%$2.9T31.7+1237.8%1083.4%1515
$390.82+2.41%$1.5T326.1-293.1%400.1%1490
$323.88-1.50%$322.6B22.7+324.0%859.6%1485
$286.64-2.37%$203.8B23.9+372.3%3185.0%1488
$156.83+0.05%$174.2B32.1+711.9%910.0%1510
$169.63+0.75%$131.4B21.8+1338.7%2007.7%1489
Sector avg-0.45%67.2+550.8%1268.3%1497