Upbound Group, Inc.(UPBD)

$20.61—Earnings in 3d

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Upbound Group, Inc.(UPBD)

NASDAQ

$20.61—Earnings in 3d

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UPBD(UPBD)

UPBD

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7/27/26

UPBOUND (UPBD)

Monday

7:27 PM

Thesis: Recent strategic partnerships and product launches are expected to drive revenue growth and improve margins, shifting investor sentiment positively.

Revenue Outlook

Metric	FY2025	FY2026E	FY2027E
Revenue	$4.7B	$4.8B	$5.1B
Rev. Growth	+8.7%	+3.0%	+5.8%
EPS	$1.30	$4.20	$4.76
EPS Growth	-42.5%	+223%	+13.3%
P/E (fwd)	15.7×	4.9×	4.3×

★ Analysts see FY2027 revenue reaching $5.1B — +5.8% growth in a single year.

What’s Driving the Stock

1New partnership with a leading logistics firm expected to increase client base by 15% over the next year.
2Launch of a new AI-driven analytics tool projected to enhance customer retention by 20%.
3Recent cost-cutting measures expected to improve operating margins from 4.8% to 6.5% by year-end.
4Increased focus on European market expansion, targeting a 25% revenue increase from this region within two years.
5Digital transformation in logistics and supply chain management
6Increased demand for data-driven decision making
7Adoption rates of new software features by existing clients
8Expansion into new geographic markets, particularly in North America and Europe

FY2025 Snapshot

Revenue: $4.7B
Rev. Growth: +8.7%
Gross Margin: 34.5%
Op. Margin: 4.8%
Net Margin: 1.6%
Net Income: $73M
NI Growth: -40.7%
EPS: $1.30
1Y Return: -16.1%

UPBD Chart

My Notes

"Our focus on innovative solutions and strategic partnerships positions us well for future growth."
Moat: Upbound's proprietary technology and established client relationships provide a moderate level of competitive advantage.
growth - Investors are likely attracted to Upbound for its potential to capture market share in the growing logistics software sector.
Interest rates affect Upbound's financing costs for R&D and expansion.
Watch on earnings: Annual recurring revenue (ARR), Customer retention rate, Operating cash flow.

One Sentence Summary:

The bull case is simple: analysts see revenue climbing from $4.8B to $5.1B as new partnership with a leading logistics firm expected to increase client base by 15% over the next year.

Auto-composed from Stock Alarm intelligence, financial statements, and analyst estimates. Not investment advice.

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Metric

FY2025

FY2026E

FY2027E

P/E (fwd)

15.7×

4.9×

4.3×

What’s Driving the Stock

1New partnership with a leading logistics firm expected to increase client base by 15% over the next year.

2Launch of a new AI-driven analytics tool projected to enhance customer retention by 20%.

3Recent cost-cutting measures expected to improve operating margins from 4.8% to 6.5% by year-end.

4Increased focus on European market expansion, targeting a 25% revenue increase from this region within two years.

5Digital transformation in logistics and supply chain management

6Increased demand for data-driven decision making

7Adoption rates of new software features by existing clients

8Expansion into new geographic markets, particularly in North America and Europe

My Notes

"Our focus on innovative solutions and strategic partnerships positions us well for future growth."

Moat: Upbound's proprietary technology and established client relationships provide a moderate level of competitive advantage.

growth - Investors are likely attracted to Upbound for its potential to capture market share in the growing logistics software sector.

Interest rates affect Upbound's financing costs for R&D and expansion.

Watch on earnings: Annual recurring revenue (ARR), Customer retention rate, Operating cash flow.