URBN
Next earnings: May 20, 2026 · After close
Signal
Mixed11
Price
1
Move-1.23%Negative session
Volume
1
Volume0.7× avgNormal activity
Technical
1
RSIRSI 68Momentum positive
PRICE
Prev Close
69.01
Open
69.01
Day Range67.92 – 70.89
67.92
70.89
52W Range51.12 – 84.35
51.12
84.35
51% of range
VOLUME & SIZE
Avg Volume
1.6M
FUNDAMENTALS
P/E Ratio
13.6x
Value territory
EPS (TTM)
Div Yield
No dividend
Beta
1.21
Market-like
Performance
1D
-1.23%
5D
-0.61%
1M
+2.45%
3M
-7.67%
6M
+8.04%
YTD
-9.43%
1Y
+26.93%
Best: 1Y (+26.93%)Worst: YTD (-9.43%)
Quick Read
TrendInsufficient MA data
Momentum
BULLISH
revenue +11% YoY
Valuation
CHEAP
P/E 14x vs ~20x sector
Health
STRONG
CR 1.5 · FCF $4.96/sh
Strong Buy
Key MetricsTTM
Market Cap$6.11B
Revenue TTM$6.17B
Net Income TTM$464.92M
Free Cash Flow$445.13M
Gross Margin36.0%
Net Margin7.5%
Operating Margin9.9%
Return on Equity17.7%
Return on Assets9.3%
Debt / Equity0.44
Current Ratio1.51
EPS TTM$5.18
Alpha SignalsFull Analysis →
What Moves This Stock

Comparable store sales growth (comp sales) across all three brands, particularly Anthropologie which represents largest revenue contribution

Digital channel penetration rate and growth trajectory - currently ~40% of sales with target to reach 50%+

Gross margin performance driven by merchandise margins, markdown rates, and occupancy deleverage/leverage

Inventory turnover and aging metrics indicating merchandising effectiveness and markdown risk exposure

Macro Sensitivity
Economic Cycle

high - Specialty apparel is highly discretionary spending with strong correlation to consumer confidence and disposable income. The target demographic (18-45 year olds) exhibits income sensitivity, particularly for Anthropologie's higher price points ($100+ average transaction). During economic slowdowns, consumers defer apparel purchases and trade down to value retailers. However, URBN's differentiated brands and lifestyle positioning provide some insulation versus commodity apparel retailers. Estimated revenue elasticity to GDP growth of 1.5-2.0x.

Interest Rates

Rising interest rates create multiple headwinds: (1) reduced consumer discretionary spending as debt service costs increase for target demographic carrying student loans and credit card balances, (2) higher inventory financing costs impacting working capital, (3) valuation multiple compression as growth retailers typically trade at premium P/E ratios that contract when risk-free rates rise. However, URBN's modest debt load (0.44 D/E) limits direct financing cost impact. Primary sensitivity is demand-side through consumer purchasing power.

Key Risks

Secular shift to online-only fast fashion competitors (Shein, Boohoo) offering lower price points and rapid trend replication, pressuring traffic to physical stores and pricing power

Generational preference shifts as Gen Z exhibits lower brand loyalty and higher sustainability consciousness, potentially disadvantaging traditional retail models

Commercial real estate exposure with long-term lease obligations (estimated $1.5B+ in future commitments) creating fixed cost burden if store productivity deteriorates

Investor Profile

value - The stock attracts value-oriented investors given 1.0x P/S ratio (below historical 1.2-1.5x range) and 5.1% FCF yield, despite recent operational improvements. Momentum traders participate during earnings beats when comp sales surprise positively. The 40% EPS growth rate attracts some growth-at-reasonable-price (GARP) investors, though sustainability questions limit pure growth investor interest. Dividend yield is minimal, not attracting income-focused investors.

Watch on Earnings
University of Michigan Consumer Sentiment Index as leading indicator for discretionary spending intentionsRetail sales excluding autos (RSXFS) showing broader specialty retail demand trendsPersonal savings rate indicating consumer financial cushion for discretionary purchasesUnemployment rate among 18-34 year old demographic (target customer base)
Health Radar
3 strong2 watch1 concern
60/100
Liquidity
1.51Watch
Leverage
0.44Strong
Coverage
2470.0xStrong
ROE
17.7%Strong
ROIC
11.5%Watch
Cash
$369MConcern
ANALYST COVERAGE17 analysts
HOLD
+33.5%upside to target
L $80.00
Med $91.00consensus
H $102.00
Buy
635%
Hold
1165%
6 Buy (35%)11 Hold (65%)0 Sell (0%)
Full report →
Stock Health
Composite Score
4 of 5 signals bullish
9/10
Technicals
RSI RangeRSI 68 — Bullish momentum
Volume
Volume FlowAccumulation — institutional buying
Fundamentals
Last EarningsBeat estimates
Analyst ConsensusHold
~
LiquidityCurrent Ratio 1.51 — healthy liquidity
Upcoming Events
EEarnings ReportMay 6, 2026
Tomorrow
DEx-Dividend DateAug 3, 2026
In 90 days
PDividend PaymentAug 20, 2026
In 107 days
Technicals
Technical SetupBULLISH
Technicals →

Trend

RallyDeath Cross · 50D trails 200D by 6.0%

+2.4% vs SMA 50 · -3.7% vs SMA 200

Momentum

RSI67.8
Positive momentum, not extended
MACD+1.35
Above zero — bullish momentum · compressing
Market Position
Price Levels
52W High
$84.35+23.8%
EMA 50
$72.91+7.0%
Current
$68.16
EMA 200
$60.81-10.8%
52W Low
$51.12-25.0%
52-Week RangeMid-range
$51.1251th %ile$84.35
Squeeze SetupVolume-based
Moderate Squeeze Setup

Accumulation pattern present — more buying days than selling over the past 20 sessions. Volume conditions support gradual price improvement.

20-Day Money Flow
Acc days:5
Dist days:0
Edge:+5 acc
Volume Context
Avg Vol (50D)2.2M
Recent Vol (5D)
1.9M-16%

Based on volume distribution analysis. Direct short interest data (short float %, days to cover) is not available in current data sources.

Earnings & Analysts

ANALYST ESTIMATES

Consensus of 9 analysts
Analyst revisions:EPS↓ Revised DownRevenue↓ Revised Down

Analyst consensus estimates · Actuals replace estimates as reported

YearRevenue Est.Rev GthEPS Est.EPS GthRangeAnalysts
FY2024
$5.3B
$5.3B$5.4B
$3.34
±1%
Moderate4
FY2025
$5.6B
$5.5B$5.6B
+4.3%$3.97+19.0%
±3%
High8
FY2026(current)
$6.2B
$6.1B$6.2B
+10.9%$5.27+32.9%
±1%
High9
Range confidence:Tight (high)ModerateWide (low)
🔥Beat 8 consecutive quarters
Earnings HistoryURBN
Last 8Q
+21.5%avg beat
Beat 8 of 8 quarters Estimates rising
+33%
Q2'24
+24%
Q3'24
+28%
Q4'24
+17%
Q1'25
+39%
Q2'25
+10%
Q3'25
+7%
Q4'25
+15%
Q1'26
Beat
Miss
Estimate
Deeper color = bigger beat/miss
Analyst Activity
All ratings →
No recent activity
Telsey AdvisoryMarket Perform → Outperform
Dec 17
UPGRADE
CitigroupNeutral → Buy
Nov 27
UPGRADE
Telsey AdvisoryUnderperform → Market Perform
Aug 22
DOWNGRADE
JefferiesHold → Underperform
Apr 17
DOWNGRADE
UBSNeutral
Feb 12
UPGRADE
Morgan StanleyOverweight → Equal-Weight
Nov 24
DOWNGRADE
JefferiesHold
Sep 25
DOWNGRADE
Insider Activity
SEC Filings →
0 Buys/1 SellNet Selling
Hayne AzeezChief Administ…
$378K
Mar 11
SELL
Financials

INSTITUTIONAL OWNERSHIP

1
WEDGE CAPITAL MANAGEMENT L L P/NC
506K
2
PRINCIPAL FINANCIAL GROUP INC
392K
3
BRAUN STACEY ASSOCIATES INC
265K
4
BI Asset Management Fondsmaeglerselskab A/S
190K
5
Nuveen, LLC
149K
6
Leeward Investments, LLC - MA
107K
7
Y-Intercept (Hong Kong) Ltd
100K
8
Assenagon Asset Management S.A.
92K
News & Activity

URBN News

20 articles · 4h ago

About

urbn is a portfolio of global consumer brands comprised of urban outfitters, anthropologie, free people, bhldn, terrain and the vetri family. we create unique retail experiences with an eye toward creativity and a singular focus on pleasing our customer. we're a passionate, creative, entrepreneurial bunch who think outside the box and are all about providing a unique shopping experience that's inspirational. the first store & mission the year was 1970. dick hayne was just 23 years old when he and college roommate scott belair came up with the idea to open a retail store. belair was in search of a topic for an entrepreneurial class he was taking at the time. the first store, originally called free people, was located in a small space across the street from the university of pennsylvania. its mission was to provide second-hand clothing, furniture, jewelry and home décor for customers in a casual fun environment. our stores since the first store opened in west philly we continually strive

CEO
Richard Hayne
Sheila HarringtonGlobal Chief Executive Officer Urban Outfitters Group & CEO of Free People Group
David A. HayneChief Technology Officer & President of Nuuly
Francis J. ConfortiChief Operating Officer & Co-President
PeersConsumer Cyclical(7 companies)
Screen sector →
SymbolPriceDay %Mkt CapP/ERev GrwMarginELO
URBN
$68.16-1.23%$6.1B13.1+1107.5%754.1%1500
$272.05+1.41%$2.9T32.2+1237.8%1083.4%1515
$392.51+0.45%$1.5T327.5-293.1%400.1%1490
$312.42-3.54%$311.2B21.9+324.0%859.6%1485
$284.10-0.89%$201.9B23.7+372.3%3185.0%1488
$154.64-1.40%$171.7B31.7+711.9%910.0%1510
$165.58-2.39%$128.3B21.3+1338.7%2007.7%1489
Sector avg-1.08%67.3+685.6%1314.3%1497