VAC
Signal
Mixed11
Price
1
Move-3.49%Selling pressure
Volume
1
Volume0.8× avgNormal activity
Technical
1
RSIRSI 55Momentum positive
PRICE
Prev Close
72.75
Open
72.15
Day Range69.87 – 72.71
69.87
72.71
52W Range44.58 – 86.33
44.58
86.33
61% of range
VOLUME & SIZE
Avg Volume
596.9K
FUNDAMENTALS
P/E Ratio
-8.2x
Not profitable
EPS (TTM)
Div Yield
0.02%
Beta
1.22
Market-like
Performance
1D
-3.49%
5D
-0.92%
1M
+3.36%
3M
+26.03%
6M
+5.87%
YTD
+21.70%
1Y
+20.06%
Best: 3M (+26.03%)Worst: 1D (-3.49%)
Quick Read
TrendInsufficient MA data
Momentum
BEARISH
revenue -8% YoY
Valuation
FAIR
P/E not available
Health
WEAK
CR 17.7 · FCF negative
Bearish
Key MetricsTTM
Market Cap$2.41B
Revenue TTM$4.58B
Net Income TTM-$308.00M
Free Cash Flow-$29.00M
Gross Margin33.9%
Net Margin-6.7%
Operating Margin11.8%
Return on Equity-13.1%
Return on Assets-3.2%
Debt / Equity2.89
Current Ratio17.74
EPS TTM$-8.83
Alpha SignalsFull Analysis →
What Moves This Stock

Vacation ownership interest (VOI) sales volume and contract sales price per unit - directly drives top-line and margin expansion

Tour flow and closing rates at sales centers - leading indicators of sales momentum, typically 15-20% closing rates on qualified tours

Consumer financing portfolio performance - default rates, loan loss provisions, and securitization execution affecting financing segment profitability

Development pipeline and inventory turnover - new resort openings, inventory acquisition costs, and sell-through rates at existing properties

Macro Sensitivity
Economic Cycle

high - Timeshare purchases are highly discretionary, requiring $20,000-$50,000+ upfront commitment from middle-to-upper income consumers. Sales volumes correlate strongly with consumer confidence, employment stability, and discretionary spending capacity. The -14.2% net income decline and -35.7% one-year stock return reflect cyclical pressure. Tour flow depends on leisure travel demand and consumer willingness to attend 90-120 minute sales presentations. Resort occupancy and rental income also track leisure travel trends.

Interest Rates

High sensitivity through multiple channels: (1) Consumer financing - rising rates compress net interest margin on new loan originations and reduce financing propensity as monthly payments increase; (2) Securitization costs - higher benchmark rates increase cost of securitizing consumer loan portfolios, pressuring financing segment profitability; (3) Corporate debt - $4.7B debt load (2.33x equity) faces refinancing risk and higher interest expense; (4) Consumer affordability - higher rates reduce purchasing power for financed timeshare purchases. Federal funds rate directly impacts both asset yields and funding costs.

Key Risks

Secular shift away from timeshare ownership model toward flexible vacation rentals (Airbnb, Vrbo) and hotel loyalty points - younger consumers prefer asset-light travel options

Regulatory scrutiny of timeshare sales practices - state-level cooling-off periods, rescission rights, and potential federal consumer protection regulations affecting sales processes and closing rates

Declining timeshare resale values eroding consumer perception of investment value - secondary market prices typically 10-30% of original purchase price undermining value proposition

Investor Profile

value - Trading at 0.4x sales and 0.8x book value with 7.5% FCF yield attracts deep value investors betting on cyclical recovery and operational turnaround. Recent 23% three-month bounce suggests distressed/contrarian positioning. High debt load and cyclical pressure deter growth and quality-focused investors. Not a dividend story given need for debt reduction.

Watch on Earnings
Monthly contract sales volume and year-over-year growth rate - leading indicator of revenue trajectoryRevenue per vacation ownership guest (VPG) - unit economics showing pricing power and sales efficiencyConsumer financing default and delinquency rates - credit quality of loan portfolioTour flow and closing conversion rates at sales centers - sales funnel health
Health Radar
1 strong1 watch4 concern
30/100
Liquidity
17.74Strong
Leverage
2.89Concern
Coverage
3.2xWatch
ROE
-13.1%Concern
ROIC
5.5%Concern
Cash
$733MConcern
ANALYST COVERAGE18 analysts
HOLD
+18.2%upside to target
L $50.00
Med $83.00consensus
H $105.00
Buy
1267%
Hold
211%
Sell
422%
12 Buy (67%)2 Hold (11%)4 Sell (22%)
Full report →
Stock Health
Composite Score
4 of 5 signals bullish
9/10
Technicals
RSI RangeRSI 55 — Bullish momentum
Volume
Volume FlowLean Accumulation
Fundamentals
Last EarningsBeat estimates
Analyst ConsensusHold
~
LiquidityCurrent Ratio 17.74 — healthy liquidity
Upcoming Events
EEarnings ReportMay 6, 2026
Tomorrow
DEx-Dividend DateAug 3, 2026
In 90 days
PDividend PaymentAug 7, 2026
In 94 days
Technicals
Technical SetupBULLISH
Technicals →

Trend

UptrendDeath Cross · 50D trails 200D by 12.5%

+17.2% vs SMA 50 · +2.6% vs SMA 200

Momentum

RSI55.4
Positive momentum, not extended
MACD+3.00
Above zero — bullish momentum · compressing
Market Position
Price Levels
52W High
$86.33+23.0%
Current
$70.21
EMA 50
$65.32-7.0%
EMA 200
$61.79-12.0%
52W Low
$44.58-36.5%
52-Week RangeMid-range
$44.5861th %ile$86.33
Squeeze SetupVolume-based
Moderate Squeeze Setup

Accumulation pattern present — more buying days than selling over the past 20 sessions. Volume conditions support gradual price improvement.

20-Day Money Flow
Acc days:3
Dist days:0
Edge:+3 acc
Volume Context
Avg Vol (50D)626K
Recent Vol (5D)
458K-27%

Based on volume distribution analysis. Direct short interest data (short float %, days to cover) is not available in current data sources.

Earnings & Analysts

ANALYST ESTIMATES

Consensus of 8 analysts
Analyst revisions:EPS↑ Revised UpRevenue↑ Revised Up

Analyst consensus estimates · Actuals replace estimates as reported

YearRevenue Est.Rev GthEPS Est.EPS GthRangeAnalysts
FY2023
$3.1B
$3.0B$3.2B
$4.51
±3%
High6
FY2024
$4.9B
$4.9B$4.9B
+57.3%$6.18+37.0%
±2%
High8
FY2025
$5.0B
$4.9B$5.0B
+2.5%$6.78+9.7%
±4%
High8
Range confidence:Tight (high)ModerateWide (low)
🔥Beat 6 consecutive quarters
Earnings HistoryVAC
Last 8Q
+4.1%avg beat
Beat 7 of 8 quartersMissed 1
+8%
Q2'24
-45%
Q3'24
+15%
Q4'24
+23%
Q1'25
+6%
Q2'25
+14%
Q3'25
+3%
Q4'25
+8%
Q1'26
Beat
Miss
Estimate
Deeper color = bigger beat/miss
Analyst Activity
All ratings →
Neutral — mixed activity
90d10
JefferiesBuy
Mar 2
UPGRADE
Morgan StanleyUnderweight
Jan 16
DOWNGRADE
WedbushOutperform
Jan 8
UPGRADE
Morgan StanleyEqual-Weight
Sep 25
DOWNGRADE
Insider Activity
SEC Filings →
6 Buys/0 SellsNet Buying
Flaskey MichaelSee Remarks
$14K
Mar 10
BUY
Flaskey MichaelSee Remarks
$798K
Mar 10
BUY
Flaskey MichaelSee Remarks
$188K
Mar 10
BUY
Fitzgerald John D.See Remarks
$3K
Jan 7
BUY
Fitzgerald John D.See Remarks
$3K
Jan 6
BUY
Fitzgerald John D.See Remarks
$800
Jan 7
BUY
Financials
Dividends4.53% yield
+3.0% avg annual growth
Annual Yield4.53%
Quarterly Div.$0.8000
Est. Annual / Share$3.20
FrequencyQuarterly
Q2'24
Q3'24
Q4'24
Q1'25
Q2'25
Q3'25
Q4'25
Q1'26

Dividend per payment — last 8 periods

INSTITUTIONAL OWNERSHIP

1
DEPRINCE RACE & ZOLLO INC
524K
2
PRINCIPAL FINANCIAL GROUP INC
135K
3
Savant Capital, LLC
134K
4
Nuveen, LLC
61K
5
WEDGE CAPITAL MANAGEMENT L L P/NC
40K
6
SG Americas Securities, LLC
37K
7
FIFTH THIRD BANCORP
34K
8
Range Financial Group LLC
31K
News & Activity

VAC News

20 articles · 4h ago

About

marriott vacations worldwide corporation is an independent public company and a leader in vacation ownership experiences. it has more than 400,000 owners and a diverse portfolio that includes more than 60 resorts worldwide representing three brands: marriott vacation club, the ritz-carlton destination club and grand residences by marriott. learn more at marriottvacationsworldwide.com.

CEO
Stephen Weisz
Michael A. FlaskeyPresident & COO
Jason MarinoExecutive Vice President & Chief Financial Officer
Scott WeiszExecutive Vice President of Strategic Business Operations
PeersConsumer Cyclical(7 companies)
Screen sector →
SymbolPriceDay %Mkt CapP/ERev GrwMarginELO
VAC
$70.21-3.49%$2.4B+130.9%-612.1%1500
$272.05+1.41%$2.9T32.2+1237.8%1083.4%1515
$392.51+0.45%$1.5T327.5-293.1%400.1%1490
$312.42-3.54%$311.2B21.9+324.0%859.6%1485
$284.10-0.89%$201.9B23.7+372.3%3185.0%1488
$154.64-1.40%$171.7B31.7+711.9%910.0%1510
$165.58-2.39%$128.3B21.3+1338.7%2007.7%1489
Sector avg-1.41%76.4+546.1%1119.1%1497