VSTM
Next earnings: Aug 6, 2026
Signal
Bearish Setup2
Price
1
Move-8.28%Selling pressure
Volume
1
Volume1.0× avgNormal activity
Technical
1
RSIRSI 35Momentum negative
PRICE
Prev Close
4.71
Open
4.70
Day Range4.30 – 4.70
4.30
4.70
52W Range4.01 – 11.25
4.01
11.25
4% of range
VOLUME & SIZE
Avg Volume
2.1M
FUNDAMENTALS
P/E Ratio
-1.7x
Not profitable
EPS (TTM)
Div Yield
No dividend
Beta
1.49
Market-like
Performance
1D
-8.28%
5D
-20.73%
1M
-31.75%
3M
-25.77%
6M
-42.86%
YTD
-44.04%
1Y
-45.52%
Worst: 1Y (-45.52%)
Quick Read
TrendInsufficient MA data
Momentum
BULLISH
revenue +396% YoY · 84% gross margin
Valuation
FAIR
P/E not available
Health
WEAK
CR 3.0 · FCF negative
Lean Bullish
Key MetricsTTM
Market Cap$299.44M
Revenue TTM$49.59M
Net Income TTM-$193.96M
Free Cash Flow-$150.95M
Gross Margin83.7%
Net Margin-391.2%
Operating Margin-344.6%
Return on Equity-486.4%
Return on Assets-85.1%
Debt / Equity1.05
Current Ratio3.04
EPS TTM$-1.97
Alpha SignalsFull Analysis →
What Moves This Stock

Clinical trial data readouts for avutometinib/defactinib combination in LGSOC (primary endpoint: progression-free survival)

FDA regulatory interactions including breakthrough therapy designation status, pre-NDA meetings, and approval timeline guidance

Capital raises and cash runway extensions - dilution events typically pressure stock while runway extensions provide relief

Partnership announcements or licensing deals with major pharmaceutical companies for commercialization rights

Macro Sensitivity
Economic Cycle

low - Clinical-stage biotechnology companies are largely insulated from GDP fluctuations as they generate no commercial revenue. However, severe recessions can impact: (1) ability to raise capital as risk appetite declines, (2) clinical trial enrollment if patients delay elective procedures, and (3) acquisition appetite from potential pharma acquirers. The company's survival depends on capital markets functioning, not economic growth.

Interest Rates

Rising interest rates create significant headwinds for pre-revenue biotechs through multiple channels: (1) discount rate impact on NPV of future cash flows increases cost of capital and compresses valuations, (2) reduced investor appetite for speculative growth assets as risk-free rates rise, (3) higher opportunity cost makes cash-burning businesses less attractive versus bonds, and (4) potential acquirers face higher financing costs for M&A. The 10-year Treasury yield directly impacts biotech sector multiples, with 100bp rate increases historically correlating to 15-25% biotech index declines.

Key Risks

Clinical trial failure risk - oncology trials have 5-10% Phase 2 to approval success rates; negative efficacy or safety data could render pipeline worthless

Regulatory approval uncertainty - FDA may require additional trials, reject NDA, or impose restrictive labeling limiting commercial potential

Reimbursement pressure - payers increasingly scrutinizing oncology drug value; ICER reviews and Medicare negotiations under IRA could limit pricing power

Investor Profile

growth/speculative - Attracts high-risk tolerance investors seeking asymmetric returns from binary clinical/regulatory catalysts. Typical shareholders include specialized healthcare hedge funds, biotech-focused venture investors, and retail traders pursuing momentum around data readouts. Not suitable for income or value investors given negative cash flow, no dividends, and negative book value. The -36% three-month decline reflects typical volatility around clinical stage setbacks or financing concerns.

Watch on Earnings
Cash and short-term investments balance with quarterly burn rate trendClinical trial enrollment velocity and patient retention rates for pivotal LGSOC studyObjective response rate (ORR) and progression-free survival (PFS) data versus historical LGSOC benchmarks (6-9 month median PFS)FDA breakthrough therapy designation status and regulatory pathway clarity
Health Radar
2 strong1 watch3 concern
44/100
Liquidity
3.04Strong
Leverage
1.05Watch
Coverage
-169.3xConcern
ROE
-486.4%Concern
ROIC
-102.2%Concern
Cash
$205MStrong
ANALYST COVERAGE19 analysts
BUY
+316.7%upside to target
L $18.00
Med $18.00consensus
H $19.00
Buy
1474%
Hold
526%
14 Buy (74%)5 Hold (26%)0 Sell (0%)
Full report →
Stock Health
Composite Score
2 of 5 signals bullish
3/10
Technicals
RSI RangeRSI 35 — Bearish momentum
Volume
Volume FlowDistribution — institutional selling
Fundamentals
Last EarningsMissed estimates
Analyst ConsensusBuy
LiquidityCurrent Ratio 3.04 — healthy liquidity
Upcoming Events
EEarnings ReportMay 17, 2026
Tomorrow
DEx-Dividend DateAug 14, 2026
In 90 days
PDividend PaymentSep 9, 2026
In 116 days
Technicals
Technical SetupBEARISH
Technicals →

Trend

DowntrendDeath Cross · 50D trails 200D by 24.7%

-23.2% vs SMA 50 · -42.2% vs SMA 200

Momentum

RSI35.0
Momentum fading
MACD-0.29
Below zero — bearish pulse · compressing
Market Position
Price Levels
52W High
$11.25+160.4%
EMA 200
$6.73+55.9%
EMA 50
$5.64+30.7%
Current
$4.32
52W Low
$4.01-7.2%
52-Week RangeNear 52-week low
$4.014th %ile$11.25
Squeeze SetupVolume-based
Distribution Pressure

Distribution pattern detected. More selling days than accumulation over the past 20 sessions. Not a conducive environment for a squeeze.

20-Day Money Flow
Acc days:1
Dist days:5
Edge:+4 dist
Volume Context
Avg Vol (50D)2.3M
Recent Vol (5D)
2.2M-1%

Based on volume distribution analysis. Direct short interest data (short float %, days to cover) is not available in current data sources.

Earnings & Analysts

ANALYST ESTIMATES

Consensus of 7 analysts
Analyst revisions:EPS↓ Revised DownRevenue↓ Revised Down

Analyst consensus estimates · Actuals replace estimates as reported

YearRevenue Est.Rev GthEPS Est.EPS GthRangeAnalysts
FY2025
$30.2M
$30.2M$30.3M
-$3.21
±0%
High5
FY2026(current)
$104.8M
$103.4M$106.7M
+246.3%-$1.56
±6%
High7
FY2027
$182.6M
$171.2M$212.7M
+74.3%-$1.07
±15%
High6
Range confidence:Tight (high)ModerateWide (low)
Earnings HistoryVSTM
Last 8Q
-12.7%avg beat
Beat 4 of 8 quartersMissed 3 Estimates rising
+71%
Q3'24
+15%
Q4'24
-64%
Q1'25
-33%
Q2'25
+54%
Q3'25
-165%
Q4'25
+20%
Q1'26
Q2'26
Beat
Miss
Estimate
Deeper color = bigger beat/miss
* Negative EPS shown at reduced height
Analyst Activity
All ratings →
No recent activity
Mizuho SecuritiesPositive → Buy
Jun 15
UPGRADE
CitigroupBuy
Jun 15
UPGRADE
Mizuho SecuritiesPositive
Jun 15
UPGRADE
Zacks Investment Re…Hold
Apr 26
UPGRADE
Insider Activity
SEC Filings →
0 Buys/6 SellsNet Selling
NET SELLERS$0 bought · $5K sold · 30d window
Paterson DanDir
$5K
May 4
SELL
Paterson DanDir
$6K
Feb 4
SELL
Paterson DanDir
$74K
Jan 12
SELL
Calkins DanielCFO
$36K
Jan 12
SELL
Calkins DanielCFO
$629
Dec 24
SELL
Stuglik Brian MDir
$5K
Dec 16
SELL
Financials

INSTITUTIONAL OWNERSHIP

1
RTW INVESTMENTS, LP
6.6M
2
BlackRock, Inc.
6.2M
3
Deep Track Capital, LP
5.7M
4
ARMISTICE CAPITAL, LLC
4.6M
5
Nantahala Capital Management, LLC
3.6M
6
STATE STREET CORP
3.5M
7
Stonepine Capital Management, LLC
3.3M
8
Foresite Capital Management VI LLC
3.1M
News & Activity

VSTM News

20 articles · 4h ago

About

verastem, inc. (nasdaq: vstm) is a biopharmaceutical company focused on discovering and developing novel drugs that selectively target cancer stem cells. cancer stem cells are an underlying cause of tumor recurrence and metastasis. verastem is translating breakthrough discoveries in cancer stem cell research into new medicines for the treatment of major cancers such as breast cancer. for more information, please visit www.versatem.com

Industry
Research and Development in Biotechnology (except Nanobiotechnology)
CEO
Brian Stuglik
Michael Glen KauffmanPresident of Development & Director
Daniel W. PatersonPresident, Chief Executive Officer & Director
Julissa VianaVice President of Corporate Communications & Investor Relations
PeersHealth Care(7 companies)
Screen sector →
SymbolPriceDay %Mkt CapP/ERev GrwMarginELO
VSTM
$4.32-8.28%$299M+20914.0%-67759.3%1500
$66.13-5.07%$13.0B+12626.1%-14525.8%1500
$94.92-3.79%$12.6B+3288.2%-4239.0%1500
$523.69-3.00%$12.1B+43205.3%-3008.0%1500
$227.72-1.30%$11.7B+6554.5%-2868.8%1500
$57.90-0.86%$11.2B50.3+1459.3%147.7%1500
$76.67-3.79%$10.8B+2325815.3%-19.7%1500
Sector avg-3.73%50.3+344837.5%-13181.8%1500