XPEL
Next earnings: Aug 5, 2026 · Before open
Signal
Bearish Setup2
Price
1
Move-2.38%Negative session
Volume
1
Volume0.7× avgNormal activity
Technical
1
RSIRSI 35Momentum negative
PRICE
Prev Close
42.50
Open
42.09
Day Range41.42 – 42.92
41.42
42.92
52W Range31.26 – 55.91
31.26
55.91
42% of range
VOLUME & SIZE
Avg Volume
275.7K
FUNDAMENTALS
P/E Ratio
21.7x
EPS (TTM)
Div Yield
No dividend
Beta
1.27
Market-like
Performance
1D
-2.38%
5D
-4.71%
1M
-10.21%
3M
-22.77%
6M
+3.23%
YTD
-16.87%
1Y
+10.97%
Best: 1Y (+10.97%)Worst: 3M (-22.77%)
Quick Read
TrendInsufficient MA data
Momentum
BULLISH
revenue +13% YoY · 43% gross margin
Valuation
FAIR
P/E 22x vs ~20x sector
Health
STRONG
CR 3.1 · FCF $2.10/sh
Strong Buy
Key MetricsTTM
Market Cap$1.14B
Revenue TTM$489.75M
Net Income TTM$52.98M
Free Cash Flow$57.85M
Gross Margin42.5%
Net Margin10.8%
Operating Margin13.2%
Return on Equity19.4%
Return on Assets13.4%
Debt / Equity0.07
Current Ratio3.07
EPS TTM$1.92
Alpha SignalsFull Analysis →
What Moves This Stock

New vehicle sales trends in premium segments (luxury, EV, high-end trucks) which drive PPF attachment rates

Geographic expansion progress, particularly penetration in China and European markets where PPF adoption lags North America

Company-owned installation center performance and same-store sales growth

Gross margin trends reflecting product mix shift toward higher-margin architectural and ceramic coating products

Macro Sensitivity
Economic Cycle

high - XPEL's revenue is highly correlated with discretionary spending on premium vehicles and aftermarket customization. PPF installations are elective purchases typically made by affluent consumers on vehicles valued above $50,000. During economic downturns, consumers defer or eliminate these discretionary expenditures. New luxury vehicle sales, which drive 60-70% of PPF demand, are particularly sensitive to wealth effects and consumer confidence. The business also correlates with used premium vehicle sales as buyers protect their investments.

Interest Rates

Rising interest rates negatively impact XPEL through two channels: higher auto loan rates reduce premium vehicle sales (particularly in the $60,000-$100,000 segment where financing is common), and elevated rates compress valuation multiples for high-growth stocks trading at 19.5x EV/EBITDA. The company carries minimal debt (0.09 D/E), so direct financing cost impact is negligible. However, installer financing for inventory and equipment becomes more expensive, potentially slowing network expansion.

Key Risks

Technological disruption from OEM factory-applied protective coatings or self-healing paint technologies that could reduce aftermarket PPF demand

Shift toward vehicle subscription models or reduced personal vehicle ownership in urban markets, decreasing the addressable market for aftermarket customization

Regulatory changes affecting window tint darkness limits or film material composition (environmental regulations on plastics and adhesives)

Investor Profile

growth - XPEL attracts growth investors seeking exposure to the premiumization trend in automotive aftermarket and the secular shift toward vehicle protection products. The 22% one-year return and recent momentum (37.8% six-month return) appeal to momentum investors. However, the -13.8% net income decline creates concern for quality-focused growth investors. The small $1.4B market cap and 42% gross margins attract investors seeking scalable business models with international expansion optionality.

Watch on Earnings
US light vehicle sales in premium segments (vehicles priced above $50,000)Consumer sentiment index as leading indicator for discretionary aftermarket spendingGasoline prices (inverse relationship - lower prices encourage driving and vehicle investment)Luxury brand sales trends (Tesla, BMW, Mercedes, Porsche, high-end trucks)
Health Radar
5 strong1 watch
77/100
Liquidity
3.07Strong
Leverage
0.07Strong
Coverage
4964.6xStrong
ROE
19.4%Strong
ROIC
16.2%Strong
Cash
$51MWatch
ANALYST COVERAGE6 analysts
BUY
+39.8%upside to target
Buy
583%
Hold
117%
5 Buy (83%)1 Hold (17%)0 Sell (0%)
Full report →
Stock Health
Composite Score
3 of 5 signals bullish
7/10
Technicals
RSI RangeRSI 35 — Bearish momentum
Volume
Volume FlowNeutral
~
Fundamentals
Last EarningsBeat estimates
Analyst ConsensusBuy
LiquidityCurrent Ratio 3.07 — healthy liquidity
Upcoming Events
EEarnings ReportMay 17, 2026
Tomorrow
DEx-Dividend DateAug 14, 2026
In 90 days
PDividend PaymentAug 17, 2026
In 93 days
Technicals
Technical SetupBEARISH
Technicals →

Trend

DowntrendGolden Cross · 50D leads 200D by 1.3%

-4.1% vs SMA 50 · -2.8% vs SMA 200

Momentum

RSI34.5
Momentum fading
MACD-0.96
Below zero — bearish pulse · compressing
Market Position
Price Levels
52W High
$55.91+34.8%
EMA 50
$44.70+7.7%
EMA 200
$41.98+1.2%
Current
$41.49
52W Low
$31.26-24.7%
52-Week RangeMid-range
$31.2642th %ile$55.91
Squeeze SetupVolume-based
No Clear Setup

Volume distribution is neutral or leaning toward distribution. No compelling squeeze setup based on current money flow data.

20-Day Money Flow
Acc days:2
Dist days:1
Edge:+1 acc
Volume Context
Avg Vol (50D)265K
Recent Vol (5D)
214K-19%

Based on volume distribution analysis. Direct short interest data (short float %, days to cover) is not available in current data sources.

Earnings & Analysts

ANALYST ESTIMATES

Consensus of 2 analysts
Analyst revisions:Revenue↑ Revised Up

Analyst consensus estimates · Actuals replace estimates as reported

YearRevenue Est.Rev GthEPS Est.EPS GthRangeAnalysts
FY2023
$408.2M
$403.8M$413.2M
$1.71
±2%
Low1
FY2024
$419.9M
$415.3M$425.0M
+2.9%$1.73+1.2%
±2%
Low2
FY2025
$478.9M
$473.7M$484.8M
+14.1%$1.82+4.8%
±2%
Low2
Range confidence:Tight (high)ModerateWide (low)
Earnings HistoryXPEL
Last 8Q
+8.5%avg beat
Beat 6 of 8 quartersMissed 2 Estimates rising
+17%
Q3'24
+6%
Q4'24
-15%
Q1'25
+24%
Q2'25
+13%
Q3'25
-2%
Q4'25
+12%
Q1'26
+12%
Q2'26
Beat
Miss
Estimate
Deeper color = bigger beat/miss
Analyst Activity
All ratings →
No recent activity
B. RileyNeutral → Buy
Aug 9
UPGRADE
Craig-HallumHold
May 3
DOWNGRADE
B. RileyNeutral
May 3
DOWNGRADE
Insider Activity
SEC Filings →
0 Buys/6 SellsNet Selling
Klonne MikeDir
$187K
May 16
SELL
Pape RyanDir
$48K
Dec 2
SELL
Pape RyanDir
$114K
Dec 2
SELL
Pape RyanDir
$244K
Dec 2
SELL
Pape RyanDir
$207K
Dec 2
SELL
Pape RyanDir
$751K
Nov 25
SELL
Financials

INSTITUTIONAL OWNERSHIP

1
WASATCH ADVISORS LP
3.8M
2
BlackRock, Inc.
3.7M
3
ALTA FOX CAPITAL MANAGEMENT, LLC
1.9M
4
SCS Capital Management LLC
1.2M
5
STATE STREET CORP
927K
6
SCHWARTZ INVESTMENT COUNSEL INC
825K
7
WESTWOOD HOLDINGS GROUP INC
806K
8
Divisadero Street Capital Management, LP
720K
News & Activity

XPEL News

20 articles · 4h ago

About

xpel manufactures automotive paint and headlamp protection products, sells and distributes window tint products, industry tools and equipment. xpel isalso the developer of the design access program software, allowing for real time global access to the world's largest database of pre-cut patterns.

Abhishek JoshiVice President of Corporate Development & MD of India/Middle East
Barry R. WoodSenior Vice President, Chief Financial Officer & Secretary
Carlos AlvarezVice President of Operations
PeersConsumer Cyclical(7 companies)
Screen sector →
SymbolPriceDay %Mkt CapP/ERev GrwMarginELO
XPEL
$41.49-2.38%$1.1B21.6+1327.3%1075.7%1500
$264.14-1.15%$2.8T31.3+1237.8%1083.4%1521
$422.24-4.75%$1.6T352.3-293.1%400.1%1507
$297.51-2.25%$296.3B20.9+324.0%859.6%1477
$276.39+0.52%$196.4B22.6+372.3%3185.0%1478
$147.43+0.05%$163.2B30.2+711.9%910.0%1494
$218.42-2.32%$122.3B18.3+312.2%771.2%1489
Sector avg-1.75%71.0+570.3%1183.6%1495