AESI
Next earnings: Aug 3, 2026 · After close
Signal
Leaning Bullish11!
Price
1
Move+8.45%Strong session
Volume
1
Volume0.4× avgLight volume
Technical
1
RSIRSI 72Overbought
PRICE
Prev Close
17.75
Open
17.66
Day Range17.66 – 19.61
17.66
19.61
52W Range7.64 – 19.61
7.64
19.61
97% of range
VOLUME & SIZE
Avg Volume
5.7M
FUNDAMENTALS
P/E Ratio
-47.0x
Not profitable
EPS (TTM)
Div Yield
No dividend
Performance
1D
+3.62%
5D
+1.60%
1M
+59.05%
3M
+49.66%
6M
+66.82%
YTD
+88.43%
1Y
+26.15%
Best: YTD (+88.43%)
Quick Read
TrendInsufficient MA data
Momentum
BEARISH
revenue -8% YoY · thin 8% gross margin
Valuation
FAIR
P/E not available
Health
MODERATE
CR 1.2 · FCF $0.15/sh
Lean Bearish
Key MetricsTTM
Market Cap$2.22B
Revenue TTM$1.06B
Net Income TTM-$98.79M
Free Cash Flow$18.64M
Gross Margin8.2%
Net Margin-9.3%
Operating Margin-5.9%
Return on Equity-8.1%
Return on Assets-4.3%
Debt / Equity0.06
Current Ratio1.17
EPS TTM$-0.79
Alpha SignalsFull Analysis →
What Moves This Stock

Permian Basin completion activity and frac stage counts - drives sand demand volumes

Regional frac sand pricing in West Texas - spot pricing volatility directly impacts revenue per ton

Dune Express utilization rates and logistics margins - premium pricing sustainability

Competitor capacity additions in Permian in-basin sand - supply/demand balance shifts

Macro Sensitivity
Economic Cycle

high - Atlas is directly tied to upstream oil & gas capital spending, which correlates strongly with crude oil prices and producer cash flows. Permian completion activity (the primary demand driver) responds rapidly to oil price changes, with operators adjusting frac crew counts within 60-90 days of sustained price moves. Industrial production growth signals broader energy demand, indirectly supporting drilling economics.

Interest Rates

Moderate sensitivity through two channels: (1) Higher rates increase financing costs for oil producers, potentially reducing their completion budgets and sand demand; (2) Atlas carries $250-300M in debt (Debt/Equity 0.48), so rising rates increase interest expense and pressure margins. However, the company's debt load is manageable relative to asset base. Rate impacts are secondary to oil price movements.

Key Risks

Secular decline in US onshore drilling activity if energy transition accelerates or Permian productivity gains reduce well count requirements

Shift toward lower-proppant intensity completions or alternative proppant technologies reducing sand demand per well

Regulatory restrictions on frac sand mining operations or silica dust exposure standards increasing compliance costs

Investor Profile

value/cyclical - Attracts investors seeking leveraged exposure to Permian activity recovery with potential for margin expansion as utilization improves. The -46.4% one-year return followed by 31.7% three-month bounce suggests momentum traders also participate during commodity rallies. Negative FCF and ROE deter quality-focused growth investors. Typical holders include energy-focused funds and cyclical value managers willing to accept volatility.

Watch on Earnings
WTI crude oil spot price and forward curve structure (backwardation vs contango signals producer hedging activity)Permian Basin horizontal rig count and frac spread count (Primary Energy Services data)Spot frac sand pricing in Kermit/Odessa, Texas terminals (public pricing services)Atlas quarterly sand sales volumes and revenue per ton trends
Health Radar
1 strong1 watch4 concern
24/100
Liquidity
1.17Watch
Leverage
0.06Strong
Coverage
-2.1xConcern
ROE
-8.1%Concern
ROIC
-2.5%Concern
Cash
$41MConcern
ANALYST COVERAGE10 analysts
BUY
-32.5%downside to target
L $8.00
Med $13.00consensus
H $28.00
Strong Buy
110%
Buy
550%
Hold
220%
Sell
220%
6 Buy (60%)2 Hold (20%)2 Sell (20%)
Full report →
Stock Health
Composite Score
1 of 5 signals bullish
5/10
Technicals
RSI RangeRSI 72 — Overbought, caution
~
Volume
Volume FlowNeutral
~
Fundamentals
Last EarningsMissed estimates
Analyst ConsensusBuy
LiquidityCurrent Ratio 1.17
~
Upcoming Events
EEarnings ReportMay 6, 2026
Tomorrow
DEx-Dividend DateAug 3, 2026
In 90 days
PDividend PaymentSep 1, 2026
In 119 days
Technicals
Technical SetupBEARISH
Technicals →

Trend

UptrendGolden Cross · 50D leads 200D by 32.7%

+77.5% vs SMA 50 · +135.5% vs SMA 200

Momentum

RSI72.2
Overbought — pullback risk
MACD-0.61
Below zero — bearish pulse · compressing
Market Position
Price Levels
52W High
$19.61+1.9%
Current
$19.25
EMA 50
$10.74-44.2%
EMA 200
$8.17-57.5%
52W Low
$7.64-60.3%
52-Week RangeNear 52-week high
$7.6497th %ile$19.61
Squeeze SetupVolume-based
No Clear Setup

Volume distribution is neutral or leaning toward distribution. No compelling squeeze setup based on current money flow data.

20-Day Money Flow
Acc days:4
Dist days:3
Edge:+1 acc
Volume Context
Avg Vol (50D)1.8M
Recent Vol (5D)
1.5M-13%

Based on volume distribution analysis. Direct short interest data (short float %, days to cover) is not available in current data sources.

Earnings & Analysts

ANALYST ESTIMATES

Consensus of 7 analysts
Analyst revisions:Revenue↑ Revised Up

Analyst consensus estimates · Actuals replace estimates as reported

YearRevenue Est.Rev GthEPS Est.EPS GthRangeAnalysts
FY2023
$653.2M
$595.2M$690.6M
$1.59
±9%
Low2
FY2024
$1.1B
$978.7M$1.1B
+62.0%$0.72-55.0%
±5%
High5
FY2025
$1.1B
$1.1B$1.1B
+2.7%-$0.45
±9%
High7
Range confidence:Tight (high)ModerateWide (low)
Earnings HistoryAESI
Last 8Q
-86.5%avg beat
Beat 0 of 8 quartersMissed 7 Estimates falling
-32%
Q2'24
-48%
Q3'24
-24%
Q4'24
-67%
Q1'25
-56%
Q2'25
-132%
Q3'25
-333%
Q4'25
Q1'26
Beat
Miss
Estimate
Deeper color = bigger beat/miss
* Negative EPS shown at reduced height
Analyst Activity
All ratings →
Mild positive momentum
30d10
90d10
CitigroupNeutral → Buy
Apr 15
UPGRADE
Goldman SachsBuy → Sell
Nov 20
DOWNGRADE
RBC CapitalUnderperform → Sector Perform
Oct 9
DOWNGRADE
Piper SandlerOverweight → Neutral
Jul 14
DOWNGRADE
Insider Activity
SEC Filings →
2 Buys/4 SellsNet Selling
Scholla Chris10%
$105K
Mar 6
SELL
Shepard Gregory MOther: See Rem…
$1.2M
Feb 17
SELL
Shepard Gregory MOther: See Rem…
$1.6M
Feb 18
SELL
Scholla Chris10%
$460K
Nov 18
SELL
Turner John GregoryDir
$100K
May 9
BUY
Rogers Douglas GDir
$93K
May 14
BUY
Financials
Dividends2.82% yield
+13.6% avg annual growth
Annual Yield2.82%
Quarterly Div.$0.2500
Est. Annual / Share$1.00
FrequencyQuarterly
Q4'23
Q1'24
Q2'24
Q3'24
Q4'24
Q1'25
Q2'25
Q3'25

Dividend per payment — last 8 periods

INSTITUTIONAL OWNERSHIP

1
VILLERE ST DENIS J & CO LLC
1.9M
2
Venturi Wealth Management, LLC
1.1M
3
Consolidated Portfolio Review Corp
628K
4
CULLINAN ASSOCIATES INC
252K
5
Nuveen, LLC
142K
6
SG Americas Securities, LLC
107K
7
NEW YORK STATE TEACHERS RETIREMENT SYSTEM
105K
8
Austin Asset Management Co Inc
90K
News & Activity

AESI News

20 articles · 4h ago

About

No description available.

Kyle D. TurlingtonVice President of Investor Relations
Shaam FarooqVice President of Technology
Brian McConnSenior Vice President of Commercial
PeersEnergy(7 companies)
Screen sector →
SymbolPriceDay %Mkt CapP/ERev GrwMarginELO
AESI
$19.25+3.62%$2.2B+372.7%-459.3%1500
$154.88+0.68%$639.2B1497
$192.65+0.90%$383.8B34.61490
$123.36+1.40%$152.2B20.9+751.1%1503
$76.14-0.17%$92.2B33.0+1377.7%2190.8%1497
$56.00-2.27%$83.2B25.2-159.8%1515
$140.86+1.91%$75.9B15.3-346.9%2206.8%1500
Sector avg+0.87%25.8+399.0%1312.8%1500