DECK
Next earnings: May 21, 2026 · After close
Signal
Leaning Bearish1
Price
1
Move+0.91%Quiet session
Volume
1
Volume1.4× avgNormal activity
Technical
1
RSIRSI 36Momentum negative
PRICE
Prev Close
97.65
Open
97.74
Day Range96.78 – 99.50
96.78
99.50
52W Range78.91 – 133.43
78.91
133.43
36% of range
VOLUME & SIZE
Avg Volume
1.6M
FUNDAMENTALS
P/E Ratio
14.0x
Value territory
EPS (TTM)
Div Yield
No dividend
Beta
1.37
Market-like
Performance
1D
+0.91%
5D
-2.60%
1M
-3.05%
3M
-11.36%
6M
+20.45%
YTD
-4.95%
1Y
-16.72%
Best: 6M (+20.45%)Worst: 1Y (-16.72%)
Quick Read
TrendInsufficient MA data
Momentum
BULLISH
revenue +9% YoY · 58% gross margin
Valuation
FAIR
P/E 14x vs ~20x sector
Health
STRONG
CR 2.9 · FCF $6.32/sh
Strong Buy
Key MetricsTTM
Market Cap$13.99B
Revenue TTM$5.37B
Net Income TTM$1.04B
Free Cash Flow$929.14M
Gross Margin57.5%
Net Margin19.3%
Operating Margin23.8%
Return on Equity41.4%
Return on Assets25.4%
Debt / Equity0.13
Current Ratio2.86
EPS TTM$7.08
Alpha SignalsFull Analysis →
What Moves This Stock

HOKA revenue growth rate and market share gains in performance running (currently 30%+ growth)

UGG brand health metrics: full-price sell-through rates, ASP trends, off-season (Q2/Q3) performance

Direct-to-consumer penetration rate (currently ~40%, targeting 50%+) and e-commerce growth

Gross margin expansion from DTC mix shift and supply chain efficiency

Macro Sensitivity
Economic Cycle

moderate-high - Premium footwear ($120-200 ASPs) is discretionary spending sensitive to consumer confidence and employment. However, HOKA's performance running category shows resilience as serious runners prioritize technical footwear regardless of economy. UGG faces higher cyclicality as gifting and fashion purchases compress in recessions. 57% gross margins provide cushion, but traffic to DTC stores and wholesale reorders correlate strongly with retail sales trends and consumer sentiment.

Interest Rates

Moderate sensitivity through consumer financing and valuation multiples. Rising rates reduce discretionary spending capacity for middle-to-upper income consumers (core demographic). The company carries minimal debt (0.13 D/E), so direct financing costs are negligible. Primary impact is multiple compression as growth stock trading at 3.1x P/S faces re-rating when risk-free rates rise. Higher mortgage rates indirectly pressure household budgets for premium footwear purchases.

Key Risks

Fashion cycle risk for UGG brand - sheepskin boots are trend-dependent and have experienced prior demand collapses (2008-2010 peak-to-trough)

Athletic footwear market saturation and competitive intensity from Nike, Adidas, On Running, Brooks in performance running

Tariff exposure with 60%+ of production in China/Vietnam subject to trade policy changes

Investor Profile

growth - Investors focus on HOKA's 30%+ growth trajectory and runway in performance running market, combined with UGG's surprising resilience and DTC transformation. The 30% EPS growth, 41% ROE, and 5.7% FCF yield attract growth-at-reasonable-price investors. Momentum players drove the 38% 3-month rally on earnings beats. Not a dividend stock (minimal payout) or deep value play given 3.1x P/S premium to peers.

Watch on Earnings
HOKA quarterly revenue growth rate and unit volume trendsUGG ASP (average selling price) and promotional intensityDTC revenue as % of total and DTC operating marginWholesale partner inventory levels and sell-through rates
Health Radar
6 strong
99/100
Liquidity
2.86Strong
Leverage
0.13Strong
Coverage
286.7xStrong
ROE
41.4%Strong
ROIC
32.7%Strong
Cash
$1.9BStrong
ANALYST COVERAGE21 analysts
HOLD
+30.9%upside to target
L $90.00
Med $129.00consensus
H $161.00
Strong Buy
15%
Buy
1048%
Hold
838%
Sell
210%
11 Buy (52%)8 Hold (38%)2 Sell (10%)
Full report →
Stock Health
Composite Score
2 of 5 signals bullish
6/10
Technicals
RSI RangeRSI 36 — Bearish momentum
Volume
Volume FlowNeutral
~
Fundamentals
Last EarningsBeat estimates
Analyst ConsensusHold
~
LiquidityCurrent Ratio 2.86 — healthy liquidity
Upcoming Events
EEarnings Report · Before OpenMay 7, 2026
Tomorrow
DEx-Dividend DateAug 4, 2026
In 90 days
PDividend PaymentAug 6, 2026
In 92 days
Technicals
Technical SetupBEARISH
Technicals →

Trend

DowntrendGolden Cross · 50D leads 200D by 1.3%

-6.0% vs SMA 50 · -4.8% vs SMA 200

Momentum

RSI36.3
Momentum fading
MACD-1.66
Below zero — bearish pulse · compressing
Market Position
Price Levels
52W High
$133.4+35.4%
EMA 50
$104.6+6.2%
EMA 200
$104.6+6.1%
Current
$98.54
52W Low
$78.91-19.9%
52-Week RangeMid-range
$78.9136th %ile$133.4
Squeeze SetupVolume-based
No Clear Setup

Volume distribution is neutral or leaning toward distribution. No compelling squeeze setup based on current money flow data.

20-Day Money Flow
Acc days:5
Dist days:3
Edge:+2 acc
Volume Context
Avg Vol (50D)3.8M
Recent Vol (5D)
4.6M+20%

Based on volume distribution analysis. Direct short interest data (short float %, days to cover) is not available in current data sources.

Earnings & Analysts

ANALYST ESTIMATES

Consensus of 19 analysts
Analyst revisions:EPS↓ Revised DownRevenue↓ Revised Down

Analyst consensus estimates · Actuals replace estimates as reported

YearRevenue Est.Rev GthEPS Est.EPS GthRangeAnalysts
FY2025
$5.0B
$4.9B$5.1B
$5.94
±6%
High15
FY2026(current)
$5.4B
$5.4B$5.5B
+9.4%$6.89+16.0%
±1%
High19
FY2027
$5.8B
$5.8B$5.9B
+7.1%$7.35+6.7%
±2%
High19
Range confidence:Tight (high)ModerateWide (low)
🔥Beat 7 consecutive quarters
Earnings HistoryDECK
Last 8Q
+17.9%avg beat
Beat 7 of 8 quartersMissed 1 Estimates falling
-72%
Q2'24
+29%
Q3'24
+28%
Q4'24
+21%
Q1'25
+66%
Q2'25
+36%
Q3'25
+15%
Q4'25
+20%
Q1'26
Beat
Miss
Estimate
Deeper color = bigger beat/miss
Analyst Activity
All ratings →
Analysts turning cautious
30d01
90d01
Raymond JamesStrong Buy → Outperform
Apr 23
DOWNGRADE
KGI SecuritiesOutperform
Jan 30
UPGRADE
Piper SandlerNeutral → Underweight
Jan 7
DOWNGRADE
CitigroupBuy → Positive
Oct 14
UPGRADE
Telsey AdvisoryOutperform → Market Perform
May 23
DOWNGRADE
KeyBancOverweight → Sector Weight
May 23
DOWNGRADE
BTIGBuy → Neutral
Oct 22
DOWNGRADE
Seaport GlobalBuy → Neutral
Oct 7
DOWNGRADE
CFRABuy
May 26
UPGRADE
WedbushOutperform
Sep 15
UPGRADE
Insider Activity
SEC Filings →
0 Buys/6 SellsNet Selling
Shanahan Lauri MDir
$538K
Feb 13
SELL
Spangenberg AnnePresident, Fas…
$471K
Feb 13
SELL
Spring-green RobinPresident, Hoka
$39K
Feb 13
SELL
Ogbechie AngelaChief Supply C…
$41K
Oct 31
SELL
Ogbechie AngelaChief Supply C…
$78K
Oct 31
SELL
Ibrahim Maha SalehDir
$9K
Sep 8
SELL
Financials

INSTITUTIONAL OWNERSHIP

1
Robeco Institutional Asset Management B.V.
2.0M
2
Nuveen, LLC
774K
3
Assenagon Asset Management S.A.
758K
4
HSBC HOLDINGS PLC
586K
5
SG Americas Securities, LLC
481K
6
Sumitomo Mitsui Trust Holdings, Inc.
369K
7
Carnegie Capital Asset Management, LLC
323K
8
Swedbank AB
288K
News & Activity

DECK News

20 articles · 4h ago

About

deckers brands is a global leader in designing, marketing and distributing innovative footwear, apparel and accessories developed for both everyday casual lifestyle use and high performance activities. the company’s portfolio of brands includes ugg®, koolaburra®, hoka one one®, teva® and sanuk®. deckers brands products are sold in more than 50 countries and territories through select department and specialty stores, company-owned and operated retail stores, and select online stores, including company-owned websites. deckers brands has a 40-year history of building niche footwear brands into lifestyle market leaders attracting millions of loyal consumers globally.

Industry
Footwear Manufacturing
CEO
David Powers
Marco EllerkerPresident of Global Marketplace
Stefano CarotiChief Executive Officer, President & Director
Anne SpangenbergPresident of Fashion Lifestyle
PeersConsumer Cyclical(7 companies)
Screen sector →
SymbolPriceDay %Mkt CapP/ERev GrwMarginELO
DECK
$98.54+0.91%$14.0B13.9+1627.5%1937.8%1504
$273.55+0.55%$2.9T32.4+1237.8%1083.4%1517
$389.37-0.80%$1.5T324.9-293.1%400.1%1491
$315.42+0.96%$314.2B22.1+324.0%859.6%1485
$285.17+0.38%$202.7B23.8+372.3%3185.0%1488
$154.96+0.21%$171.5B31.7+711.9%910.0%1511
$167.63+1.24%$129.9B21.5+1338.7%2007.7%1489
Sector avg+0.49%67.2+759.9%1483.4%1498