Heidelberg Materials Earnings Drop, Hurt by Harsh Winter
The building-materials group's results from current operations before depreciation and amortization—…

HOKA revenue growth rate and market share gains in performance running (currently 30%+ growth)
UGG brand health metrics: full-price sell-through rates, ASP trends, off-season (Q2/Q3) performance
Direct-to-consumer penetration rate (currently ~40%, targeting 50%+) and e-commerce growth
Gross margin expansion from DTC mix shift and supply chain efficiency
moderate-high - Premium footwear ($120-200 ASPs) is discretionary spending sensitive to consumer confidence and employment. However, HOKA's performance running category shows resilience as serious runners prioritize technical footwear regardless of economy. UGG faces higher cyclicality as gifting and fashion purchases compress in recessions. 57% gross margins provide cushion, but traffic to DTC stores and wholesale reorders correlate strongly with retail sales trends and consumer sentiment.
Moderate sensitivity through consumer financing and valuation multiples. Rising rates reduce discretionary spending capacity for middle-to-upper income consumers (core demographic). The company carries minimal debt (0.13 D/E), so direct financing costs are negligible. Primary impact is multiple compression as growth stock trading at 3.1x P/S faces re-rating when risk-free rates rise. Higher mortgage rates indirectly pressure household budgets for premium footwear purchases.
Fashion cycle risk for UGG brand - sheepskin boots are trend-dependent and have experienced prior demand collapses (2008-2010 peak-to-trough)
Athletic footwear market saturation and competitive intensity from Nike, Adidas, On Running, Brooks in performance running
Tariff exposure with 60%+ of production in China/Vietnam subject to trade policy changes
growth - Investors focus on HOKA's 30%+ growth trajectory and runway in performance running market, combined with UGG's surprising resilience and DTC transformation. The 30% EPS growth, 41% ROE, and 5.7% FCF yield attract growth-at-reasonable-price investors. Momentum players drove the 38% 3-month rally on earnings beats. Not a dividend stock (minimal payout) or deep value play given 3.1x P/S premium to peers.
Trend
-6.0% vs SMA 50 · -4.8% vs SMA 200
Momentum
Volume distribution is neutral or leaning toward distribution. No compelling squeeze setup based on current money flow data.
Based on volume distribution analysis. Direct short interest data (short float %, days to cover) is not available in current data sources.
Analyst consensus estimates · Actuals replace estimates as reported
| Year | Revenue Est. | Rev Gth | EPS Est. | EPS Gth | Range | Analysts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
FY2025 | $5.0B $4.9B–$5.1B | — | $5.94 | — | ±6% | High15 |
FY2026(current) | $5.4B $5.4B–$5.5B | ▲ +9.4% | $6.89 | ▲ +16.0% | ±1% | High19 |
FY2027 | $5.8B $5.8B–$5.9B | ▲ +7.1% | $7.35 | ▲ +6.7% | ±2% | High19 |
The building-materials group's results from current operations before depreciation and amortization—…

deckers brands is a global leader in designing, marketing and distributing innovative footwear, apparel and accessories developed for both everyday casual lifestyle use and high performance activities. the company’s portfolio of brands includes ugg®, koolaburra®, hoka one one®, teva® and sanuk®. deckers brands products are sold in more than 50 countries and territories through select department and specialty stores, company-owned and operated retail stores, and select online stores, including company-owned websites. deckers brands has a 40-year history of building niche footwear brands into lifestyle market leaders attracting millions of loyal consumers globally.
| Symbol | Price | Day % | Mkt Cap↓ | P/E | Rev Grw | Margin | ELO |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
DECK◀ | $98.54 | +0.91% | $14.0B | 13.9 | +1627.5% | 1937.8% | 1504 |
| $273.55 | +0.55% | $2.9T | 32.4 | +1237.8% | 1083.4% | 1517 | |
| $389.37 | -0.80% | $1.5T | 324.9 | -293.1% | 400.1% | 1491 | |
| $315.42 | +0.96% | $314.2B | 22.1 | +324.0% | 859.6% | 1485 | |
| $285.17 | +0.38% | $202.7B | 23.8 | +372.3% | 3185.0% | 1488 | |
| $154.96 | +0.21% | $171.5B | 31.7 | +711.9% | 910.0% | 1511 | |
| $167.63 | +1.24% | $129.9B | 21.5 | +1338.7% | 2007.7% | 1489 | |
| Sector avg | — | +0.49% | — | 67.2 | +759.9% | 1483.4% | 1498 |