TTD
Earnings in 1 day · May 7, 2026 · After close
Signal
Bullish Setup2
Price
1
Move+2.12%Positive session
Volume
1
Volume1.2× avgNormal activity
Technical
1
RSIRSI 53Momentum positive
PRICE
Prev Close
24.10
Open
24.01
Day Range23.37 – 24.72
23.37
24.72
52W Range19.74 – 91.45
19.74
91.45
7% of range
VOLUME & SIZE
Avg Volume
15.6M
FUNDAMENTALS
P/E Ratio
27.3x
EPS (TTM)
Div Yield
No dividend
Beta
2.36
High vol
Performance
1D
+2.12%
5D
+3.10%
1M
+10.81%
3M
-6.21%
6M
-48.41%
YTD
-35.17%
1Y
-55.66%
Best: 1M (+10.81%)Worst: 1Y (-55.66%)
Quick Read
TrendInsufficient MA data
Momentum
BULLISH
revenue +18% YoY · 79% gross margin
Valuation
EXPENSIVE
P/E 27x vs ~20x sector
Health
STRONG
CR 1.6 · FCF $1.64/sh
Bullish
Key MetricsTTM
Market Cap$11.71B
Revenue TTM$2.90B
Net Income TTM$443.30M
Free Cash Flow$787.31M
Gross Margin78.6%
Net Margin15.3%
Operating Margin20.3%
Return on Equity16.9%
Return on Assets7.2%
Debt / Equity0.18
Current Ratio1.61
EPS TTM$0.92
Alpha SignalsFull Analysis →
What Moves This Stock

Connected TV advertising growth rates and market share gains versus linear TV budgets

Platform spend growth (gross advertising spend processed, not just revenue) and take rate stability

Customer retention rates (historically 95%+) and net revenue retention metrics

Competitive positioning against Google DV360 and Amazon DSP, particularly in CTV

Macro Sensitivity
Economic Cycle

high - Digital advertising spend is highly discretionary and correlates directly with corporate marketing budgets, GDP growth, and consumer spending. During recessions, advertisers cut budgets immediately, impacting platform volumes. The company's 25.6% growth reflects strong secular shift from linear to digital, but cyclical downturns compress growth rates significantly as seen in 2022-2023 tech slowdown.

Interest Rates

Rising rates negatively impact TTD through two channels: (1) valuation multiple compression on high-growth, high-P/S stocks (currently 4.5x sales), and (2) reduced advertising budgets as corporate borrowing costs increase and CFOs tighten discretionary spend. However, TTD's minimal debt (0.14 D/E) insulates it from direct financing cost increases. Rate cuts would support multiple expansion and advertising budget recovery.

Key Risks

Google and Amazon vertical integration creating walled gardens that exclude independent DSPs from premium inventory (YouTube, Prime Video)

Privacy regulation (GDPR, CCPA) and cookie deprecation reducing targeting effectiveness and advertiser ROI, though UID2.0 aims to mitigate

Potential antitrust action forcing Google to divest DV360 or open YouTube inventory, which could intensify competition

Investor Profile

growth - Investors focus on 20-30% revenue growth, secular shift from linear to digital advertising, and CTV market leadership. The 67.9% one-year decline reflects multiple compression from peak valuations, attracting growth-at-reasonable-price (GARP) investors at 4.5x sales versus historical 15-20x. High volatility and negative recent returns deter value and income investors.

Watch on Earnings
U.S. digital advertising spend growth rates (eMarketer, IAB quarterly reports)Connected TV household penetration and ad-supported streaming adoption (Nielsen, Roku active accounts)Google DV360 and Amazon DSP market share trends in programmatic display and CTVUID2.0 adoption rates among publishers and advertisers (alternative to third-party cookies)
Health Radar
3 strong3 watch
64/100
Liquidity
1.61Watch
Leverage
0.18Strong
Coverage
1655.4xStrong
ROE
16.9%Strong
ROIC
13.4%Watch
Cash
$658MWatch
ANALYST COVERAGE32 analysts
HOLD
+42.2%upside to target
L $22.00
Med $35.00consensus
H $60.00
Buy
1753%
Hold
1341%
Sell
26%
17 Buy (53%)13 Hold (41%)2 Sell (6%)
Full report →
Stock Health
Composite Score
4 of 5 signals bullish
9/10
Technicals
RSI RangeRSI 53 — Bullish momentum
Volume
Volume FlowAccumulation — institutional buying
Fundamentals
Last EarningsBeat estimates
Analyst ConsensusHold
~
LiquidityCurrent Ratio 1.61 — healthy liquidity
Upcoming Events
EEarnings ReportMay 7, 2026
Tomorrow
DEx-Dividend DateAug 4, 2026
In 90 days
PDividend PaymentSep 9, 2026
In 126 days
Technicals
Technical SetupBEARISH
Technicals →

Trend

DowntrendDeath Cross · 50D trails 200D by 42.8%

-8.7% vs SMA 50 · -47.8% vs SMA 200

Momentum

RSI52.8
Neutral territory
MACD-1.55
Below zero — bearish pulse · compressing
Market Position
Price Levels
52W High
$91.45+271.6%
EMA 200
$44.51+80.9%
EMA 50
$27.44+11.5%
Current
$24.61
52W Low
$19.74-19.8%
52-Week RangeNear 52-week low
$19.747th %ile$91.45
Squeeze SetupVolume-based
Moderate Squeeze Setup

Accumulation pattern present — more buying days than selling over the past 20 sessions. Volume conditions support gradual price improvement.

20-Day Money Flow
Acc days:3
Dist days:1
Edge:+2 acc
Volume Context
Avg Vol (50D)10.1M
Recent Vol (5D)
8.7M-13%

Based on volume distribution analysis. Direct short interest data (short float %, days to cover) is not available in current data sources.

Earnings & Analysts

ANALYST ESTIMATES

Consensus of 27 analysts
Analyst revisions:EPS↓ Revised DownRevenue↓ Revised Down

Analyst consensus estimates · Actuals replace estimates as reported

YearRevenue Est.Rev GthEPS Est.EPS GthRangeAnalysts
FY2025
$2.9B
$2.7B$3.0B
$0.85
±5%
High27
FY2026(current)
$3.3B
$3.2B$3.3B
+12.8%$1.10+29.3%
±11%
High26
FY2027
$3.7B
$3.5B$3.9B
+12.5%$1.31+18.2%
±11%
High26
Range confidence:Tight (high)ModerateWide (low)
Earnings HistoryTTD
Last 8Q
+18.6%avg beat
Beat 7 of 8 quartersMissed 1 Estimates falling
+20%
Q2'24
+9%
Q3'24
+4%
Q4'24
+4%
Q1'25
-27%
Q2'25
+1%
Q3'25
+124%
Q4'25
+15%
Q1'26
Beat
Miss
Estimate
Deeper color = bigger beat/miss
Analyst Activity
All ratings →
Mild positive momentum
30d10
90d10
WedbushNeutral
May 4
UPGRADE
CitigroupOutperform → Market Perform
Jan 23
DOWNGRADE
MoffettNathansonSell → Neutral
Jan 12
UPGRADE
JefferiesBuy → Hold
Aug 11
DOWNGRADE
BTIGBuy → Neutral
Aug 8
DOWNGRADE
MoffettNathansonNeutral → Sell
Aug 8
DOWNGRADE
CitigroupBuy → Neutral
Aug 8
DOWNGRADE
WedbushUnderperform → Neutral
Aug 8
DOWNGRADE
BenchmarkSell → Hold
Mar 7
UPGRADE
New StreetNeutral → Sell
Oct 29
DOWNGRADE
New StreetNeutral
Nov 2
UPGRADE
Morgan StanleyEqual-Weight → Overweight
Jun 1
UPGRADE
Insider Activity
SEC Filings →
4 Buys/2 SellsNet Buying
Falberg Kathryn EDir
$3.1M
Mar 5
SELL
Falberg Kathryn EDir
$1.5M
Mar 5
SELL
Green Jeffrey TerryDir
$58.0M
Mar 4
BUY
Green Jeffrey TerryDir
$42.1M
Mar 3
BUY
Green Jeffrey TerryDir
$35.6M
Mar 2
BUY
Green Jeffrey TerryDir
$12.4M
Mar 2
BUY
Financials

INSTITUTIONAL OWNERSHIP

1
Assenagon Asset Management S.A.
3.2M
2
Retirement Systems of Alabama
1.3M
3
HSBC HOLDINGS PLC
1.1M
4
Nuveen, LLC
1.1M
5
Sumitomo Mitsui Trust Holdings, Inc.
947K
6
SG Americas Securities, LLC
923K
7
LORING WOLCOTT & COOLIDGE FIDUCIARY ADVISORS LLP/MA
921K
8
PRINCIPAL FINANCIAL GROUP INC
533K
News & Activity

TTD News

20 articles · 4h ago

About

the trade desk powers the most sophisticated buyers in advertising technology. founded by the pioneers of real-time bidding, the trade desk has become the fastest growing demand-side platform in the industry by offering agencies, aggregators, and their advertisers best-in-class technology to manage display, social, and video advertising campaigns. the trade desk empowers buyers at the campaign level with the most expressive bid capabilities in market, full-funnel attribution, and detailed reporting that illustrates the consumer journey from initial impression to conversion. by maintaining a pure buy-side focus, the trade desk delivers on branding and performance for clients worldwide. headquartered in ventura, calif., the trade desk has offices in new york city, chicago, san francisco, los angeles and boulder, col., and in hamburg, germany, london, and singapore. for more information, visit: http://www.thetradedesk.com.

CEO
Jeff Green
Jeffrey Terry GreenFounder, CEO, President & Chairman
Tahnil DavisChief Accounting Officer, Executive VP & Interim CFO
Ian ColleyExecutive Vice President & Chief Marketing Officer
PeersTechnology(7 companies)
Screen sector →
SymbolPriceDay %Mkt CapP/ERev GrwMarginELO
TTD
$24.61+2.12%$11.7B26.6+1846.6%1530.6%1470
$196.50-1.00%$4.8T39.8+6547.4%5560.3%1494
$284.18+2.66%$4.2T34.1+642.6%2691.5%1491
$411.38-0.54%$3.1T24.4+1493.2%3614.6%1477
$427.36+2.61%$2.0T81.1+2387.4%3619.8%1504
$640.20+11.06%$722.0B29.9+4885.1%2284.5%1536
$355.26+4.02%$579.2B115.7+3433.8%1251.5%1517
Sector avg+2.99%50.2+3033.7%2936.1%1498